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Global Market Insights

Kioxia Stock Plunges 7.8% on June 11 as Chip Rally Fizzles

June 11, 2026
08:11 AM
3 min read

Key Points

Stock fell 7.8% to ¥70,500 on June 10 after 3,417% annual surge.

Trailing PE of 69.86 signals expensive valuation despite strong 51.9% ROE.

Meyka assigns B grade with neutral stance citing mixed DCF and profitability signals.

Forward PE of 7.57 suggests growth is priced in, limiting downside risk.

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Kioxia Holdings fell 7.8% to ¥70,500 on June 10, erasing gains from a brief surge that made it Japan’s second-most valuable company. The memory chip maker’s retreat reflects broader weakness in semiconductor stocks after a strong AI-driven rally. Despite the pullback, the company maintains solid fundamentals with a 56% return on equity and Meyka’s B rating.

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Why Kioxia Dropped After Its Peak

Kioxia briefly became Japan’s second-most valuable company behind SoftBank on June 5, pushing Toyota into third place. The stock surged 3,417% over the past 12 months on AI chip demand. However, the broader chip sector rally has cooled. The stock fell 7.8% on June 10 from ¥76,450 to ¥70,500, wiping out recent momentum as investors reassess valuations after the sharp run-up.

Valuation Metrics Show Mixed Signals

Kioxia trades at a trailing PE ratio of 69.86, well above historical norms, while the forward PE of 7.57 suggests growth expectations are priced in. The company’s price-to-book ratio stands at 27.52, indicating expensive valuation relative to assets. However, profitability metrics remain strong with ROE of 51.9% and ROA of 16.46%, showing the business generates real returns.

Meyka Rating and Price Targets

Meyka assigns Kioxia a B grade with a neutral recommendation, citing mixed signals across financial metrics. The DCF model flags a strong sell on valuation, while ROE and ROA scores are strong buy. Meyka’s 12-month price target is ¥25,975, suggesting limited downside from current levels. The RSI at 61.93 indicates the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, though the strong ADX trend of 54.40 shows conviction in the recent decline.

What This Means for Investors

With Meyka rating the stock B and the forward PE at just 7.57, the data points to a company priced for growth but facing near-term volatility. The 7.8% drop reflects profit-taking after the 3,417% annual surge, not a fundamental breakdown. Investors should watch earnings on August 7 for updates on AI chip demand and margins.

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Final Thoughts

Kioxia’s 7.8% drop reflects profit-taking after a 3,417% annual rally, not deteriorating fundamentals. With strong ROE and a B rating from Meyka, the stock remains a play on sustained AI chip demand, though valuation requires caution.

FAQs

Why did Kioxia stock fall 7.8% on June 10?

The stock retreated after a sharp AI-driven rally. Profit-taking and broader chip sector weakness triggered the selloff as valuations faced pressure.

Is Kioxia overvalued at current levels?

Trailing PE of 69.86 is elevated, but forward PE of 7.57 reflects growth expectations. Meyka’s B rating suggests neutral risk-reward positioning.

What is Meyka’s price target for Kioxia?

Meyka’s 12-month target is ¥25,975, implying limited downside. The B grade reflects mixed signals between valuation and profitability metrics.

Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes.  Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.

About Author

Author

Danny Kontos

Co Founder

Danny Kontos has been a stock investor since 2007 and co-founded Meyka in 2023. He keeps a small, focused portfolio and only moves when the numbers are hard to argue with. He has waited years on a single position before. Before Meyka, he ran a web hosting company and a mortgage lending platform, so he knows what a well-run business actually looks like under the hood. This article did not come from a news cycle. It came from someone who has been watching this space for a long time.

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