Key Points
Nvidia earnings test AI rally momentum amid market jitters.
RBA rate guidance from Sarah Hunter signals monetary policy direction.
Energy stocks rally on global oil pressures despite broader weakness.
ASX 200 expected to open 0.45% lower on May 18.
The Australian share market is set for a weak start on Monday, May 18, with the ASX 200 expected to open 0.45% lower following a poor finish on Wall Street. Investors are closely watching two major catalysts: earnings results from chip giant Nvidia and a speech by Reserve Bank of Australia assistant governor Sarah Hunter. The ASX 200 closed Friday down 0.1% at 8,630.8 points, and market sentiment now hinges on whether the artificial intelligence rally can sustain momentum amid growing rate concerns. Understanding these drivers is crucial for investors navigating the week ahead.
Nvidia Earnings: The AI Rally’s Critical Test
Nvidia’s earnings report will reveal whether the artificial intelligence boom still has legs after recent market jitters. As the world’s largest company by market capitalisation, the chip giant’s results directly influence investor confidence in AI-driven growth. A strong beat could reignite the tech rally, while disappointing guidance may trigger broader selloffs across growth stocks and the ASX 200.
RBA Rate Guidance: What Sarah Hunter’s Speech Means
Reserve Bank assistant governor Sarah Hunter’s upcoming speech will provide crucial clues about the central bank’s appetite for further rate increases. Australian investors are parsing every word from RBA officials for signals on monetary policy direction. Rate expectations heavily influence bond yields, currency movements, and equity valuations, making this speech a key market mover for the week.
Energy Stocks Rally Amid Global Oil Pressures
Despite broader market weakness, ASX 200 energy shares are rising as global oil shocks persist. Higher oil prices support energy sector valuations, offsetting weakness in other segments. This divergence highlights how sector-specific factors can drive outperformance even when the broader index struggles.
What’s Next for the ASX 200
According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open 38 points or 0.45% lower on Monday. Traders should monitor Wall Street’s overnight performance and watch for any pre-market shifts in sentiment. The week’s trajectory will likely depend on how markets digest Nvidia results and RBA messaging.
Final Thoughts
The ASX 200 faces a challenging start on May 18, with Nvidia earnings and RBA rate guidance setting the tone for the week. Energy stocks provide some support, but broader sentiment remains cautious. Investors should stay alert to these key catalysts and adjust positioning accordingly as new information emerges.
FAQs
Nvidia is the world’s largest company by market cap. Its earnings signal AI momentum strength, influencing investor confidence in tech stocks and broader market sentiment.
Her speech may signal the central bank’s rate policy direction. Rate expectations influence bond yields, currency movements, and equity valuations across Australian markets.
Higher global oil prices support energy sector valuations. This sector-specific strength offsets weakness in technology and other segments during broader market downturns.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
What brings you to Meyka?
Pick what interests you most and we will get you started.
I'm here to read news
Find more articles like this one
I'm here to research stocks
Ask Meyka Analyst about any stock
I'm here to track my Portfolio
Get daily updates and alerts (coming March 2026)