Q4 earnings NGD.TO New Gold Inc. (TSX) pre-market: key catalysts 25 Feb 2026
Q4 earnings for NGD.TO stock are due after the close on 25 Feb 2026, and today’s pre-market price action already reflects positioning ahead of the report. New Gold Inc. (NGD.TO) trades at C$16.80, up 1.14% today, with a 50-day average of C$13.96 and a 200-day average of C$9.47. We focus on production trends, cash flow metrics and management guidance that could swing the stock in the next session and set the tone for 2026.
Earnings timing and expectations for NGD.TO stock
New Gold’s Q4 results are scheduled after market close on 25 Feb 2026 (4:00 PM EST) and will be the primary catalyst for NGD.TO stock in the next session. Consensus commentary expects accelerating EPS driven by higher gold realization and improved underground performance; Zacks moved 2026 EPS to US$1.55 for NGD in recent updates. Investors will watch guidance, production by mine and any updated capital spending for 2026.
Valuation snapshot and key metrics for NGD.TO stock
NGD.TO stock trades at C$16.80 with market cap C$13.30B, EPS C$0.44, and P/E 38.18 on the latest quote. Enterprise multiples show EV/EBITDA ~17.03 and free cash flow yield near 0.65%, highlighting a premium multiple versus peers despite solid cash generation. Balance sheet ratios include debt/equity 0.32 and current ratio 0.88, which underline moderate leverage and working capital tightness ahead of earnings.
Operations and growth drivers behind NGD.TO stock
New Gold’s two flagship assets—Rainy River and New Afton—drove consolidated output of 353,772 oz gold and 50.1 million lbs copper in 2025, supporting C$530.00M reported free cash flow last year after C$310.00M of capex. Near-term growth is tied to New Afton’s C‑Zone completion and Rainy River underground ramp-up; execution updates on these projects will be read closely in the Q4 release. For background on sector drivers and gold demand, see coverage at Nasdaq/Zacks source.
Technical setup and trading signals for NGD.TO stock
Price action shows NGD.TO stock rising to C$16.80 with a day range C$16.06–C$16.97 and volume 1,693,511 (avg 2,689,472). Momentum indicators read bullish: RSI 60.95, MACD positive, and CCI 117.77 indicating short-term strength. Key technical support sits near the 50‑day average C$13.96 and resistance near the year high C$18.62 and Bollinger upper C$17.76. Real-time quotes and intraday charts are available at Investing.com Canada source.
Meyka Grade and forecasts for NGD.TO stock
Meyka AI rates NGD.TO with a score out of 100: 70.52 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly C$17.70, quarterly C$18.50, and yearly C$24.49 versus the current price C$16.80, implying upside of 5.36%, 10.12%, and 45.78% respectively. These forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Risks and watch points for NGD.TO stock
Key risks to NGD.TO stock include gold price swings, project execution at New Afton and Rainy River, capital intensity of underground works, and a tight current ratio 0.88 that may stress short-term liquidity. Operational surprises, rising capex, or weaker-than-expected grades would pressure the premium valuation. Conversely, stronger production or improved free cash flow would likely compress downside and validate Meyka’s forecasts.
Final Thoughts
NGD.TO stock heads into its Q4 report on 25 Feb 2026 with a mix of strong operational momentum and a premium valuation that leaves little margin for execution misses. At C$16.80, the market has already priced in recent production gains and project progress; key numbers to watch are consolidated ounces, copper pounds, free cash flow and updated 2026 guidance. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects C$24.49 at the one‑year horizon — an implied +45.78% from today — but that outcome depends on continued project delivery and commodity strength. We flag short-term technical resistance near C$17.76–C$18.62 and support near the 50‑day average C$13.96. As an AI-powered market analysis platform, Meyka AI highlights both upside from growth projects and liquidity and valuation risks. These grades and forecasts are model-driven and not guarantees, and we are not financial advisors.
FAQs
When will NGD.TO stock report Q4 results?
New Gold reports Q4 after market close on 25 Feb 2026 at 4:00 PM EST; expect management commentary on production, capex and 2026 guidance that could move NGD.TO stock the next trading session.
What are the main valuation metrics for NGD.TO stock?
NGD.TO stock trades at C$16.80 with P/E 38.18, EV/EBITDA ~17.03, market cap C$13.30B, and free cash flow yield near 0.65%, reflecting a premium multiple versus peers.
How does Meyka AI view NGD.TO stock?
Meyka AI rates NGD.TO with a score out of 100: 70.52 (B+, Suggestion: BUY). The grade factors in benchmark, sector, growth, metrics and consensus; grades are not guaranteed and not investment advice.
What short-term technical levels should traders watch for NGD.TO stock?
For NGD.TO stock, watch support near the 50‑day average C$13.96 and resistance near the year high C$18.62 and Bollinger upper C$17.76; RSI at 60.95 suggests room for further upside but momentum is near overbought reads.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.