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Global Market Insights

WMT Stock Today May 21: Earnings Miss as Gas Prices Squeeze Shoppers

May 22, 2026
07:11 AM
3 min read

Key Points

Walmart stock drops 7% on May 21 after issuing weak earnings guidance.

Company expects adjusted EPS between $2.75-$2.85, below $2.91 consensus estimate.

High gas prices at $4.56 per gallon force shoppers to cut discretionary spending.

Sales growth expected to slow significantly between May and July.

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Walmart issued a disappointing financial outlook on May 21, raising concerns about U.S. consumer strength as high gas prices squeeze household budgets. The mega retailer reported fiscal first-quarter results that fell short of expectations, with adjusted earnings per share guidance between $2.75 and $2.85, below the $2.91 consensus estimate. WMT shares dropped 7% following the announcement. The company warned that sales growth between May and July will slow significantly, with Middle East conflict driving crude oil prices higher and pushing gasoline to $4.56 per gallon—up from $3 when the war began.

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Walmart’s Weak Guidance Signals Consumer Stress

Walmart’s fiscal 2027 outlook disappointed investors, with the retailer standing by previously issued guidance that already missed expectations last quarter. The company expects adjusted earnings per share between $2.75 and $2.85, significantly below analyst expectations of $2.91 according to LSEG data.

Finance boss John David Rainey told CNBC that rising fuel costs are directly impacting shopper behavior. Consumers are cutting discretionary spending as they allocate more money to transportation, a key indicator of economic stress spreading across income levels.

Gas Prices Hit Record Levels, Pressuring Household Budgets

The average price of a gallon of petrol has surged to $4.56, up from $3 when the Middle East conflict began, according to data from motoring group AAA. This 52% increase in fuel costs is forcing American households to make tough choices about spending.

Walmart warned that higher petrol prices are biting consumer wallets, with shoppers prioritizing essential purchases over discretionary items. The conflict has led to a surge in wholesale oil prices, creating a ripple effect through the entire retail sector.

Sales Growth Expected to Slow Through Summer

Walmart expects its sales growth to slow significantly between May and July compared to the previous three months. The retailer’s cautious outlook reflects broader concerns about consumer resilience as inflation persists in energy markets.

This slowdown comes despite Walmart’s position as America’s largest retailer, suggesting that even value-focused shoppers are pulling back. The company’s warning carries weight across the retail industry, as Walmart’s customer base spans all income levels and serves as a barometer for overall consumer health.

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Final Thoughts

Walmart’s May 21 earnings miss and weak guidance paint a troubling picture for U.S. consumers. High gas prices are forcing shoppers to cut spending on discretionary items, signaling economic stress that extends beyond low-income households. Investors should watch retail earnings closely, as Walmart’s warning suggests broader headwinds ahead for consumer-dependent sectors.

FAQs

Why did Walmart stock drop 7% on May 21?

Walmart issued worse-than-expected earnings guidance, warning that elevated gas prices are forcing shoppers to reduce spending and slow sales growth.

What is Walmart’s new earnings per share guidance?

Walmart expects adjusted EPS between $2.75 and $2.85, below the $2.91 consensus estimate, disappointing investors and triggering the stock decline.

How high have gas prices risen?

Average gasoline prices reached $4.56 per gallon, up significantly from $3 when Middle East tensions escalated, according to AAA data.

Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes.  Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.

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