Key Points
Bitcoin surged 7.2% to $78,301.39 on Treasury bond buyback announcement.
RSI at 81.01 signals overbought conditions with price above upper Bollinger Band.
Meyka's 12-month forecast is $96,695.34, up 23.5% from current price.
Trading volume hit $74 billion, 2.59 times the 30-day average.
Bitcoin surged 7.2% to $78,301.39 in the past 24 hours, marking its strongest week since 2023. The U.S. Treasury’s bond buyback announcement on Wednesday extended gains that have already pushed the cryptocurrency up 19% over the past five days. Trading volume nearly tripled the 30-day average, signaling broad participation in the rally.
Why the Treasury move matters for Bitcoin
The Treasury’s bond buyback announcement triggered a shift in market sentiment favoring risk assets like Bitcoin. Historically, government bond interventions signal monetary easing expectations, which typically benefit cryptocurrencies as investors seek alternatives to fixed-income assets. The rally has pulled altcoins higher as well, with Ethereum up 25% and XRP up 28% over the same five-day period.
Technical signals show extreme overbought conditions
Bitcoin’s RSI stands at 81.01, well into overbought territory above the 70 threshold, indicating the rally has moved faster than historical norms. The MACD histogram at 1,295.11 shows strong upward momentum, while the ADX at 25.44 confirms a strong directional trend. Price has climbed above the upper Bollinger Band at $72,434.55, suggesting the move may face resistance near the day’s high of $79,244.38.
Meyka’s forecasts show mixed signals ahead
Meyka’s one-month forecast of $60,901.03 sits 22.2% below the current price, suggesting potential pullback risk in the near term. However, the 12-month forecast of $96,695.34 implies 23.5% upside from today’s level, reflecting longer-term bullish expectations. Forecasts may change due to market conditions, regulations, or unexpected events.
Volume surge confirms retail and institutional participation
Trading volume hit $74 billion in 24 hours, 2.59 times the 30-day average of $27.6 billion. The Money Flow Index at 71.76 indicates strong buying pressure, while the Relative Strength Index at 81 warns that the move has become stretched. Such elevated volume during a rally typically precedes consolidation or profit-taking.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin’s 7.2% jump to $78,301 reflects genuine momentum from the Treasury’s bond buyback announcement and strong technical follow-through. However, with RSI at 81 and price above the upper Bollinger Band, the data points to an overheated short-term move that may need to cool before the next leg higher.
FAQs
The U.S. Treasury’s bond buyback announcement on Wednesday extended Bitcoin’s rally, as investors rotated into risk assets amid monetary easing signals.
Yes. The RSI at 81.01 is well above the 70 overbought threshold, and price sits above the upper Bollinger Band at $72,434.55, signaling stretched conditions.
Meyka’s 12-month forecast is $96,695.34, implying 23.5% upside from the current $78,301.39 price.
Bitcoin traded $74 billion in 24-hour volume, 2.59 times the 30-day average, confirming broad participation in the rally.
Disclaimer:
Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. This content is for informational purposes only. The Forecast Prediction Model is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market data and sentiment analysis, not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
About Author

Danny Kontos
Co FounderDanny Kontos has been a stock investor since 2007 and co-founded Meyka in 2023. He keeps a small, focused portfolio and only moves when the numbers are hard to argue with. He has waited years on a single position before. Before Meyka, he ran a web hosting company and a mortgage lending platform, so he knows what a well-run business actually looks like under the hood. This article did not come from a news cycle. It came from someone who has been watching this space for a long time.
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