Key Points
MCX gold price rose 0.32% to ₹1,41,039 per 10 grams on Monday.
Gold remains near a nine-month low despite US-Iran tensions rising.
Brent crude jumped 2.62% to $90.41 after fresh Iran airstrikes.
Fed rate-hike odds for December rose to 82%, capping gold's gains.
Gold price on MCX climbed to ₹1,41,039 per 10 grams on July 20, 2026. August gold futures rose 0.32% as safe-haven demand returned. Brent crude jumped 2.62% to $90.41 a barrel on renewed US-Iran hostilities. Silver outperformed gold, with September futures up 1% to ₹2,18,560 per kg. Despite the rally, gold price remains near its lowest level in nine months.

Why the Gold Price Is Rising Today
Gold price (NYSE: GOLD) gained value on Monday as the US dollar eased modestly against major currencies. Escalating Middle East violence pushed investors back toward traditional safe-haven assets.
- MCX gold futures traded near ₹1,41,300 per 10 grams in early trade.
- Spot gold hovered around $4,020 per ounce, up just 0.12%.
- The US dollar index stayed near the 101 mark despite easing slightly.
US Central Command confirmed fresh airstrikes on Iran after three American service members died. Tehran declared its ceasefire with Washington had effectively collapsed.
Physical Gold Rates Across Major Cities
Physical gold prices moved higher alongside futures on July 20. 24K gold rose ₹17 to ₹1,43,460 per 10 grams nationally.
- Mumbai and Kolkata both quoted 24K gold at ₹1,43,460 per 10 grams.
- Delhi recorded a slightly higher rate of ₹1,43,610 per 10 grams.
- 22K gold advanced ₹15 to reach ₹1,31,500 per 10 grams.
Chennai matched Mumbai’s rate at ₹1,43,460, showing minimal regional variation today. Jewelry buyers should expect these city-level rates to shift through the trading session.
Gold Price Still Near a Nine-Month Low
Gold’s rally on Monday looks modest against its recent trend. The metal remains close to its weakest levels since October 2025, even with rising geopolitical risk.
- Rising Treasury yields and rate-hike bets have offset typical safe-haven buying.
- CME FedWatch data shows an 82% chance of a December Fed rate hike.
- That probability jumped from 73% just a week earlier.
Higher rate expectations typically pressure gold, since it pays no yield of its own. This tug-of-war between war-driven demand and rate policy is capping gains for now.
Silver and Crude Oil Add Context
Silver outpaced gold’s gains by a wide margin on Monday. Spot silver jumped nearly 2% to trade near $57 an ounce.
- MCX silver climbed over 1% to around ₹2,18,500 per kg.
- Silver also sits near an eight-month low despite the day’s rally.
- MCX crude oil surged nearly 3% to trade above ₹8,113 per barrel.
Oil prices have surged roughly 30% from their July lows, according to Trading Economics data. That surge is now the dominant driver behind this week’s precious metals move.
Technical Levels Traders Are Watching
MCX gold has clear support and resistance zones for Monday’s session. Support sits at ₹1,40,400, with a deeper floor near ₹1,39,650.
- Resistance for gold stands at ₹1,41,500, followed by ₹1,42,200.
- Silver support holds at ₹2,14,400, with a lower band at ₹2,11,000.
- Silver resistance is capped near ₹2,18,800 for the session.
Traders tracking bullion-linked equities are watching Titan Company and Kalyan Jewellers for demand signals this week.
Where Gold Price Goes From Here
Monday’s move confirms gold is trading two competing forces at once. War-driven safe-haven flows are real, but Fed rate-hike odds are capping the upside for now. Analysts at Trading Economics note oil’s 30% surge since July is doing more to move markets than gold’s modest gain.
If US-Iran tensions deepen further, expect gold to test the ₹1,41,500 resistance level quickly. But until rate-hike expectations ease, a full breakout above nine-month lows looks unlikely in the near term.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is for research and informational purposes only. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be treated as investment or trading advice.
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