TD.TO The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX) 25 Feb 2026: earnings preview and catalyst
TD.TO stock trades at C$130.33 intraday as investors position ahead of earnings due 26 Feb 2026. The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO) reports after Canadian markets open, and traders will focus on net interest margin, U.S. retail growth, and provision trends. Current metrics show PE 11.28, EPS 11.55, and a dividend yield 3.24%, making the earnings report a key catalyst for short-term price action and income investors.
Earnings snapshot and what to watch for TD.TO stock
Earnings arrive 26 Feb 2026 at 08:30 ET (13:30 UTC), and TD.TO stock will react to net interest margin and loan growth. Investors should watch Canadian Retail margins, U.S. Retail loan volume, and credit provisions. One clear metric to monitor is quarterly net interest margin change versus prior quarter.
Valuation and key financial metrics for TD.TO stock
TD.TO stock trades at PE 11.28 and market cap CAD 218.79 billion, below the Canadian financial sector average PE of 13.21. The bank reports EPS 11.55 and dividend per share C$4.23, a 3.24% yield. Price-to-book is 1.73, book value per share is 75.27, and return on equity stands at 16.49%.
Growth drivers, risks and TD.TO earnings implications
Growth drivers include U.S. retail expansion and wealth management fee income. These areas supported net income growth 1.32% year over year in the last fiscal cycle. Major risks include high leverage metrics and funding costs, plus credit cycles that could pressure provisions and free cash flow.
Technical picture and trading cues for TD.TO stock
Intraday range is C$129.86–131.20 with volume 3,558,100 versus average 6,175,318 shares. RSI sits near 49.81, and Bollinger middle band is 130.56, suggesting neutral momentum. Traders should note resistance at the year high C$134.50 and support near C$129.00.
Meyka AI grade, model forecast and price targets
Meyka AI rates TD.TO with a score out of 100: 75.86 (B+) — BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly C$130.80, quarterly C$143.13, and yearly C$155.86 for TD.TO stock. Compared with the current price C$130.33, the yearly projection implies an upside of 19.59%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Market context, sector comparison and recent news on TD.TO stock
Canadian financials have pulled ahead this year, with the sector up 4.44% YTD. TD.TO stock’s PE is lower than the sector average, providing a valuation cushion. Recent coverage includes holdings notes and dividend updates from MarketBeat and commentary on momentum from Business Insider source source. For live quotes, see our Meyka stock page for TD.TO.
Final Thoughts
TD.TO stock trades at C$130.33 ahead of a scheduled earnings release on 26 Feb 2026. The bank combines a 3.24% dividend yield with PE 11.28 and established U.S. retail exposure. Our model and grade highlight upside if margin expansion and U.S. loan growth surprise positively. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects yearly C$155.86, implying 19.59% upside versus the current price. Short-term risk centers on unexpected credit provisions or weaker fee income. We set a base price target of C$150.00, a bullish target of C$170.00, and a cautious defensive target of C$120.00. These targets reflect earnings sensitivity to margin moves and macro risks. Use the earnings print to reassess position size, dividend yield expectations, and risk limits. Meyka AI provides this analysis as an AI-powered market analysis platform; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
FAQs
When does TD.TO earnings release occur and why it matters?
TD.TO earnings are scheduled for 26 Feb 2026 at 08:30 ET. The report matters because net interest margin, U.S. loan growth, and provisions will likely drive short-term price moves.
What are realistic price targets for TD.TO stock after earnings?
Reasonable targets are base C$150.00, bullish C$170.00, and bearish C$120.00. Targets depend on margin beat/miss, provision levels, and U.S. retail performance.
How does TD.TO stock dividend compare to peers?
TD.TO pays C$4.23 per share, a 3.24% yield. That yield sits in the middle of major Canadian banks and supports income-focused allocations during earnings.
What is Meyka AI’s view on TD.TO stock outlook?
Meyka AI rates TD.TO B+ (75.86) and projects yearly C$155.86, about 19.59% upside. The outlook balances steady ROE and valuation against funding and credit risks.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.