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SHIBUSD Slides 8.2% as RSI Signals Overbought Conditions

July 29, 2026
01:28 AM
3 min read

Key Points

SHIBUSD fell 8.2% to $4.61e-06 as RSI neared 70 overbought.

ADX at 32.68 confirms strong downtrend in place.

CCI at 430 shows extreme overbought conditions, highest on scale.

12-month forecast of $2.73e-06 implies 40.7% further decline from current price.

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Shiba Inu USD dropped 8.2% to $4.61e-06 in the past 24 hours, erasing gains from earlier in the week. No single news event explains the decline. The move comes as technical indicators flash mixed signals: the RSI sits at 67, near overbought territory, while the ADX at 32.68 confirms a strong underlying trend. Trading volume jumped 59% above the 30-day average to 161.96 million, suggesting active selling pressure.

Why SHIBUSD fell despite strong trend strength

The 8.2% drop occurred as the RSI approached 70, a level where traders typically take profits. The ADX at 32.68 indicates a strong downtrend is now in place, not an uptrend. The CCI at 429.99 shows extreme overbought conditions, the highest level on the indicator scale, which often precedes pullbacks. This combination suggests the decline is a correction within a volatile trading range rather than a reversal of the longer-term pattern.

Technical analysis reveals conflicting momentum signals

The RSI at 67.11 sits just below the 70 overbought threshold, indicating selling pressure may intensify if price continues lower. The Stochastic %K at 40.41 and %D at 35.22 remain in neutral territory, suggesting momentum has not yet reversed sharply. The ROC at 15.07% still shows positive rate of change, but the OBV at negative 161.19 million signals that volume is favoring sellers. Price traded between $4.57e-06 and $5.06e-06 today, a 10.6% intraday range.

12-month forecast points to further downside

Meyka’s yearly forecast stands at $2.73e-06, representing a 40.7% decline from the current price of $4.61e-06. This projection reflects the coin’s year-to-date loss of 33.1% and the three-month decline of 24.9%. The forecast assumes continued selling pressure unless fundamental conditions improve. Forecasts may change due to market conditions, regulations, or unexpected events.

Volume surge confirms active market participation

Trading volume of 161.96 million exceeded the 30-day average of 101.91 million by 59%, indicating strong participation during the decline. This elevated volume lends credibility to the sell-off rather than suggesting it was driven by thin trading. The market cap remains at $2.72 billion, down from the year high of $1.484e-05 per token.

Final Thoughts

SHIBUSD’s 8.2% drop reflects profit-taking after the RSI approached overbought levels, not a fundamental breakdown. With the ADX confirming a strong trend and volume supporting the move, traders should watch whether price holds above the day low of $4.57e-06. The 12-month forecast of $2.73e-06 suggests caution for longer-term holders.

FAQs

Why did Shiba Inu USD drop 8.2% today?

RSI approached 70 overbought levels and CCI hit 430, triggering profit-taking. No news event drove the decline.

Is SHIBUSD oversold after the 8.2% drop?

No. RSI at 67 is near overbought, not oversold. The Stochastic indicators remain neutral, suggesting more downside is possible.

What does Meyka forecast for SHIBUSD in 12 months?

$2.73e-06, a 40.7% decline from today’s price, reflecting continued weakness unless conditions improve.

Did volume confirm the SHIBUSD sell-off?

Yes. Trading volume jumped 59% above average to 161.96 million, showing strong seller participation during the drop.

Disclaimer:

Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. This content is for informational purposes only. The Forecast Prediction Model is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market data and sentiment analysis, not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Author

Author

Danny Kontos

Co Founder

Danny Kontos has been a stock investor since 2007 and co-founded Meyka in 2023. He keeps a small, focused portfolio and only moves when the numbers are hard to argue with. He has waited years on a single position before. Before Meyka, he ran a web hosting company and a mortgage lending platform, so he knows what a well-run business actually looks like under the hood. This article did not come from a news cycle. It came from someone who has been watching this space for a long time.

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