Key Points
Zcash fell 3.6% to $1,287.07 on October 2 amid Grayscale ETF outflows.
ADX at 55.85 signals strong downtrend while RSI at 54.73 remains neutral.
Price testing critical support at $1,330 with next target at $1,233 if broken.
Meyka forecasts $1,370.74 in one month but $288.80 in 12 months.
Zcash fell 3.6% to $1,287.07 in 24 hours, dropping $47.64 as the coin decoupled from Bitcoin’s 3% gain. The decline stems from $30.25 million in net outflows from the Grayscale Zcash ETF on September 30 and persistent negative sentiment tied to the September 24 Bitget hack, where stolen funds moved through Zcash’s shielded pool. Trading volume surged 34% above average, confirming the selling pressure.
Why Zcash is underperforming while Bitcoin rallies
While Bitcoin gained nearly 3% on October 1-2 from renewed ETF inflows, Zcash moved in the opposite direction. This decoupling signals localized selling pressure specific to Zcash, not a broader market downturn. The Grayscale Zcash ETF outflows and lingering concerns about the coin’s association with the Bitget hack are outweighing positive developments like the October 2 launch of a THORChain ZEC liquidity pool.
Technical picture shows RSI at neutral, ADX confirms strong downtrend
The RSI sits at 54.73, neither overbought nor oversold, but the ADX at 55.85 signals a strong downtrend. Price is well below the upper Bollinger Band at $1,708.61, sitting near the middle band at $1,341.19. The MACD histogram is negative at -29.20, with the MACD line below its signal line, confirming bearish momentum. These indicators point to a short-term downtrend within a larger uptrend.
Support and resistance levels define the next move
Zcash is testing critical support between $1,361 (50% Fibonacci retracement) and $1,330 (recent low). If the price holds above $1,330, a rebound toward $1,411 (23.6% Fib level) is possible. A daily close below $1,330 would invalidate this support and open the door to stronger support at $1,233. The 24-hour volume surge to 1.18 billion confirms conviction behind the move.
Meyka forecasts show sharp divergence between near and long term
Meyka’s one-month forecast is $1,370.74, a 6.5% upside from current price, suggesting a near-term bounce. However, the 12-month forecast drops to $288.80, a 77.6% decline, reflecting deep skepticism about Zcash’s longer-term prospects. Forecasts may change due to market conditions, regulations, or unexpected events.
Final Thoughts
Zcash’s 3.6% drop reflects coin-specific headwinds rather than a market-wide selloff. With ADX at 55.85 confirming a strong downtrend and price testing key support at $1,330, the immediate risk is further downside if buyers fail to defend that level. Watch the daily close.
FAQs
Zcash decoupled from the broader rally due to $30.25M in Grayscale ETF outflows and lingering negative sentiment from the Bitget hack association.
If Zcash closes below $1,330, the next major support sits at $1,233, representing a further 4.2% downside from current price.
No. The RSI at 54.73 is neutral, neither overbought nor oversold, but the ADX at 55.85 confirms a strong downtrend in place.
Meyka forecasts $1,370.74 in one month, a 6.5% gain, but the 12-month forecast is $288.80, implying severe long-term weakness.
Disclaimer:
Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. This content is for informational purposes only. The Forecast Prediction Model is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market data and sentiment analysis, not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
About Author

Huzaifa Zahoor
Co FounderHuzaifa Zahoor is the engineer who built Meyka. He has spent years writing Python, training AI models, and building data pipelines specifically for financial markets. His technical articles have reached over 30,000 readers on Medium, so he knows how to make complex things easy to follow. If this article touches on how the tools work, he is the person who actually built them.
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