Trump’s Approval Rating Sinks to 37%, Driven Down by Iran War

President Donald Trump’s approval rating has collapsed to 37% in the latest Economist/YouGov poll, with 59% disapproving of his job performance. The survey of 1,616 respondents conducted July 10-13 marks a continued slide into record-low territory, fueled by public anger over the escalating Iran conflict and persistent economic anxiety. Trump’s net approval rating now stands at minus 22, threatening Republican control of Congress in November’s midterms.

The Iran war is dragging down Trump’s numbers

The unpopular conflict with Iran has become the defining drag on Trump’s presidency. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released July 13 found 79% of Americans believe U.S. military actions in Iran will drag on for an extended period, while 58% disapprove of the strikes themselves. The Economist/YouGov survey showed 59% disapprove of Trump’s handling of the war, a figure that has remained steady since fighting began and peaked at 64% disapproval in late May.

Young voters are abandoning Trump at alarming rates

Trump’s standing has deteriorated sharply among Americans aged 18-34, according to a July 2026 Echelon Insights poll. His approval among younger voters sits at just 35%, with 65% disapproving, a net negative of 30 points. Since his second term began in January 2025, Trump’s net approval among young voters has fallen 37 points, a steeper decline than his overall 15-point drop over the same period.

The economy is weighing on voter confidence

Americans overwhelmingly describe the economy as “fair/poor” and “getting worse,” according to the latest Economist/YouGov survey. Inflation and prices rank as the top concern among voters, followed by jobs and healthcare. Trump’s overall approval has fallen from an initial high of 50.5% when he took office in January 2025 to 41.1% today, according to RealClearPolling.

Trump disputes the polls while White House defends record

Trump claimed a 59% approval rating in a Sunday night Truth Social post, attributing gains to falling oil and gas prices. However, Nate Silver’s polling average shows Trump at 40.1% approval with 56.5% disapproving. The White House spokesman Davis Ingle rejected the polls as incomplete, stating Trump has accomplished more than any president in history and is working to create jobs and cool inflation. No single poll since early June has come within 10 percentage points of Trump’s claimed 59% approval rating.

Final Thoughts

Trump’s collapse to 37% approval reflects genuine voter discontent over the Iran war and the economy, not a polling anomaly. With Republicans facing potential losses in November’s midterms, the White House’s defense of its record appears insufficient to reverse the trend.

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