Q1 earnings ahead: Vivendi (VIV.PA) EURONEXT pre-market 10 Mar 2026: watch guidance

We expect investors to focus on subscriber trends and advertising guidance when Vivendi SE reports next week. The VIV.PA stock trades at €2.02 in EURONEXT pre-market on 10 Mar 2026 and shows volume 901,344 shares today ahead of an earnings release on 12 Mar 2026. Early signals from Canal+ and Havas performance will drive the headline numbers and short-term price moves for VIV.PA stock.

Earnings preview: VIV.PA stock

Vivendi reports results on 12 Mar 2026 with EPS last reported at -0.16 and a trailing PE of -12.62. Analysts will watch Canal+ subscriptions, Havas ad revenues, and Editis margins for signs of recovery. VIV.PA stock reaction will hinge on revenue guidance and free cash flow improvements.

Price action and technicals for VIV.PA stock

The share price sits at €2.02 with a 50-day average of €2.29 and 200-day average of €2.77. RSI is 29.97 (oversold) and ADX is 29.00 indicating a strong trend; recent 1M change is -9.82%. Traders should note recent volume is 901,344 vs avg 1,675,639 which shows still below-average liquidity for an earnings move.

Fundamentals and valuation for VIV.PA stock

Vivendi’s market cap is €2,004,316,720.00 with book value per share €4.82 and PB ratio 0.42. Free cash flow per share is -0.07 and operating cash flow per share is -0.06, underlining weak cash generation. The company pays €0.04 dividend per share and dividend yield is 1.98%, but payout ratio is 1.33 which raises sustainability questions.

Meyka grade and model forecast for VIV.PA stock

Meyka AI rates VIV.PA with a score of 60.78 out of 100: Grade B, suggestion HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly price around €1.94, implying a -3.96% move versus the current €2.02. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Catalysts, risks and sector context for VIV.PA stock

Key catalysts: Canal+ subscriber growth, Havas organic revenues, and clearer free cash flow guidance. Key risks: weak operating cash flow, low current ratio 0.51, and exposure to advertising cycles in Communication Services. The Communication Services sector shows 3M weakness and an average PE around 16.08, leaving Vivendi trading at a valuation below sector PB but with weaker cash metrics.

Price targets and trading setup for VIV.PA stock

Realistic near-term targets: conservative €1.60, base €2.50, bullish €3.50 reflecting Canal+ recovery scenarios. A break above the 50-day average €2.29 with rising volume would support a move to the base target. Traders seeking income should weigh dividend yield 1.98% against cash flow weakness.

Final Thoughts

Vivendi (VIV.PA) enters the EURONEXT pre-market on 10 Mar 2026 with earnings due on 12 Mar 2026 and the market pricing mixed signals into €2.02 per share. Our analysis shows the stock trades below its 200-day average €2.77 while the sector is muted, making guidance the likely short-term driver. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects €1.94 monthly, an implied downside of -3.96% compared with current price; this projection reflects ongoing cash flow weakness and slow revenue recovery. For investors, the key decision point will be whether management can deliver improved free cash flow and subscriber trends at Canal+. Given current metrics — EPS -0.16, PB 0.42, market cap €2,004,316,720.00 — we keep a cautious stance and recommend monitoring the earnings details before repositioning. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.