Key Points
Anthropic hit a $965 billion valuation in May 2026, surpassing OpenAI's $852 billion round.
Anthropic's revenue run rate surged to $47 billion up from $10 billion just one year ago.
Anthropic targets an October 2026 IPO, raising over $60 billion via Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan.
OpenAI projects $100 billion in 2028 revenue, but will not turn profitable before 2030.
The Anthropic vs OpenAI story did not begin as a rivalry it began as a breakup. Anthropic was founded in 2021 by Dario Amodei, Daniela Amodei, and other former OpenAI executives who left over disagreements on AI safety and development philosophy. OpenAI had triggered the AI arms race in November 2022 with the launch of ChatGPT a product that reshaped the entire technology industry within weeks.
Now, less than four years later, these two San Francisco companies are the two most valuable AI startups on Earth, locked in a race for enterprise dominance, IPO supremacy, and the definition of safe AI. The numbers tell a story that nobody in 2021 could have scripted.
Where Each Company Stands Today — The Valuation Reversal
For most of 2025, OpenAI led on valuation. That changed in May 2026.
- Anthropic raised $65 billion in a Series H round led by Altimeter Capital, Greenoaks, Dragoneer, and Sequoia Capital pushing its valuation to $965 billion.
- OpenAI closed its most recent funding round at an $852 billion valuation in early 2026, backed by Microsoft’s cumulative commitment exceeding $13 billion and SoftBank’s $40 billion loan the largest AI-focused corporate loan in history.
- Anthropic’s total funding raised stands at approximately $64 billion; OpenAI’s total capital commitments exceed $110 billion when factoring in the Stargate infrastructure deal.
- Secondary market offers for Anthropic reportedly reached $800 billion in April 2026 a figure the company has so far declined.
Revenue: Anthropic Closes the Gap at Speed
From Zero to $47 Billion Run Rate in Three Years
OpenAI’s total capital commitments are larger but Anthropic’s revenue trajectory is the more dramatic story. Anthropic’s revenue run rate hit $47 billion as of May 2026, up from $30 billion earlier in the year and just $10 billion in annual revenue in 2025. Enterprise clients now drive approximately 80% of Anthropic’s total revenue, with more than 300,000 businesses using Claude tools. Claude Code launched in early 2026 alone reached nearly $1 billion in annualised revenue within months of launch.
OpenAI is not standing still. OpenAI reported an annual revenue run rate of approximately $13 billion in 2025 and projects revenue will exceed $100 billion by 2028 implying near 100% annualised growth over three years. However, HSBC estimates OpenAI will lose $14 billion in 2026 alone, with cumulative losses reaching $44 billion between 2023 and 2028. Profitability is not expected before 2030.
The IPO Race — Both Are Coming to Market
This is no longer a private market rivalry. Both companies are heading for Wall Street and the timing will define the AI IPO era.
- Anthropic’s early IPO talks via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley target an October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion.
- Claude sign-ups crossed 1 million new users per day in March 2026 a growth rate that directly supports the IPO valuation case.
- OpenAI has not yet filed formal SEC IPO paperwork but a public offering before year-end 2026 is widely expected across Wall Street.
- Both companies are watching SpaceX’s SPCX debut on June 12 closely its reception will calibrate exactly how much public market appetite exists for $1 trillion-scale AI and tech listings.
The listed proxy for both right now is Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) OpenAI’s largest backer and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), which has committed up to $8 billion to Anthropic. Both stocks move on every major development in this rivalry.
The Safety Divide: The Founding Disagreement That Still Matters
Anthropic positions itself as the safety-first alternative a stance embedded in its founding charter, which requires the company to pause commercial development if its AI poses risks that exceed its current ability to manage them safely. OpenAI’s restructuring from a nonprofit to a for-profit capped benefit company in 2025 drew criticism from former insiders and regulators alike.
Anthropic has also faced friction with the Trump administration, which labeled the firm a “supply chain risk” over its refusal to allow unrestricted military access to its AI tools. The philosophical divide that caused the original split in 2021 has not narrowed it has widened into a commercial differentiator.
Final Thoughts
The Anthropic vs OpenAI rivalry has moved from a philosophical disagreement about AI safety into the most financially consequential competition in technology history. With Anthropic now the more valuable company at $965 billion and both firms heading toward public listings that could collectively raise over $120 billion, the public market will soon render its own verdict on which approach safety-first or scale-first deserves the higher multiple. That answer arrives before the end of 2026.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
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