Key Points
Bitcoin USD dropped 4.38% to $62,891 with support at $61,206.
RSI at 18.92 signals extreme oversold conditions and potential bounce.
Quarterly forecast targets $121,963.74 up 93.9% from current price.
June CPI and FOMC events could define Bitcoin's next major move.
Bitcoin USD (BTCUSD) dropped 4.38% today, sliding to $62,891.09 as sellers dominated the market. The cryptocurrency tested its daily low of $61,206, signaling potential support at this critical level. With a market cap of $1.21 trillion, Bitcoin remains the world’s largest digital asset despite recent weakness. Macro events like the June 10 CPI report and June 17 FOMC decision could define Bitcoin’s next major move.
Bitcoin USD Technical Analysis
Bitcoin’s technical indicators reveal deep oversold conditions across multiple metrics. The RSI sits at 18.92, well below the 30 oversold threshold, suggesting a potential bounce is overdue. The MACD histogram shows -1,865.18, indicating bearish momentum with the signal line below the MACD line.
The ADX reads 33.98, confirming a strong downtrend in place. Bitcoin trades near the Bollinger Band lower level at $62,359.97, compressed between the middle band at $74,308.96 and upper band at $86,257.95. This tight band compression suggests volatility may expand soon as price seeks direction.
Bitcoin USD Price Forecast
Our price targets reflect both near-term support and longer-term recovery potential. Monthly forecast: $60,501.83 (down 3.8% from current price). Quarterly target: $121,963.74 (up 93.9% from current price). Yearly forecast: $97,867.61 (up 55.6% from current price).
Forecast disclaimer: These targets may change due to market conditions, regulations, or unexpected events. The wide range between monthly and quarterly forecasts reflects elevated uncertainty around macro catalysts this month.
Market Sentiment and Trading Activity
Recent data shows institutional and retail investors buying the dip after view on Meyka . Spot market activity reveals dolphins, shrimps, and long-term holders accumulating at lower prices. The OBV at 141.2 billion suggests volume is supporting potential recovery.
Liquidation data shows MFI at 15.93, indicating extreme oversold conditions in money flow. This capitulation-level reading often precedes sharp reversals. Track view on Meyka for real-time technical updates and price alerts as support levels are tested.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Bitcoin’s immediate support zone sits at $61,206, the day’s low and a critical psychological level. The 50-day moving average at $76,663 remains far above current price, showing the magnitude of recent weakness. The 200-day moving average at $78,932 provides longer-term resistance on any recovery attempt.
Year-to-date performance shows Bitcoin down 30.53%, though the three-year gain of 136.14% demonstrates long-term strength. Resistance emerges at the day’s high of $63,739, followed by the Bollinger Band middle at $74,308. Breaking above $74,000 would signal a potential trend reversal.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin USD faces critical support at $61,206 as oversold technicals suggest a potential bounce is near. The RSI at 18.92 and MFI at 15.93 indicate extreme selling pressure, while institutional buyers accumulating on weakness could spark recovery. Upcoming macro events in June will likely determine whether Bitcoin rebounds toward $97,867 or tests lower support levels.
FAQs
Bitcoin fell due to Strategy’s 32 BTC sale and broader market weakness. Oversold technicals and macro uncertainty around June CPI and FOMC decisions pressured prices lower.
Critical support is $61,206 (daily low). The 50-day moving average at $76,663 provides longer-term support on recovery bounces.
Yes. RSI at 18.92 and MFI at 15.93 signal extreme oversold conditions, historically preceding sharp reversals and buying opportunities.
Disclaimer:
Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. This content is for informational purposes only. The Forecast Prediction Model is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market data and sentiment analysis, not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
About Author

Huzaifa Zahoor
Co FounderHuzaifa Zahoor is the engineer who built Meyka. He has spent years writing Python, training AI models, and building data pipelines specifically for financial markets. His technical articles have reached over 30,000 readers on Medium, so he knows how to make complex things easy to follow. If this article touches on how the tools work, he is the person who actually built them.
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