AVAV stock AeroVironment NASDAQ $262.25 close 25 Feb 2026: analysts eye $320

AVAV stock closed at $262.25 on NASDAQ in the United States on 25 Feb 2026. Traders entered the week ahead of an earnings report due 03 Mar 2026, keeping volume modest at 731,500 shares. AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) blends unmanned systems and AI-enabled autonomy for defense and commercial customers. We use Meyka AI’s real-time data to link valuation, analyst targets and technicals for a concise view of near-term upside and risks.

AVAV stock: price action, volume and technicals

AVAV stock traded between $246.15 and $265.90 on the session. The stock closed at $262.25, matching yesterday’s finish. Volume of 731,500 was below the 30‑day average of 1,385,325, showing lighter trading ahead of earnings.

Technically, the 50‑day average sits at $282.90 and the 200‑day average at $269.91. The RSI is 43.96, MACD histogram is 0.80, and ATR is 19.54, indicating neutral momentum with elevated volatility relative to daily moves.

AVAV stock: fundamentals and valuation snapshot

AeroVironment (AVAV) reports EPS -1.23 and a trailing PE of -207.50, reflecting recent losses. Market capitalization stands at $12,743,697,871.00 and shares outstanding are 49,932,207. The company shows a strong current ratio of 5.08, and cash per share of 11.84 USD.

Price-to‑sales is 9.32, and price-to‑book is 2.88. Free cash flow per share is -4.17 USD, and net margin is -5.08%. These metrics point to growth investment tradeoffs and ongoing margin normalization work.

AVAV stock: analyst consensus, targets and upcoming earnings

Wall Street shows a mix of ratings. The upgrade/downgrade consensus reads Strong Buy 3, Buy 20, Hold 1 and consensus level 4.00. MarketBeat and covering analysts list a consensus price target of $367.00, implying 39.95% upside from $262.25.

AeroVironment will report results on 03 Mar 2026. Street consensus expects revenue near $480.05 million and EPS around $0.70. These numbers set a high bar for a company that missed estimates in recent quarters.

AVAV stock: Meyka AI grade and forecast model

Meyka AI rates AVAV with a score out of 100: 73 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparison, financial growth, key metrics and analyst consensus.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly $227.08 (-13.41% vs current), quarterly $278.84 (+6.33%), and yearly $255.63 (-2.52%). Multi‑year projections show three‑year $332.96 (+26.97%) and five‑year $408.74 (+55.89%). Forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees.

AVAV stock: risks, opportunities and sector context

AeroVironment sits in Aerospace & Defense within Industrials. Opportunity drivers include UAS demand, tactical missile programs and AI‑enabled autonomy exports to allies. Revenue growth accelerated year‑over‑year, with operating income improvements noted in recent filings.

Risks include negative trailing EPS, fragile free cash flow, long receivables days (205.77) and execution risk on large government programs. Sector rotation into defense and AI hardware could lift AVAV, but contract timing and margin pressure remain key risks.

AVAV stock: trading strategy and position sizing ideas

For short‑term traders, watch earnings on 03 Mar 2026 and volume spikes above 1.38M for trend confirmation. Set event risk stops near the 50‑day MA at $282.90 for momentum trades.

For longer term investors, consider staged exposure with size limits aligned to portfolio risk. Use price targets like $320.00 to $367.00 from analysts for scaling plans and reassess after the upcoming report.

Final Thoughts

AVAV stock closed at $262.25 on NASDAQ on 25 Feb 2026, with subdued volume ahead of earnings on 03 Mar 2026. Analysts show a Moderate Buy consensus and price targets centered near $367.00, implying 39.95% upside. Meyka AI’s model gives a near‑term yearly projection of $255.63, a -2.52% change versus the current price, while three‑year forecasts suggest $332.96, a 26.97% upside. Our Meyka AI grade is 73 out of 100 (B+, BUY), reflecting growth potential but also execution and cash‑flow risk. Investors should weigh the upcoming earnings call, contract milestones, and defense sector flows before changing position sizes. For more data, see the detailed MarketBeat and Nasdaq coverage and our AVAV page at Meyka AI.

FAQs

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.