Key Points
Volkswagen plans to cut model lineup by 50% and reduce production capacity to 9 million vehicles by 2030.
Global deliveries fell 8.6% year-on-year in Q2, with China sales down 33% to 424,300 units.
Union-backed supervisory board rejected the full restructuring plan 12 to 7 on July 10.
Meyka grades VOW3.DE a B with €86.98 12-month forecast; stock trades at €70.98 with RSI at 31.34 signalling oversold conditions.
Volkswagen’s executive board presented a radical restructuring plan on July 10 targeting 100,000 job cuts and closure of four German factories by 2030. The plan cuts the model lineup by half and reduces production capacity to 9 million vehicles annually from the current 10 million. Global deliveries fell 8.6% year-on-year in the second quarter, driven by a 33% sales plunge in China and weak US demand. The supervisory board, which includes labour representatives, rejected the proposal 12 to 7, leaving the plan’s fate uncertain.
Why Volkswagen is cutting half its models
Volkswagen faces mounting pressure from Chinese competitors, US tariffs, and weak EV profitability. The company’s second-quarter deliveries fell 2.08 million units, down 9% from last year. China sales collapsed to 424,300 vehicles, a 33% drop. CEO Oliver Blume said the goal is to make Volkswagen “the most attractive automotive company in the world” by 2030, but the path requires radical cost cuts and portfolio simplification.
The restructuring plan faces union resistance
Labour representatives on the supervisory board blocked the plan on Thursday, voting 12 to 7 against management’s proposal. IG Metall, Germany’s largest trade union, organised nationwide protests to stop the 100,000 job cuts and plant closures in Hanover, Emden, Zwickau, and Audi’s Neckarsulm facility. The company made no official announcement of job cuts or closures after the meeting, instead releasing only the model-reduction strategy that did not require board approval.
What the cuts mean for the product lineup
Volkswagen will reduce model complexity by up to 75%, cutting powertrains, trims, and equipment packages. The group will concentrate on high-demand segments, likely putting coupes, convertibles, and low-volume models like the Porsche 718, Audi R8, and TT at risk. Core models such as the T-Roc, Tiguan, and Golf will remain central to the strategy. Electric vehicle orders in Europe jumped 50%, now representing one-third of the backlog.
Stock impact and investor outlook
VW’s share price fell 0.6% on July 10 as uncertainty over the plan’s approval weighed on sentiment. Meyka grades VOW3.DE a B with a neutral recommendation, forecasting €86.98 in 12 months versus the current €70.98. The RSI sits at 31.34, signalling oversold conditions, while the ADX at 33.36 shows a strong downtrend. With a PE ratio of 4.07 and dividend yield of 7.4%, the stock offers value but faces execution risk on the restructuring.
Final Thoughts
Volkswagen’s plan to halve its model range and cut 100,000 jobs marks a pivotal moment for the auto industry, but union opposition has blocked formal approval. The stock trades at a steep discount with Meyka grading it B and forecasting upside to €86.98, yet the restructuring’s success remains uncertain.
FAQs
To reduce production complexity, lower costs, and compete with Chinese automakers. Fewer variants mean simpler supply chains and faster decisions on which models to prioritize.
Up to 100,000 jobs worldwide, representing more than 15% of the workforce. Four German plants may close: Hanover, Emden, Zwickau, and Audi’s Neckarsulm facility.
No. Labour representatives voted 12 to 7 against the plan on July 10. The company released only the model-reduction strategy, which did not require board approval.
Sales plummeted 33% in the second quarter to 424,300 vehicles due to intense local competition and a shrinking market. This was the biggest drag on global deliveries.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
About Author

Danny Kontos
Co FounderDanny Kontos has been a stock investor since 2007 and co-founded Meyka in 2023. He keeps a small, focused portfolio and only moves when the numbers are hard to argue with. He has waited years on a single position before. Before Meyka, he ran a web hosting company and a mortgage lending platform, so he knows what a well-run business actually looks like under the hood. This article did not come from a news cycle. It came from someone who has been watching this space for a long time.
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