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Solana Climbs 3.8% to $104.18 as RSI Enters Overbought Territory

September 4, 2026
04:55 AM
3 min read

Key Points

Solana rose 3.8% to $104.18 with RSI at 71.14 overbought.

ADX at 41.0 confirms strong uptrend despite momentum extremes.

One-month forecast $129.01 implies 23.8% upside from current price.

Upper Bollinger Band at $114.58 marks next resistance level.

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Solana USD jumped 3.8% to $104.18 in the past 24 hours, adding $3.78 to its price as the market cap climbed to $59.1 billion. No single news event explains the move. The rally comes as technical indicators flash mixed signals: the RSI sits at 71.14, deep in overbought territory, while the ADX reads 41.0, confirming a strong underlying trend.

Why Solana’s RSI signals caution despite the rally

The RSI at 71.14 sits well above the 70 overbought threshold, a level historically associated with pullbacks or consolidation. Stochastic oscillators reinforce this: both %K and %D read 75.70 and 75.55, also in overbought zones. When multiple momentum indicators cluster this high, reversals often follow within days. The MFI at 69.13 adds to the picture: money flow is strong, but not yet extreme.

ADX at 41 shows the uptrend has real strength

The ADX reading of 41.0 is well above the 25 threshold that signals a strong trend, meaning the upward move is not a flash spike but a sustained directional push. Price sits at $104.18, above the 50-day average of $82.14 and the 200-day average of $82.06, confirming the longer-term bias remains bullish. The MACD histogram at 1.22 is positive and the signal line at 6.34 sits below the MACD at 7.55, a bullish crossover setup.

Bollinger Bands show room to run, but not much

Solana trades at $104.18, between the middle band at $89.60 and the upper band at $114.58. The price is closer to the upper band, leaving only $10.40 of upside before hitting resistance. The day’s high of $105.50 came within $9 of that ceiling. A break above $114.58 would signal further strength; a close below $100 would test the 50-day average.

Meyka forecasts Solana at $129 in one month

Meyka’s one-month forecast stands at $129.01, implying a 23.8% gain from the current $104.18. The 12-month forecast reaches $166.91, a 60.2% increase. These targets assume the current trend persists and no major market disruption occurs. Forecasts may change due to market conditions, regulations, or unexpected events.

Final Thoughts

Solana’s 3.8% rally reflects strong trend momentum, but the RSI deep in overbought territory warns of near-term consolidation risk. The ADX confirms the uptrend is real, not noise. Watch for a hold above $100 to validate further gains toward the $114.58 upper band.

FAQs

Is Solana overbought right now?

Yes. The RSI at 71.14 and Stochastic at 75.70 both exceed overbought thresholds, signaling potential pullback risk in the near term.

What is Solana’s price target for the next month?

Meyka forecasts $129.01 in one month, a 23.8% gain from today’s $104.18 price.

How strong is Solana’s current uptrend?

The ADX at 41.0 confirms a strong trend. Price sits above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, supporting upside bias.

Where is Solana’s next resistance level?

The upper Bollinger Band at $114.58 is the key resistance. A break above it would open the path toward the one-month forecast of $129.01.

Disclaimer:

Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. This content is for informational purposes only. The Forecast Prediction Model is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market data and sentiment analysis, not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Author

Author

Huzaifa Zahoor

Co Founder

Huzaifa Zahoor is the engineer who built Meyka. He has spent years writing Python, training AI models, and building data pipelines specifically for financial markets. His technical articles have reached over 30,000 readers on Medium, so he knows how to make complex things easy to follow. If this article touches on how the tools work, he is the person who actually built them.

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