Joe Hockey Warns AUKUS Submarine Deal at Risk, Urges Trump Pressure

Former Australian ambassador to Washington Joe Hockey said on May 26 that he is “nervous” for the first time about the US delivering nuclear-powered submarines under the AUKUS pact. Hockey, a long-time AUKUS supporter, told the National Press Club that American shipyards have not ramped up Virginia-class production fast enough. His remarks signal growing concern among Australian defence officials about whether the US can meet its 2032 delivery timeline.

US Production Falls Behind Schedule

Hockey said the US “just has not got the production of the Virginia up to speed” after conversations with lawmakers on Capitol Hill. Senior US Navy officials have warned that American shipyards must increase output significantly to have spare submarines for Australia. Under AUKUS, Australia will receive three Virginia-class attack submarines starting in 2032, followed by a new fleet built for delivery from the 2040s.

Hockey Pushes for Direct Trump Engagement

Hockey urged Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to make a habit of cold-calling US President Donald Trump to strengthen their relationship and influence his thinking on world affairs. He described the delivery risk as “manageable at this stage, but every day counts.” Hockey rejected the idea of a backup plan, saying Australia must give the US no exit route from the deal.

Defence Chief Defends AUKUS Despite Challenges

Incoming Defence Force Chief Mark Hammond urged critics to stop politicising AUKUS and said the partnership could be successfully delivered. Hammond told the Indian Ocean Defence and Security conference in Perth that the evidence showed AUKUS was succeeding. He also noted that China’s 2025 circumnavigation of Australia had sparked public anxiety and political support for increased defence spending.

Why This Matters for Australian Defence

Australia’s ageing Collins-class submarines are nearing retirement, creating a capability gap if AUKUS delays occur. The government has abandoned plans to replace diesel engines in its existing fleet, shifting to selective maintenance instead. Hockey’s concerns reflect real questions about whether the US can balance its own submarine needs with commitments to Australia and other allies.

Final Thoughts

Hockey’s first-time nervousness about AUKUS delivery signals real production risks in the US submarine industry. Australia must maintain pressure on Washington while avoiding backup plans that could weaken the deal. The 2032 timeline remains achievable but requires sustained political engagement.

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