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Analyst Ratings

SCCO: UBS Maintains Sell Rating, Raises Price Target to $145

May 22, 2026
12:59 PM
4 min read

Key Points

UBS maintains Sell rating on SCCO while raising price target to $145.

Analyst consensus heavily skewed with 17 Sell ratings versus 3 Buy ratings.

SCCO trades at elevated P/E of 30.36 and price-to-sales of 10.30 despite strong 45.96% ROE.

Meyka AI rates SCCO B+ but copper price sensitivity and valuation concerns persist.

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UBS maintained its Sell rating on Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) on May 21, 2026, while raising its price target to $145 from $140. The analyst firm’s action reflects a cautious stance despite the upward revision. SCCO trades at $179.12, up 2.89% today, with a market cap of $149.4 billion. The copper miner faces mixed signals from analyst consensus, with 17 Sell ratings against just 3 Buy ratings among tracked analysts.

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UBS Maintains Sell Rating Despite Price Target Increase

UBS kept its Sell rating intact while raising the price target to $145, signaling confidence in near-term downside risk. The $5 increase from the prior $140 target suggests the firm sees limited upside from current levels. UBS raised the price target to $145, reflecting modest adjustments to copper price assumptions and operational forecasts.

The maintained Sell rating indicates structural concerns about SCCO’s valuation and sector dynamics. With the stock trading at $179.12, the $145 target implies potential downside of approximately 19% from current prices. This gap underscores UBS’s bearish outlook despite acknowledging some operational improvements in the copper mining sector.

Analyst Consensus Heavily Skewed Toward Selling

The broader analyst community reflects deep skepticism about SCCO’s prospects. Among tracked analysts, 17 hold Sell ratings, while only 3 maintain Buy ratings and 4 suggest Hold. This 17-to-3 sell-to-buy ratio demonstrates consensus pessimism about the copper miner’s near-term trajectory.

Meyka AI rates SCCO with a grade of B+, reflecting mixed fundamentals across growth, profitability, and valuation metrics. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. These grades are not guaranteed and we are not financial advisors. The disconnect between Meyka’s B+ grade and the heavy Sell consensus suggests market participants weigh valuation concerns more heavily than fundamental strength.

Financial Metrics Show Strong Profitability but Elevated Valuations

SCCO’s financial profile reveals solid operational performance offset by stretched valuations. The company trades at a P/E ratio of 30.36 with earnings per share of $5.90, while maintaining a dividend yield of 2.06%. Return on equity stands at 45.96%, demonstrating strong capital efficiency and shareholder returns.

However, the price-to-sales ratio of 10.30 and price-to-book ratio of 12.53 signal premium pricing relative to peers. The stock trades above its 50-day average of $175.86 and 200-day average of $149.73, reflecting recent strength. Free cash flow per share of $5.20 supports the dividend, though the elevated multiples leave little room for disappointment in copper prices or production.

Copper Market Dynamics and Forward Outlook

Copper prices remain central to SCCO’s investment thesis. The company operates major mines in Peru and Mexico, producing copper concentrates and refined copper cathodes. Global demand for copper hinges on infrastructure spending and electric vehicle adoption, both subject to macroeconomic uncertainty.

Meyka’s AI forecasts suggest potential volatility ahead. The yearly forecast stands at $156.29, below current prices, while the five-year forecast reaches $256.03, indicating longer-term recovery expectations. These divergent signals reflect uncertainty about near-term copper supply-demand dynamics versus structural tailwinds from energy transition and infrastructure investment.

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Final Thoughts

UBS’s maintained Sell rating with a raised $145 price target encapsulates the market’s conflicted view of Southern Copper. While the company demonstrates strong profitability and cash generation, elevated valuations and copper price sensitivity create downside risk. The 17-to-3 analyst sell-to-buy ratio confirms widespread caution. SCCO’s B+ Meyka grade acknowledges fundamental strength, yet the heavy Sell consensus reflects concerns about valuation sustainability. Investors should weigh the company’s solid operational metrics against macroeconomic headwinds and copper market cyclicality before making decisions.

FAQs

Why did UBS raise its SCCO price target while maintaining a Sell rating?

UBS raised its price target to $145 based on updated copper assumptions and forecasts. The Sell rating persists because the firm believes the stock remains overvalued relative to downside copper market risks.

What does the analyst consensus tell us about SCCO’s outlook?

The 17 Sell ratings versus 3 Buy ratings indicate strong analyst skepticism about near-term performance. This ratio suggests market weakness expectations, though some analysts identify value at lower prices.

How does SCCO’s valuation compare to its fundamentals?

SCCO’s P/E of 30.36 and price-to-sales of 10.30 are elevated despite 45.96% ROE and strong cash flow. These valuations provide minimal margin for error if copper prices decline.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Analyst ratings are opinions and not guarantees of future performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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