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NVIDIA & OpenAI Near $30B Investment Deal After $100B Plan Stalls

February 20, 2026
7 min read
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In February 2026, the AI world saw another big twist in one of its most-watched tech deals. NVIDIA is now close to finalizing a roughly $30 billion investment into OpenAI, a major shift from the $100 billion pact first announced in September 2025.

This new move isn’t just about numbers. It shows how fast the AI funding landscape is changing as companies race to build smarter systems and secure cutting‑edge computing power. OpenAI’s latest funding round could top $100 billion and value the company at around $830 billion, making it one of the biggest private raises ever.

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Investors and AI watchers are now asking: what triggered the shift, and what does the new deal mean for the future of artificial intelligence?

Background: What Was the $100 B Nvidia-OpenAI Plan?

In September 2025, Nvidia and OpenAI announced a $100 billion strategic partnership aimed at massively scaling AI infrastructure. The plan was a memorandum of understanding combining Nvidia’s capital and hardware with OpenAI’s compute needs. It envisioned at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia systems powering OpenAI’s future data centers, a level of AI compute equivalent to the output of major power plants. 

NVIDIA would invest incrementally, with the idea that OpenAI would use much of that capital to buy NVIDIA’s chips and systems back over time. The arrangement was framed as mutually beneficial: OpenAI gets financing and hardware, while Nvidia locks in sustained demand for its cutting‑edge GPUs.

However, this $100 billion undertaking never progressed beyond early stages, and by early 2026, negotiations had clearly slowed. NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang later emphasized that the original figure was never a binding commitment, framing it as an “invitation” rather than a finalized deal.

Why Did the $100 B Deal Stall?

Did Nvidia Pull Back?

Yes. Internal feedback within Nvidia raised questions about the deal’s scale and structure. Sources reported that some executives viewed the original plan as overly ambitious and risky. By late January 2026, news outlets confirmed the deal had stalled, with Nvidia privately signaling doubts about the size of the investment and the long timeline required.

NVIDIA’s leadership also privately expressed concern about OpenAI’s business discipline and whether such a massive financial commitment aligned with the company’s operational focus. NVIDIA later clarified that it would still invest significantly in OpenAI, just not close to $100 billion.

Were Both Companies Still Allied?

Publicly, OpenAI and Nvidia maintained a positive tone about their relationship. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman reinforced that Nvidia makes the “best AI chips in the world” and that the partnership remains important. Jensen Huang also called reports of friction “nonsense,” underscoring Nvidia’s intent to stay involved in OpenAI’s future growth.

The New Deal: What Is the $30 B Nvidia Investment?

What Changed?

As of February 19-20, 2026, reports from Reuters and the Financial Times confirmed Nvidia is nearing a $30 billion equity investment in OpenAI that will replace the stalled $100 billion commitment. This investment is part of OpenAI’s broader funding round, which itself aims to raise up to $100 billion, valuing OpenAI at roughly $730 billion-$830 billion, one of the largest private capital raises ever.

How Is the New Deal Structured?

Unlike the original infrastructure plan, the new commitment is a direct equity stake in OpenAI. NVIDIA’s capital will be exchanged for OpenAI stock, offering NVIDIA ownership exposure instead of long‑term financing obligations tied to data center build‑outs. Sources note that OpenAI will use much of its new funding to purchase Nvidia’s GPUs, which remain central to training and serving AI models.

How Does the Revised Investment Work?

What Is the “Circular Capital Flow”?

Financial analysts point to a circular investment structure in which Nvidia’s capital flows into OpenAI only for OpenAI to reinvest that money back into Nvidia hardware. This approach effectively creates a self‑reinforcing revenue cycle that benefits both companies. Critics, however, worry that this structure could artificially inflate financial figures without adding new market value.

Why Is This a Strategic Pivot?

NVIDIA’s focus has shifted from a massive vendor‑financing model to a more controlled equity approach. This reduces Nvidia’s risk while still positioning the company as a cornerstone of AI compute infrastructure. It also gives Nvidia exposure to OpenAI’s upside potential without bearing the full burden of a decade‑long capital commitment.

What It Means for the Broader AI Funding Landscape?

Are Other Big Investors Involved?

Yes. OpenAI’s latest funding round is attracting major technology investors beyond Nvidia. SoftBank has already committed around $30 billion, and Amazon is expected to invest up to $50 billion. Microsoft remains a significant strategic partner as well. Combined, these investors could push the round beyond $100 billion in commitments.

Absolutely. The industry is witnessing record‑breaking raises, but also growing caution among investors amid concerns over a potential AI valuation bubble. Major AI players like Anthropic recently closed their own large funding rounds (around $30 billion at a $380 billion valuation), illustrating intense competition for capital and market share.

How Will This Affect Nvidia and OpenAI?

For Nvidia

This shift allows Nvidia to gain equity exposure to one of the most influential AI developers while minimizing long‑term financial risk. The move also aligns with Nvidia’s broader AI ecosystem strategy, including investments in startups and partnerships across model developers, cloud providers, and infrastructure builders. 

Analysts tracking Nvidia through AI stock analysis tools note that the company’s strategic flexibility could sustain revenue momentum even beyond this deal.

For OpenAI

The fresh funding provides OpenAI with substantial capital and validates its massive valuation trajectory. The company plans to use much of its new capital for hardware procurement and data center expansion, essential to maintaining leadership in large language model performance and deployment.

NVIDIA & OpenAI: What Happens Next?

The $30 billion Nvidia investment is expected to finalize soon, potentially this weekend, according to reports. Meanwhile, OpenAI’s ongoing funding round continues to attract strategic and financial investors. The outcome may shape the competitive balance among today’s top AI companies, particularly as they race to scale, compute, deploy frontier models, and pursue commercialization or eventual public offerings.

Wrap Up

NVIDIA’s pivot from a $100 billion plan to a $30 billion equity investment shows how the AI funding landscape is evolving. The new deal reduces risk for Nvidia while giving OpenAI critical capital for expansion. This shift reflects a more strategic, measured approach to AI partnerships. Investors and industry watchers will be closely following how this funding round shapes the future of AI infrastructure, competition, and innovation in 2026 and beyond.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Why did Nvidia’s $100B OpenAI deal stall?

The $100 billion plan stalled by January 2026 because it was not final. NVIDIA worried about the large risk and long timeline. Both companies stayed friendly and open to smaller deals.

What is Nvidia’s $30B OpenAI investment?

In February 2026, Nvidia planned a $30 billion equity deal with OpenAI. This gives Nvidia ownership while reducing risk. OpenAI will use funds for hardware and AI model growth.

Who else is funding OpenAI now?

OpenAI’s funding round in early 2026 includes investors like SoftBank ($30 B) and Amazon (up to $50 B). Microsoft remains a strategic partner supporting AI expansion and compute infrastructure.

Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.

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