GQG.AX GQG Partners ASX 13 Feb 2026 after hours: FY25 lifts A$1.735, outlook key

GQG.AX stock jumped 5.15% in after-hours trade to A$1.735 following GQG Partners’ FY25 presentation and earnings commentary. The move came on heavy volume of 13,095,640 shares and an EPS of 0.23. Investors digested a 7.1% FUM rise and product launches flagged on the earnings call. We review the numbers, valuation and short-term outlook in the ASX-listed stock, and bring Meyka AI market context to the FY25 results and guidance

GQG.AX stock: FY25 earnings snapshot

GQG Partners reported FY25 growth with 7.10% FUM expansion and signs of revenue momentum. Management highlighted new ETF and CIT product launches on the earnings call, and flagged macro risks tied to AI and employment trends. For details on the company presentation and slides, see the FY25 slides and summary source.

Earnings timing and commentary matter. The formal earnings announcement was logged for 13 Feb 2026. The reported EPS of 0.23 and trailing PE of 7.00 frame a value-oriented multiple against peer Financial Services metrics.

Price reaction, volume and trading context

The after-hours rise to A$1.735 followed a day range of A$1.625–A$1.770 and an intraday open at A$1.65. Volume was 13,095,640 versus an average of 4,573,760, giving relative volume of 1.63. That large turnover implies institutional interest and active reweighting by funds.

Technically, RSI sits at 58.75 and CCI at 142.86, showing short-term strength but not extreme breakout. The 50-day average is A$1.70 and the 200-day average is A$1.84, leaving the stock between near-term support and longer-term resistance.

GQG.AX stock valuation and key metrics

Valuation is attractive on headline multiples. Market cap is about A$4.81B, price-to-earnings is 7.00, and EPS is 0.23. Key ratios show strong cash metrics: current ratio 6.80 and free cash flow yield near 12.82%.

Price-to-book sits steep at 7.98, reflecting an asset-light business and premium paid historically for active management. Investors should weigh the low PE against high PB and cyclical FUM flows when judging value.

Growth drivers and risk factors for GQG.AX stock

Growth drivers include product expansion, fee earners from new ETFs and CITs, and geographic allocation shifts. The firm disclosed significant India exposure, with public reporting noting US$24 billion in India positions, which management views as an earnings recovery opportunity source.

Key risks are cyclical FUM sensitivity, concentrated client mix, and sector volatility if AI-driven flows compress active management fees. Management warned of potential macro softness, which could hit net flows and short-term margins.

Meyka AI rates GQG.AX with a score out of 100 and technical outlook

Meyka AI rates GQG.AX with a score out of 100: 74.53 / 100, Grade B+, suggestion BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The score blends growth and valuation and is informational, not advice.

Technically, the MACD histogram is slightly negative while ADX at 17.16 shows no strong trend. Short-term support is near the year low A$1.425 and resistance sits near the year high A$2.61. A sensible near-term price target based on model and technicals is A$2.30, with downside risk to A$1.40 if flows reverse.

Sector context and peer comparison

GQG sits in Financial Services and Asset Management. The Australian Financial Services sector trades at an average PE of 22.05, well above GQG’s 7.00. That gap reflects GQG’s earnings cyclicality and concentrated business model.

Against peers, GQG’s free cash flow yield and low debt are strengths. But its high price-to-book ratio is heavier than the sector average PB 1.26, highlighting investor expectations priced into the ASX listing.

Final Thoughts

GQG.AX stock reacted positively in after-hours trade to FY25 results and management commentary. The core facts are clear: current price A$1.735, EPS 0.23, PE 7.00, and strong trading volume 13,095,640. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a quarterly target of A$2.27, implying an upside of 30.85% versus the current price A$1.735. That projection assumes modest FUM recovery and stable margins. Our Meyka grade of 74.53 / 100 (B+, BUY) reflects solid cash metrics and growth but flags concentration and flow risk. Investors should watch net flows, margin trends, and product uptake. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For live updates and tick-level context, see our GQG.AX stock page on Meyka AI Meyka stock page.

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Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.