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Tech Stock: SpaceX Shares Retreat to $126 by July 17 After Jumping 19% on IPO Debut

July 20, 2026
10:57 AM
5 min read

Key Points

SpaceX shares fell to around $126 on 17 July 2026 after soaring 19% on their IPO debut.

Starship launch delays, profit-taking, and lock-up concerns triggered the recent stock pullback.

Investors are watching August earnings, Starship updates, and insider selling for the next market move.

Meyka and several analysts remain cautiously optimistic about SpaceX's long-term growth despite near-term volatility.

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On 17 July 2026, SpaceX shares traded near $126, giving back a large part of the gains made after the company’s much-anticipated IPO. The stock had climbed 19% on its first day of trading and quickly became one of the market’s most closely watched listings. Since then, investor sentiment has shifted from tech stocks, and many early buyers have taken profits. So, why has the stock pulled back, and what should investors keep an eye on next?

Why did SpaceX shares fall to around $126 after a Strong IPO Debut?

From 19% First-Day Gain to Sharp Pullback

SpaceX shares have cooled after an impressive market debut. The company listed on 12 June 2026 at $135 per share and surged 19% on its opening day. The rally briefly lifted the stock above $225, but the momentum did not last.

Meyka AI: Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) Stock Overview, July 20, 2026
Meyka AI: Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) Stock Overview, July 20, 2026

By 17 July 2026, the share price had slipped to around $126, erasing much of those early gains. The decline has cut roughly $1 trillion from the company’s market value since its peak. Investors are paying closer attention to execution, valuation, and upcoming business updates instead of the excitement that followed the IPO. Concerns about insider selling and project delays have also weighed on sentiment.

Latest Trading Performance

The latest decline pushed SpaceX below its IPO price for the first time. Trading activity picked up as investors responded to recent developments and locked in profits after the strong early rally.

The stock has remained volatile because only a limited number of shares are available for public trading. That smaller float can lead to larger price swings as buying and selling activity changes.

Four Major Reasons Behind the SpaceX Stock Decline

Why did the Starship launch delay hurt investor confidence?

A planned Starship Flight 13 mission was delayed after engineers identified issues with two Raptor engines. Elon Musk later confirmed that both engines would be replaced before another launch attempt.

Starship remains a major part of SpaceX’s long-term business plans. It supports Starlink expansion, commercial launches, and NASA missions. Any delay raises questions about timing and execution, which have added pressure to the stock.

Could insider selling pressure increase?

Another issue investors are watching is the upcoming lock-up expiration.

Following the company’s expected earnings release in early August 2026, more than 900 million shares could become available for trading. That does not mean all insiders will sell, but a larger supply of shares often creates short-term pressure on the stock price.

Is the wider tech market adding pressure?

The recent weakness is not limited to SpaceX. Technology stocks have become more volatile as investors reassess expensive growth companies. Stocks with high valuations usually react more sharply when expectations change. SpaceX has also seen profit-taking after its strong IPO rally, adding to the recent decline.

What Investors Should Watch Next for SpaceX Shares?

What are the next key catalysts?

Several upcoming events could influence the direction of SpaceX shares over the next few weeks.

  • The next Starship launch attempt.
  • The company’s first public earnings report is expected in early August 2026.
  • Updates on Starlink subscriber growth and new government contracts.
  • Any insider selling after lock-up restrictions expire.

Tech Stocks: Stock outlook and technical analysis

According to Meyka, SpaceX has recovered slightly after its recent correction but is still trading under pressure as investors wait for earnings. The platform notes that support has weakened below the IPO price, while resistance remains around previous recovery levels.

Meyka AI: Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) Stock Technical Analysis & Trading Signals, July 20, 2026
Meyka AI: Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) Stock Technical Analysis & Trading Signals, July 20, 2026

Meyka’s view stays cautiously positive over the longer term, supported by Starlink’s continued growth and SpaceX’s position in the commercial space industry. Investors can also use an AI stock analysis tool to track price trends alongside earnings, technical signals, and company fundamentals rather than relying only on short-term market moves.

Other analysts continue to hold a positive view despite the recent decline. Reuters reported that 27 out of 32 analysts rate SpaceX as a Buy. At the same time, many expect volatility to continue because of the company’s valuation and upcoming lock-up expiry.

Conclusion

SpaceX shares have pulled back sharply since their strong IPO debut, but investors are now focused on what comes next rather than what happened on listing day. The next Starship launch, the first earnings report, and the end of the lock-up period are likely to shape sentiment over the coming weeks.

If the company delivers on its operational plans and continues to grow Starlink and its government business, the stock could regain momentum over time.

Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is for research and informational purposes only. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be treated as investment or trading advice.

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