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Cardano Falls 8.4% to $0.234 as RSI Signals Neutral Territory

October 9, 2026
04:55 AM
3 min read

Key Points

Cardano fell 8.4% to $0.234 in 24 hours with volume 97% above average.

RSI neutral at 49.3 but CCI deeply oversold at -115.2 signals extreme weakness.

ADX at 28.9 confirms strong downtrend; price trades below 50-day moving average.

Meyka forecasts 21.4% decline to $0.184 in one month and 45.6% drop to $0.127 in one year.

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Cardano USD fell 8.4% to $0.234 in 24 hours, erasing gains from earlier in the week. No single news event explains the decline. The technical picture shows mixed signals: RSI sits in neutral territory at 49.3, while ADX at 28.9 confirms a strong downtrend. Volume surged 97% above average to 906.6 million, suggesting institutional selling pressure.

Why Cardano dropped sharply overnight

ADAUSD opened at $0.255 and closed at $0.234, a $0.021 loss. The day’s range was $0.225 to $0.258, showing volatility but no recovery. Trading volume nearly doubled the 30-day average, indicating heavy liquidation or position unwinding. The 5-day loss of 4.7% suggests the decline is part of a broader pullback, not a one-day spike.

Technical picture shows oversold conditions with strong trend

RSI at 49.3 sits neutral, neither overbought nor oversold, but the CCI at -115.2 signals extreme oversold conditions. ADX at 28.9 confirms a strong downtrend in place. Price trades below the 50-day moving average of $0.225 and sits near the Bollinger Band lower support at $0.190, leaving room to fall further if selling continues.

Forecast data points to continued weakness

Meyka’s 1-month forecast is -$0.05, implying a drop to $0.184, or 21.4% below current price. The 12-month forecast is $0.127, suggesting 45.6% downside from today. These projections reflect the technical weakness and the coin’s 72% decline over the past year. Forecasts may change due to market conditions, regulations, or unexpected events.

Volume surge and momentum divergence

Relative volume hit 1.87x average, the highest in weeks, but momentum remains negative at -0.02. The Awesome Oscillator at 0.03 shows minimal bullish pressure. MFI at 50.6 is neutral, neither accumulation nor distribution. Williams %R at -88.2 reinforces oversold pressure, yet the lack of a reversal signal suggests sellers remain in control.

Final Thoughts

Cardano’s 8.4% drop reflects sustained selling pressure in a strong downtrend. With RSI neutral, CCI deeply oversold, and forecasts pointing lower, the data suggests caution for buyers until a clear reversal signal emerges on higher timeframes.

FAQs

Why did Cardano drop 8.4% today?

No single news event caused the decline. Heavy volume and oversold CCI readings suggest institutional selling in an established downtrend.

Is Cardano oversold right now?

CCI at -115.2 signals extreme oversold conditions, but RSI at 49.3 is neutral. Price near the $0.19 Bollinger Band lower support.

What is Meyka’s price forecast for Cardano?

1-month forecast is $0.184, down 21.4%. 12-month forecast is $0.127, down 45.6% from current price.

What does the ADX reading mean for Cardano?

ADX at 28.9 confirms a strong downtrend is in place. Readings above 25 signal robust directional momentum, not a reversal.

Disclaimer:

Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. This content is for informational purposes only. The Forecast Prediction Model is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market data and sentiment analysis, not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Author

Author

Danny Kontos

Co Founder

Danny Kontos has been a stock investor since 2007 and co-founded Meyka in 2023. He keeps a small, focused portfolio and only moves when the numbers are hard to argue with. He has waited years on a single position before. Before Meyka, he ran a web hosting company and a mortgage lending platform, so he knows what a well-run business actually looks like under the hood. This article did not come from a news cycle. It came from someone who has been watching this space for a long time.

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