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Global Market Insights

RY.TO Stock Today: February 28 — Big Six Beat as High Rates Drive Record Profits

February 28, 2026
5 min read
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Royal Bank of Canada stock is in focus after Canada’s Big Six topped estimates this week, supported by wider loan–deposit spreads and steady credit costs. Shares last closed at C$232.14, within a 52‑week range of C$151.25 to C$240.34. The first mention of RY.TO underscores today’s discussion on durability of net interest margin and housing risk. With RBC earnings slated for May 28, investors are weighing sector tailwinds against funding costs and mortgage renewals that could pressure profitability later in 2026.

What’s Moving Royal Bank of Canada Today

Royal Bank of Canada stock closed at C$232.14, trading between C$231.02 and C$237.84 today. The 50‑day average is C$232.99, near price, while the 200‑day sits at C$203.35. RSI is 41.63, with CCI at -155.71 and Williams %R at -88.05, suggesting short‑term oversold conditions. ADX is 16.8, showing no clear trend. Volume was 3.58 million versus a 3.50 million average. YTD is -2.77% and 1‑year is +36.96%.

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Canadian banks delivered better‑than‑expected results as higher rates lifted spreads and credit remained manageable, driving record profits. Coverage across Canada highlighted these themes and strategic commentary from executives. See reporting from La Presse on the sector beat here and TVA Nouvelles’ explainer on why profits are strong here.

Earnings Watch: NIM, Credit, and Costs

High policy rates have supported net interest margin, but deposit pricing is creeping up as terms like GICs compete for savings. If the Bank of Canada begins cutting later in 2026, asset yields may reset faster than deposits, pressuring spreads. We expect management on May 28 to outline deposit beta, mortgage repricing cadence, and mix shifts across personal, commercial, and treasury portfolios.

Canadian housing remains the main swing factor. Sector commentary indicates credit losses are still manageable, but mortgage renewals at higher rates could lift delinquencies. We will watch impaired loans, provisions for credit losses, and any updates on commercial real estate. A strong deposit base and prudent underwriting help, yet soft resale activity or falling prices would test household budgets and card portfolios.

Valuation, Dividends, and Capital

Royal Bank of Canada stock trades at 15.71x TTM EPS and 2.30x book, with a 6.36% earnings yield. ROE is 15.08%. Cash flow ratios look attractive on paper, though cash metrics can be noisy for banks. On growth, EPS rose about 25% year over year in the latest fiscal period, while revenue per share expanded, supporting premium multiples versus book value.

RBC’s TTM dividend is C$6.20, a 2.72% yield, with a 43% payout ratio. Dividend per share grew roughly 33% in the latest fiscal year, reflecting steady earnings power. We view capital and liquidity as adequate for targeted growth and buybacks when appropriate. Shares outstanding are about 1.405 billion, giving flexibility to keep compounding through cycles.

Trading Levels and Scenarios

Bollinger Bands sit near C$227.25 to C$238.44, while the 50‑day average is C$232.99. Initial support is C$227 to C$228. Resistance is C$238 to C$240, close to the 52‑week high at C$240.34. A decisive close above C$240 could open C$241 area. With ADX at 16.8, traders may wait for a range break with volume confirmation.

Upside drivers include stable net interest margin, benign credit, and fee strength in Wealth and Capital Markets. Downsides are faster‑than‑expected rate cuts, deposit pricing pressure, higher mortgage delinquencies, and expense drift. Our model points to C$240.48 in three months, C$209.05 in twelve months, C$241.68 in three years, and C$273.99 in five years. These are projections, not guidance.

Final Thoughts

Royal Bank of Canada stock benefits from sector tailwinds, with spreads still healthy and credit steady. We think the next catalyst is the May 28 earnings call, where deposit beta, mortgage renewals, and cost control will shape the outlook. For long‑term investors, accumulating near C$228 to C$233 offers a balanced entry against support and the 50‑day average. Traders can watch C$238 to C$240 for a potential breakout, and C$227 for risk management. Note that ratings conflict: our composite Stock Grade is B+ with a Buy suggestion, while an alternate company model shows B‑ and Sell due to leverage and valuation. Position size accordingly and monitor Bank of Canada policy and housing data.

FAQs

Is Royal Bank of Canada stock a buy after the Big Six beat?

We see mixed signals. Our composite Stock Grade is B+ (Buy), supported by growth and forecasts. A separate company model is B‑ with a Sell tilt due to leverage and valuation. If you have a multi‑year horizon and can handle housing and rate risks, staggered buys may fit.

When is the next RBC earnings report?

RBC is scheduled to report on May 28, 2026, at 13:30 UTC. We expect commentary on net interest margin durability, deposit pricing, mortgage renewals, and expense discipline. Watch provisions for credit losses and any guidance on capital returns. Always verify the time on the company’s calendar.

How could rate cuts affect RBC’s net interest margin?

If the Bank of Canada cuts, asset yields on variable loans and new originations can fall faster than deposit costs, especially if deposit betas lag on sticky balances. That can compress net interest margin. Offsets include fee income, mix shifts to higher‑margin lending, and targeted cost control.

What technical levels matter now for Royal Bank of Canada stock?

Support sits around C$227 to C$228, with the 50‑day average near C$232.99. Resistance is C$238 to C$240, near the C$240.34 high. RSI is 41.63, and ADX is 16.8, suggesting a range. A close above C$240 with strong volume could invite momentum buying.

Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes.  Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
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