Earnings Recap

LMT Earnings Miss: Lockheed Martin Q1 2026 Falls Short

April 25, 2026
5 min read

Key Points

Lockheed Martin missed Q1 2026 earnings with $6.44 EPS vs $6.74 estimate

Revenue fell to $18.02B versus $18.22B forecast, marking consecutive misses

Stock declined 3.08% to $513.45 as technical indicators show oversold conditions

Strong free cash flow and B+ Meyka grade suggest miss may be temporary setback

Lockheed Martin Corporation missed earnings expectations on April 23, 2026. The aerospace and defense giant reported $6.44 earnings per share, falling short of the $6.74 estimate by 4.45%. Revenue came in at $18.02 billion, missing the $18.22 billion forecast by 1.10%. The stock reacted sharply, dropping 3.08% to $513.45 in trading. This marks a disappointing quarter for LMT, especially compared to strong results in the previous quarter when the company beat both metrics.

Earnings Miss Signals Weakness in Defense Contractor

Lockheed Martin’s Q1 2026 earnings results disappointed investors on both fronts. The company’s earnings per share fell short by $0.30, while revenue missed by $200 million. This represents a notable reversal from the previous quarter when LMT beat EPS estimates by delivering $7.43 against a $5.81 estimate.

EPS Performance Deteriorates

The $6.44 EPS marks a significant decline from the prior quarter’s $7.43, representing a 13.4% drop quarter-over-quarter. This weakness suggests operational challenges or margin compression within the defense contractor’s core business segments.

Revenue Misses Forecast

Revenue of $18.02 billion fell below expectations and declined from the previous quarter’s $20.33 billion. The 1.10% miss indicates softer demand or project delays across Lockheed Martin’s four operating segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space.

Stock Price Reaction and Market Sentiment

The market responded negatively to Lockheed Martin’s earnings miss. The stock fell 3.08% on the day, closing at $513.45 after opening at $525.00. This decline reflects investor disappointment with the company’s inability to meet consensus expectations.

Technical Weakness Emerges

Technical indicators show significant oversold conditions. The RSI stands at 20.99, indicating oversold territory. The Stochastic indicator shows %K at 5.67 and %D at 5.54, both extremely low. The MACD histogram is negative at -7.89, suggesting downward momentum.

Analyst Consensus Remains Mixed

Despite the miss, analyst sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. The consensus rating shows 4 Buy ratings, 14 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell rating. Meyka AI rates LMT with a grade of B+, suggesting the company retains fundamental strength despite near-term weakness.

Comparing Q1 2026 results to the previous three quarters reveals a troubling trend. The company beat expectations in Q4 2025 and Q3 2025, but now faces consecutive misses. This pattern suggests potential headwinds in the defense sector or execution challenges at Lockheed Martin.

Q4 2025 Beat Expectations Significantly

In the previous quarter, LMT delivered $7.43 EPS against a $5.81 estimate, beating by 27.9%. Revenue of $20.33 billion also exceeded the $19.86 billion forecast. That strong performance makes the current miss more concerning.

Deteriorating Momentum

The current quarter’s miss breaks a streak of positive surprises. Q3 2025 also beat with $7.29 EPS versus $6.52 estimate. The shift from consistent beats to a miss suggests operational or market challenges requiring management attention and investor scrutiny.

What This Means for Investors and Forward Outlook

Lockheed Martin’s earnings miss raises questions about the company’s near-term trajectory. With a market cap of $118.3 billion and a PE ratio of 24.85, the stock trades at a premium valuation that now appears less justified given recent performance.

Valuation Concerns Emerge

The price-to-sales ratio of 1.61 and price-to-book ratio of 16.16 suggest the market has priced in stronger growth than current results deliver. The miss may pressure multiples if the company cannot demonstrate a return to growth.

Cash Flow Remains Strong

One bright spot: free cash flow per share of $24.63 and operating cash flow of $32.05 per share remain robust. The company’s dividend yield of 2.57% and $13.50 annual dividend provide income support for long-term holders despite near-term weakness.

Final Thoughts

Lockheed Martin’s Q1 2026 earnings miss marks a significant disappointment for the aerospace and defense contractor. Missing both EPS and revenue estimates while posting a 13.4% quarter-over-quarter EPS decline signals operational headwinds. The 3.08% stock decline reflects investor concern about execution and growth prospects. However, strong free cash flow, a solid B+ Meyka grade, and mixed analyst sentiment suggest the miss may be temporary. Investors should monitor management guidance and Q2 results closely to determine if this represents a trend reversal or a one-quarter stumble in an otherwise stable business.

FAQs

Did Lockheed Martin beat or miss earnings?

Lockheed Martin missed both metrics. EPS was $6.44 versus $6.74 estimate (4.45% miss), and revenue was $18.02B versus $18.22B forecast (1.10% miss). The stock fell 3.08% following the announcement.

How does Q1 2026 compare to previous quarters?

Q1 2026 shows significant decline versus Q4 2025’s strong performance ($7.43 EPS, $20.33B revenue). Q1 experienced 13.4% EPS decline and 11.4% revenue decline, ending a streak of positive surprises.

What is Meyka AI’s rating for Lockheed Martin?

Meyka AI rates LMT with a B+ grade, indicating neutral sentiment. Strong ROE and ROA scores are offset by concerns about valuation metrics and elevated debt levels.

Is Lockheed Martin stock a buy after the earnings miss?

Analyst consensus shows 4 Buy, 14 Hold, 1 Sell rating. Strong free cash flow ($24.63 per share) and 2.57% dividend yield support long-term holders, though near-term caution is warranted.

What caused the stock price to drop?

The stock fell 3.08% to $513.45 due to earnings miss and weak quarter-over-quarter performance. Oversold technical conditions (RSI 20.99) suggest potential recovery if fundamentals stabilize.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Earnings estimates are analyst projections and not guarantees of actual results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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