Key Points
Deep low-pressure system brings rain and storms across southeast Australia over three days.
Adelaide Hills and Eyre Peninsula expect 30-to-50mm rain on Monday with severe thunderstorm risk.
Northeast Victoria and southern NSW face 40-to-60mm falls on Tuesday with minor to moderate flooding likely.
Flood watches issued for Victoria as catchments remain saturated from recent rainfall.
A deep low-pressure system is sweeping across southeast and central Australia from Monday through Wednesday, bringing widespread rain, severe thunderstorms, and rising flood risks. The Bureau of Meteorology warns that northeast Victoria and southern NSW could see 40-to-60mm of rain on Tuesday, with already wet catchments at risk of minor to moderate flooding. South Australia will be hit first, with 30-to-50mm expected in the Adelaide Hills and Eyre Peninsula on Monday.
Three-day storm system tracking east across the country
The low-pressure system developed over Western Australia on Saturday and has already delivered 20-to-30mm of rain and thunderstorms across the west, western South Australia, and the southern Northern Territory, including Alice Springs on Sunday. Senior meteorologist David Crockett from the Bureau of Meteorology said on Monday the system will bring rain and storms across a vast area of southeast and central Australia over the next three days. The low is currently centred in far-west South Australia, spreading rain across the state with a risk of severe thunderstorms and damaging winds in the state’s north and into southern parts of the Northern Territory.
Adelaide Hills and Victoria face flooding threat
As the system tracks east, it will move over the Eyre and Yorke peninsulas before passing near Adelaide and the hills, with higher totals possible over already saturated catchments. Crockett noted that many areas, particularly the Adelaide Hills, are quite wet already following recent rain, and creeks and rivers are ready to respond quickly to any further rainfall. From late Monday into Tuesday, the rain band will shift into western NSW and much of Victoria, with 40 to 60 millimetres or more falling on wet catchments likely to see another round of flooding.
Flood watches issued for northeast Victoria and NSW alpine regions
The Bureau of Meteorology issued a flood watch on Sunday for parts of northwest, central, and northeast Victoria, warning that renewed river level rises are expected and minor flooding may develop from Tuesday. Isolated moderate flooding is also possible if rainfall reaches the upper end of the forecast range. Catchments across the flood watch area remain wet and stream levels are elevated from recent rainfall, with flooding still ongoing in some catchments. Affected waterways include the Upper Murray, Mitta Mitta, Kiewa, Ovens and King, Broken, Goulburn, Loddon, and Avoca rivers.
Eastern coast sees showers as system moves offshore
On the east coast, the focus shifts to eastern NSW and southern Queensland on Wednesday, with showers and storms continuing as the low moves offshore. By Thursday, a high-pressure system dominates the east, but with no cold outbreak, frost risk is limited. Two-day rainfall totals of 10-to-30mm are likely across the rest of the Murray Darling and southern South Australia. Residents should avoid driving, walking, or swimming in floodwater and stay informed through local media and emergency services.
Final Thoughts
The three-day storm system poses a significant flood risk to already saturated areas of Victoria and NSW from Tuesday onward. Residents in flood watch zones should monitor Bureau of Meteorology updates and heed road closure signs to avoid dangerous floodwaters.
FAQs
The Bureau of Meteorology forecasts 40 to 60 millimetres or more in northeast Victoria and southern NSW, with higher totals possible over wet catchments.
The Upper Murray, Mitta Mitta, Kiewa, Ovens and King, Broken, Goulburn, Loddon, and Avoca rivers are in the flood watch area and at risk of renewed level rises.
The rain band will shift into western NSW and much of Victoria from late Monday into Tuesday, with the heaviest falls expected early Tuesday.
Do not drive, walk, swim, or play in floodwater. Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, and streams. Obey road closure signs and call SES on 132 500 for emergency assistance.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
About Author

Danny Kontos
Co FounderDanny Kontos has been a stock investor since 2007 and co-founded Meyka in 2023. He keeps a small, focused portfolio and only moves when the numbers are hard to argue with. He has waited years on a single position before. Before Meyka, he ran a web hosting company and a mortgage lending platform, so he knows what a well-run business actually looks like under the hood. This article did not come from a news cycle. It came from someone who has been watching this space for a long time.
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