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NSE:CESC.NS 02 Jan 2026: Q2 revenue beat, shares INR 175 at close; watch debt metrics

January 2, 2026
4 min read
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CESC Limited CESC.NS closed at INR 175.37 on the NSE on 02 Jan 2026 after reporting a quarter that beat consensus revenue and EPS estimates. Revenue for the quarter ending 30 Sep 2025 came in at INR 52,670,000,000 versus estimates of INR 50,291,800,000 and EPS was INR 3.21 versus an estimate of INR 3.20, sending the stock up 4.66% intraday to a high of INR 176.40. We examine how the beat, leverage and dividend yield shape the near-term outlook for this Kolkata-based utility.

Earnings snapshot and price reaction

CESC reported revenue of INR 52,670,000,000 and EPS of INR 3.21 for the quarter ending 30 Sep 2025, both modestly above consensus; the result drove the stock to close at INR 175.37, up INR 7.81 or 4.66% on volume of 4,484,172 shares and a day high of INR 176.40. The beats reflect stronger power sales and tariff realisations in the licensed distribution areas and helped compress near-term earnings risk versus estimates.

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Valuation, payout and balance sheet

CESC trades at a PE of 15.3 and a price-to-book of 1.74 against a sector average PE of 42.4 for Indian utilities, indicating a valuation discount. The company carries debt-to-equity of 1.48 and interest coverage of 2.51, while dividend per share is INR 10.50 implying a trailing yield of 6.28%. Market capitalisation is INR 221,502,818,853 and shareholders should monitor leverage given net debt to EBITDA around 3.33.

Technical and sector context

Technically the stock sits above its 50-day moving average of INR 172.77 and close to its 50-day Bollinger upper band at INR 175.04, with RSI near 46.5 suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Utilities in India have shown defensive characteristics YTD; CESC’s lower PE versus the utilities cohort points to a relative value case but also highlights higher leverage compared with sector averages.

Meyka grade, forecasts and analyst view

Meyka AI rates CESC.NS with a score out of 100: 63.83 | Grade: B | Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s models project a 12-month price of INR 189.6608060363467 and a three-year level near INR 248.26552648302294; these imply a 12-month upside versus the current INR 175.37 of about 8.15%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For further market context see Yahoo Finance NZ and Investing.com India.

Final Thoughts

CESC’s latest quarter (ended 30 Sep 2025) delivered a modest beat on both revenue (INR 52,670,000,000) and EPS (INR 3.21), which lifted the share price to INR 175.37 at market close on 02 Jan 2026. The stock trades at a reasonable PE of 15.3 and yields a strong trailing dividend of 6.28%, but the balance sheet shows meaningful leverage with debt-to-equity of 1.48 and net debt-to-EBITDA around 3.33, which keeps funding risk front of mind. Sector comparisons show CESC is cheaper than the utilities average PE of 42.4, framing a relative value argument if management can stabilise debt and sustain cash flow. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month target of INR 189.6608060363467 compared with the current INR 175.37, implying an upside of approximately 8.15%; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Investors should weigh the yield and valuation against leverage and regulatory exposure in Kolkata and UP distribution areas. Meyka AI-powered market analysis platform recommends monitoring operating cash flow and receivables trends before increasing exposure.

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FAQs

Did CESC beat earnings and revenue estimates this quarter?

Yes. For the quarter ending 30 Sep 2025 CESC reported revenue of INR 52,670,000,000 versus estimates of INR 50,291,800,000 and EPS of INR 3.21 versus an estimate of INR 3.20.

How expensive is CESC compared with the utilities sector?

CESC trades at a PE of 15.3 versus a utilities sector average PE of 42.4, indicating a material valuation discount versus peers despite higher leverage.

What are the main financial risks to watch?

Primary risks are leverage and interest coverage: debt-to-equity is 1.48 and interest coverage is 2.51, with net debt-to-EBITDA near 3.33, which could pressure cash flow during weak demand or higher fuel costs.

What is Meyka AI’s price outlook for CESC?

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month price of INR 189.6608060363467 compared with the current INR 175.37 implying about 8.15% upside; forecasts are projections and not guarantees.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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