NVDA Stock Today: February 27 — Record Q4, $78B Q1 Guide; Shares Dip
The Nvidia earnings report delivered record Q4 revenue of $68.1 billion, up 73% year over year, and a strong fiscal Q1 2027 revenue guide of $78 billion. Yet NVDA stock today slipped as investors weighed lofty expectations, AI capex timing, and supply in Gaming. For investors in India, the takeaway is clear. Demand for AI compute is strong, pricing looks firm, and data center revenue growth remains the core driver. We break down what changed, what to watch next, and how to position around volatility.
Record Q4 and a bold fiscal Q1 outlook
Nvidia posted Q4 revenue of $68.1 billion, rising 73% year over year as AI demand stayed strong. Management highlighted broad strength across hyperscalers and enterprise. Data center revenue jumped about 75% year over year, underlining Nvidia’s leadership in accelerated compute. The company’s update confirmed robust order visibility and steady conversions, according to the official release source.
The company guided fiscal Q1 2027 revenue to $78 billion, excluding data center compute sales to China. That exclusion sets a high-quality baseline and suggests demand from US and non-China customers remains very strong. The guidance cadence implies continued AI infrastructure build-outs by hyperscalers and enterprises, supported by long-dated purchase commitments and tight supply in top-tier accelerators.
Even with a beat and raise, investors parsed the mix, timing of deliveries, and comments on Gaming supply. The debate centers on how quickly hyperscalers deploy capacity and whether orders spill into later quarters. Coverage highlighted the scale of data center revenue and its durability as the primary thesis driver source.
Why NVDA stock today is lower
After a long run-up, the bar was very high. Some investors took profits as the results, while strong, matched high expectations. The stock reaction reflected valuation sensitivity and the need for continued upside revisions. Short-term volatility is common after big beats when positioning is crowded and earnings momentum is priced in.
Management flagged supply constraints in Gaming, which may cap near-term upside in that segment. Investors also weighed product transitions and allocations toward data center accelerators, given stronger margins and demand. The mix shift helps profitability but can introduce quarter-to-quarter noise, which often leads to tactical pullbacks in the share price.
The path of hyperscaler AI capex remains the swing factor. Markets want clarity on deployment pacing and when pilots convert into scaled production workloads. Any hint of stretched deliveries or budget phasing can pressure sentiment, even if full-year demand stays intact. That tension likely contributed to the dip despite the strong print.
What Q1 2027 guidance means for India
For India, the Nvidia earnings report signals more AI capacity flowing to public clouds and enterprise stacks. Indian IT services firms and startups can benefit from better access to training and inference capacity, enabling faster model iteration and deployment. Expect continued focus on generative AI projects, edge AI pilots, and AI-enabled automation across BFSI, telecom, and healthcare.
Indian investors can gain exposure to Nvidia via global investing platforms or NSE IFSC routes where available. Returns in INR will be affected by USDINR moves, so plan for currency risk. Stagger entries with SIP-style allocations, set stop-losses, and consider diversification across semiconductors, foundries, and AI software to reduce single-name volatility.
Cloud providers operating in India will likely prioritize AI instances as supply improves, which could ease queues for GPU capacity. This can accelerate proofs of concept and migrations for local enterprises. Vendors in networking, storage, and power will also see uplift as data center builds expand to support sustained demand for accelerated computing.
Key metrics and technicals to watch
Analyst sentiment remains strong, with 70 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings, and a consensus leaning positive. Keep an eye on execution versus the $78 billion Q1 2027 guide and updates on supply. The next earnings announcement is scheduled for 20 May 2026, a key checkpoint for trajectory and mix.
Near-term technicals show RSI around 61, suggesting positive momentum, while ADX near 11 indicates no strong trend. ATR at 5.84 implies active daily swings. Bollinger bands center near 187, with upper near 199 and lower near 175. These gauges can help size positions and manage entries during pullbacks.
Recent ranges include a year high of 212.19 and a year low of 86.62. Volume remains elevated versus average, a sign of institutional activity. Watch the mid-band near 187 as a reference area, with 175 as a volatility support. Position sizes should reflect earnings cadence and the ongoing focus on data center revenue.
Final Thoughts
The Nvidia earnings report reinforced a strong AI cycle, with $68.1 billion in Q4 revenue and a bold $78 billion fiscal Q1 2027 guide excluding China data center compute. Shares dipped as investors reassessed expectations, supply, and capex timing. For investors in India, the core thesis stays intact. We would track hyperscaler budgets, Gaming supply updates, and order conversions each quarter. Consider phased buying on weakness, manage currency risk, and diversify across the AI stack. Use technical levels and volatility metrics to set entries and stops. Stay focused on execution in data center, since that remains the main driver of long-term value.
FAQs
Why did NVDA stock fall after a strong Nvidia earnings report?
The bar was very high after a big run, so some investors took profits even with strong results. Markets reassessed valuation, Gaming supply comments, and the timing of hyperscaler AI capex. Short-term pullbacks are common when positioning is crowded, while the long-term thesis remains tied to data center momentum.
What stood out most in the Nvidia earnings report?
Revenue of $68.1 billion rose 73% year over year, with data center revenue up about 75%, highlighting robust AI demand. Management guided fiscal Q1 2027 revenue to $78 billion, excluding data center compute sales to China. The mix, guidance quality, and sustained enterprise interest were key positives for investors.
What does the $78B Q1 2027 guidance exclude?
The fiscal Q1 2027 revenue guide of $78 billion excludes data center compute sales to China. This sets a high-quality baseline centered on demand from hyperscalers and enterprises outside China. It also helps the market assess core momentum without uncertainty tied to evolving export rules and allocations.
How can investors in India get exposure to Nvidia?
Indian investors can access Nvidia via global investing platforms or through NSE IFSC mechanisms where available. Consider SIP-style staggered entries, account for USDINR currency risk, and maintain diversification across semiconductors, foundries, and AI software. Use position sizing and stop-losses to manage volatility around earnings and guidance updates.
What should I watch next after this Nvidia earnings report?
Track hyperscaler AI capex plans, updates on Gaming supply, and any commentary on data center revenue mix. Watch the next earnings date for progress versus the $78 billion guidance. Use technical markers like RSI, ATR, and Bollinger bands to plan entries, and monitor currency effects if you invest from India.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.