A$4.94 TLS.AX Telstra Group ASX after hours 13 Feb 2026: earnings outlook

The TLS.AX stock price closed at A$4.94 in after hours trade on 13 Feb 2026 as investors position ahead of Telstra’s FY results due 18 Feb 2026. Trading volume was 18,957,329 shares today, above the 50‑day average. We focus on earnings drivers, upcoming guidance risks and the likely market reaction to margins, capex and dividend guidance.

TLS.AX stock earnings preview and calendar

Telstra (TLS.AX) reports earnings on 18 Feb 2026 and the market will focus on service revenue, fixed broadband churn and InfraCo progress. Analysts expect commentary on the $700m JV with Accenture and any guidance on capital allocation. Expectations: clear dividend messaging and free cash flow detail will matter most to dividend investors.

TLS.AX stock price action and immediate market signals

The share price traded between A$4.89 and A$4.96 today and closed A$4.94, up 1.44% on the session. Technical indicators show RSI 44.99 and ADX 15.92 indicating no strong trend. On‑balance volume sits negative, so any post‑earnings gap could be amplified by retail flows and the average daily volume of 17,554,062 shares.

TLS.AX stock fundamentals and valuation snapshot

Telstra’s TTM EPS is A$0.19 and the current PE is 25.68. Key ratios: Price/Sales 2.38, Price/Book 4.03, and dividend yield ~3.89% with payout ratio near 98%. Net debt to EBITDA is 1.99, interest coverage 11.29x. These figures show premium valuation versus some telecom peers, supported by stable cash flow but constrained by high payout and leverage.

Meyka AI stock grade and TLS.AX stock forecast model

Meyka AI rates TLS.AX with a score of 65.22 out of 100 (Grade B, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, metrics and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects Yearly A$6.01, Quarterly A$5.02, and Monthly A$4.84. Versus the current A$4.94, the yearly projection implies an upside of 21.69%. Forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees.

TLS.AX stock catalysts, risks and newsflow to watch

Near‑term catalysts include earnings guidance, InfraCo monetisation steps and any update on spectrum costs. Recent headlines show workforce changes tied to the Accenture JV and pressure from potential higher spectrum fees. Operational risks such as Triple Zero network scrutiny and broadband churn are material. For background and revenue context see StockAnalysis TLS overview and StockAnalysis revenue details.

TLS.AX stock technical outlook and trading strategy

Short‑term traders should note 50‑day average A$4.84 and 200‑day A$4.87 are below today’s price. Bollinger middle band sits at A$4.84. A break above A$5.14 (year high) would shift momentum, while a drop under A$4.80 risks heavier selling. Strategy: consider earnings‑driven options hedges or size exposure conservatively into the report.

Final Thoughts

Key takeaways for TLS.AX stock: Telstra enters earnings with the share price at A$4.94 and market attention squarely on FY guidance, dividend clarity and InfraCo progress. The company’s fundamentals show steady cash flow with a PE of 25.68 and a near 3.9% yield, but a high payout ratio and leverage limit flexibility. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects A$6.01 by year‑end, implying ~21.69% upside from today’s price; this is a model projection and not a guarantee. Investors should weigh near‑term regulatory and operational headlines, the February 18 earnings call and dividend commentary before changing position sizes. We will monitor guidance for capex and spectrum cost pass‑through, which will determine whether the projected upside is achievable.

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Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.