Temenos AG (TEMN.SW SIX) down 7.08% intraday on 04 Feb 2026: watch CHF64.30 support
TEMN.SW stock fell sharply intraday on 04 Feb 2026, sliding 7.08% to CHF64.30 after opening at CHF69.80. Trading volume surged to 426,842 shares, nearly 2.79x the average. The move follows sector weakness and profit-taking after recent gains. We summarise drivers, valuation, technical levels and Meyka AI forecasts for Temenos AG on the SIX exchange in Switzerland.
Intraday drivers for TEMN.SW stock
The main intraday trigger was a profit-taking wave after a recent rally. Temenos AG (TEMN.SW) opened at CHF69.80 and hit a day low of CHF64.20. Volume of 426,842 contrasts with the average 152,823, signalling heavier selling. Market participants cited mixed sector moves and positioning ahead of the 24 Feb 2026 earnings date.
One additional driver is tech-sector softness in Switzerland. The Technology sector shows modest recent weakness and a higher average PE of 29.44, increasing sensitivity to revisions in software licensing and SaaS guidance.
Fundamentals and valuation for Temenos AG (TEMN.SW)
Temenos reports EPS CHF3.22 and a trailing PE of 19.97 on the SIX exchange. Market cap is roughly CHF4.44B and shares outstanding are 68,984,148. Revenue per share is CHF15.90, with a net margin near 28.76%, underlining strong profitability.
Valuation ratios show mixed signals. Price/Book at 13.17 and EV/EBITDA at 12.37 look elevated versus the Swiss Technology sector average PE of 29.44 and PB of 5.30. Balance-sheet metrics include debt/equity around 2.04 and interest coverage 13.71, which keep solvency risk manageable.
Technical picture and trading levels for TEMN.SW stock
Technicals tightened after the sell-off. Intraday range is CHF64.20–CHF69.80 and the stock sits below the 50-day average CHF75.80 but near the 200-day average CHF67.63. Relative Strength Index reads 83.01, indicating short-term overbought conditions turning volatile.
Key levels to watch: immediate support at CHF64.30 (current price), next support at the year low CHF55.50, and resistance near CHF72.81 (Bollinger lower band). High ATR of CHF1.57 suggests larger daily swings for active traders.
Meyka AI rating and analyst context for TEMN.SW stock
Meyka AI rates TEMN.SW with a score out of 100: 74.04 | Grade: B+ | Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The internal company rating dated 03 Feb 2026 shows a B+ and a Neutral recommendation from broader models.
The rating mixes strong profitability and cash flow with higher price/book and elevated debt-to-equity. These inputs explain the B+ grade and a cautious buy stance. Grades are model outputs only and not financial advice.
Meyka AI’s forecast and TEMN.SW stock outlook
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly CHF69.02, quarterly CHF70.47, and yearly CHF67.81. Versus the current price CHF64.30, the model implies short-term upside of 7.34% (monthly), 9.60% (quarterly) and 5.46% (yearly). Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Catalysts for these forecasts include stable recurring revenue from Temenos Transact and growth in SaaS adoption. Risks that could lower the model include license timing shifts, FX moves, or weaker enterprise spend in key markets.
Risks and opportunities for investors in TEMN.SW stock
Opportunity: Temenos benefits from recurring SaaS revenue, high margins and a growing developer ecosystem. Continued cloud migration in banking supports mid-term growth. The company shows free cash flow per share CHF6.60 and dividend per share CHF1.68, offering income plus growth potential.
Risk: High price/book 13.17 and debt/equity 2.04 raise valuation and leverage concerns. Near-term volatility is likely ahead of the 24 Feb 2026 earnings report. Macro slowdown in banking IT budgets could pressure licence sales and guidance.
Final Thoughts
Temenos AG (TEMN.SW) dropped 7.08% intraday to CHF64.30 on 04 Feb 2026, on heavy volume and sector pressure. The sell-off trims recent gains and puts the stock near tactical support while leaving the longer-term trend intact. Fundamental strengths include EPS CHF3.22, high net margin 28.76%, and solid free cash flow CHF6.60 per share. Valuation remains rich with a PE 19.97 and PB 13.17, which explains mixed market reactions.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects quarterly CHF70.47, implying +9.60% from today’s price, while the annual projection of CHF67.81 implies +5.46%. Meyka AI recommends monitoring the upcoming 24 Feb 2026 earnings for guidance changes. This analysis from our AI-powered market analysis platform should be a starting point. Forecasts are model projections and not guarantees; investors must weigh valuation against growth and timing risk.
FAQs
What caused the drop in TEMN.SW stock today?
The intraday decline reflects profit-taking, heavier trading volume of 426,842 shares, and sector weakness. Traders also flagged positioning ahead of the 24 Feb 2026 earnings report. Short-term technical pressure pushed price to CHF64.30.
How does Temenos valuation compare to peers?
Temenos shows a trailing PE 19.97 but a high PB 13.17, above Technology sector averages. Strong margins and free cash flow support valuation, but the lofty PB signals limited margin for earnings disappointment.
What is Meyka AI’s short-term forecast for TEMN.SW stock?
Meyka AI’s model projects monthly CHF69.02 and quarterly CHF70.47, implying short-term upside of about 7.34% and 9.60% respectively versus CHF64.30. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
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