Key Points
Bitcoin fell to $58,000 on June 25, its lowest price since September 2024.
US PCE inflation rose 4.1% YoY in May, the highest reading since April 2023.
Total crypto liquidations reached $1.26 billion across 209,000+ traders over 24 hours on June 25.
The Fed held rates at 3.50%–3.75% in June and removed all easing language.
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is clinging to the $59,900 level on June 26, 2026, following one of its sharpest single-day drops this year. Bitcoin fell to $58,000 on June 25, its weakest level since September 2024, after hotter US inflation data dented expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. US PCE rose 4.1% year-on-year in May, with core PCE at 3.4%. The selloff hit equities and crypto simultaneously, with the Nasdaq 100 reversing an intraday rally in lockstep with BTC’s decline.
The Inflation Trigger: PCE Data Drives the Drop
Thursday’s price action had a single root cause: the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rose 4.1% in May from a year earlier, its highest reading since April 2023. Consumer spending rose 0.7% in May, above forecasts, while first-quarter GDP was revised up to 2.1% from 1.6%.
That combination of strong spending, rising inflation, and upward GDP removed any remaining case for a 2026 rate cut. The market reacted immediately.
Key macro data driving BTC on June 25–26:
- US PCE (May YoY): 4.1% highest since April 2023
- Core PCE: 3.4%
- Q1 2026 GDP Revised: +2.1% (up from 1.6%)
- Consumer Spending (May): +0.7% MoM, above forecasts
- Fed Funds Rate: 3.50%–3.75% (held at June meeting)
Fed Chair Warsh Kills Rate-Cut Hope
The Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a clear message at its June meeting. The Fed held rates at 3.50%–3.75% but removed all easing language. The committee raised its 2026 PCE inflation projection to 3.6% from 2.7% in March, the largest single-meeting upward revision since the inflation surge began.
Warsh himself abstained from submitting a dot projection, becoming the first Fed Chair in modern history to do so, signaling unprecedented policy uncertainty. Higher real yields reduce demand for non-yielding assets like Bitcoin directly, and the market is pricing that in now.
Liquidations and ETF Outflows: The Scale of Damage
The BTC selloff on June 25 wasn’t orderly it was a cascade. On-chain data showed over $450 million in leveraged longs liquidated as BTC dropped nearly 2.6%. Total crypto liquidations reached $1.26 billion among more than 209,000 traders over 24 hours.
ETF flows added more pressure. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $68.3 million in outflows on June 22, with six straight weeks of institutional selling pressuring prices. Even a modest $39.9 million ETF inflow on June 24 failed to halt the decline, suggesting distribution pressure remains dominant.
Crypto damage on June 25:
- BTC intraday low: $58,000 (21-month low)
- Liquidations: $1.26 billion across 209,000+ traders
- BTC long liquidations: ~$450 million
- ETF outflows (June 22): $68.3 million
- Ethereum: Fell to $1,561.08 by 12:37 PM ET (down 2.8%)
Related Stocks and Assets Moving With Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s June 26 price action is closely linked to moves across tech and crypto-adjacent equities:
- Strategy / MicroStrategy holds 500,000+ BTC; stock under pressure as BTC approaches cost basis levels
- Coinbase Global (NASDAQ: COIN) exchange revenue is directly tied to BTC trading volumes
- NVIDIA AI chip demand competes with crypto mining capital flows
- MicroStrategy-linked ETFs amplified exposure to BTC price swings
- XRP (XRP-USD): $1.03, down 3.60%; Solana (SOL-USD): $66.36, down 1.81%
Bitcoin’s $59,900 hold on June 26, 2026, is fragile. With PCE at a three-year high of 4.1%, the Fed locked at 3.50-3.75%, and ETF outflows running six straight weeks, the macro picture offers little relief for BTC until inflation data materially shifts.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
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