Key Points
Hang Seng Index surged 2.4% to 25,143 on China regulator support.
Tech stocks led with Tencent up 3.5% and Alibaba up 3.7%.
Meyka grades HSI C+ HOLD with 12-month target of 22,447.
RSI at 61 signals overbought conditions; 23,800 support level is critical.
Hong Kong stocks rallied sharply on July 21, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 580 points, or 2.4%, at 25,143. China’s securities regulator chief Wu Qing vowed to take all efforts to maintain stable market operations after a rout that wiped out 10 trillion yuan in mainland market value over two weeks. Tech and energy shares led the recovery.
China regulator pledges market stability after two-week selloff
China’s Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) held an investor meeting where chairman Wu Qing vowed to prevent risks and safeguard fair market order. The pledge came after mainland markets lost 10 trillion yuan in capitalization over the past two weeks. Wu also committed to improving transparency of listed companies and investor protection. The CSRC meeting signaled Beijing’s intent to restore confidence after widespread selling pressure across Asia.
Tech and energy stocks drive Hong Kong’s recovery
Large-cap technology counters led the rally. Tencent Holdings rose 3.5%, Alibaba Group added 3.7%, and Meituan climbed 3.1%. Energy stocks tracked firmer oil prices, with CNOOC jumping 5.1% to become the best-performing blue chip, while PetroChina rose 4.1%. The Hang Seng Tech Index gained 128 points, or 2.8%, to 4,752. However, AI-linked stocks showed weakness, with Z.ai tumbling 19.5% and MiniMax falling 10.6%.
Meyka data shows overbought conditions but upside momentum
Meyka grades the Hang Seng Index a C+ HOLD with a 12-month forecast of 22,447. The RSI stands at 61, near overbought territory, while the CCI reads 118.91, signaling overbought conditions. The Stochastic %K at 87.68 and Money Flow Index at 73.16 suggest strong buying pressure. Support sits at the 23,800 level, which coincides with the 20-day moving average, offering a buffer of nearly 800 points below Monday’s close.
Broader Asia mixed as semiconductor volatility persists
South Korea’s Kospi plunged 4.46% to 6,516 amid unease over leveraged bets in chipmakers SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics. Japan’s Nikkei fell 2.9% for the week. The China Enterprises Index advanced 3% to 8,381, while the Shanghai Composite rose 0.85% to 3,796. Analysts warn that AI-linked stocks may face further weakness, with semiconductor valuations under pressure globally.
Final Thoughts
Hong Kong’s bounce reflects Beijing’s commitment to stabilize markets, but Meyka’s C+ grade and overbought technical readings suggest caution. The 23,800 support level will be critical to watch for sustained recovery.
FAQs
China’s securities regulator pledged to stabilize markets after a two-week selloff erased 10 trillion yuan in value. Tech and energy stocks led the recovery.
Meyka forecasts the Hang Seng Index at 22,447 over 12 months, grading it a C+ HOLD with mixed technical signals.
Tencent rose 3.5%, Alibaba added 3.7%, CNOOC jumped 5.1%, and PetroChina rose 4.1%. AI stocks like Z.ai fell 19.5%.
The 23,800 level, which coincides with the 20-day moving average, offers key support. It sits 800 points below Monday’s close.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
About Author

Danny Kontos
Co FounderDanny Kontos has been a stock investor since 2007 and co-founded Meyka in 2023. He keeps a small, focused portfolio and only moves when the numbers are hard to argue with. He has waited years on a single position before. Before Meyka, he ran a web hosting company and a mortgage lending platform, so he knows what a well-run business actually looks like under the hood. This article did not come from a news cycle. It came from someone who has been watching this space for a long time.
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