The TUI1.DE stock slid to €7.28 after hours on 02 Mar 2026, down -10.30% on a volume surge to 12,637,520 shares. The immediate move followed a mix of recent earnings updates and sector rotation in Consumer Cyclical names on XETRA, pushing the price below the 50-day average of €8.90. Traders should note the gap from the day high €7.63 to the low €7.25, which leaves short-term support near €7.00. We outline the drivers, valuation, technical signals and our model forecast for TUI1.DE stock below.

TUI1.DE stock price action and volume

Today TUI1.DE stock closed after hours at €7.28, a -€0.84 move or -10.30%, with volume at 12,637,520 versus an average of 3,058,559. The relative volume spike of 1.70x indicates active repositioning by investors and traders. The intraday range was €7.25–€7.63, and the sharp move pushed the price below the 50-day moving average €8.90 and near the lower Bollinger band at €7.59.

Earnings, news flow and catalysts for TUI1.DE stock

TUI reported its last earnings on 10 Feb 2026 and the next scheduled announcement is 13 May 2026, leaving the company in an earnings-driven trading window. Recent headlines and sector shifts into defensive names amplified selling in travel services, pressuring TUI shares. Investors are watching airline capacity, holiday bookings and fuel-cost trends that directly affect TUI AG’s operating income and near-term cash flow.

Fundamentals and valuation snapshot for TUI1.DE stock

TUI AG trades at a trailing PE of 6.05 with a market cap of €4.10 billion and enterprise value near €8.69 billion, showing cheap earnings relative to peers. Trailing revenue was €24.17 billion with net income €677.70 million and EPS €1.26, while cash stood at €1.56 billion against total debt €5.17 billion. Key ratios include EV/EBITDA 4.14, free cash flow yield about 28.09%, and a current ratio of 0.47, underlining tight working capital in the travel cycle.

Technicals, momentum and Meyka grading for TUI1.DE stock

Momentum indicators are negative: RSI 38.91, MACD histogram negative, and ADX 29.62 showing a strong directional move. The stock hit heavy selling that expanded On-Balance Volume while MFI sits near 28.11, implying oversold inflows. Meyka AI rates TUI1.DE with a score out of 100: 67.08 | Grade: B | Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus; these grades are not guaranteed and we are not financial advisors.

Meyka AI forecast, price targets and upside for TUI1.DE stock

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly €8.34 and a 12-month €9.89 central price for TUI1.DE stock, implying an upside of 35.88% from the current €7.28. The model’s three-year target is €12.06 and five-year target €14.20, reflecting recovery in travel demand and margin expansion. Short-term conservative price target: €8.05; base 12-month target: €9.89; bullish multi-year target: €12.00–€14.20. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Key risks and catalysts to watch for TUI1.DE stock

Primary risks are higher fuel costs, demand shocks from geopolitics or health events, and refinancing pressure given net debt of €3.61 billion; interest coverage sits around 2.23x. Watch bookings trends, airline load factors, and the May earnings announcement for guidance changes. Positive catalysts include stronger-than-expected bookings, cost discipline, and asset sales that reduce leverage and improve the balance sheet.

Final Thoughts

TUI1.DE stock moved lower after hours to €7.28 on 02 Mar 2026 amid heavy volume, testing a near-term support band around €7.00. Fundamentals show a trading multiple that looks inexpensive — trailing PE 6.05, EV/EBITDA 4.14 and free cash flow yield around 28.09% — but leverage and a low current ratio are real constraints. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month target of €9.89, an implied upside of 35.88% versus today’s price; this view assumes steady booking momentum and margin improvements. Technically the stock is oversold with an RSI at 38.91, which can attract value buyers if macro conditions stabilise. For most active traders, the setup is a high-conviction mean-reversion opportunity with clear stop levels under €6.00 and a base target near €8.00–€9.90; longer-term investors should monitor debt reduction and upcoming earnings on 13 May 2026. These insights are data-driven and for informational purposes only; they do not constitute investment advice. For deeper data and real-time feeds consult our platform and primary sources below.

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.