NVDA Stock Today: Beat, $78B Q1 Guide, Data Center +75% — February 26
NVDA stock today is in focus for Hong Kong investors after Nvidia delivered a clear earnings beat and guided Q1 revenue to $78 billion. Data center revenue rose 75% year over year as AI spending stayed firm at major cloud platforms. Shares of NVDA moved higher as management detailed supply growth beyond Asia and excluded China from guidance. Using 7.80 HKD per USD, the Q1 guide equals about HK$608 billion. We outline what changed, where valuation stands, and practical trading levels for investors in Hong Kong.
Earnings beat and $78B guide: key takeaways
Nvidia topped Q4 expectations and set Q1 revenue guidance at $78 billion, citing broad AI demand from hyperscalers and enterprises. Management said China is not assumed in the outlook. That stance supports visibility even with export limits. For a full recap, see CNBC’s report here. Using 7.80 HKD per USD, the Q1 guide equals about HK$608 billion, a large step-up that signals continued capacity adds and robust order books.
Data center revenue grew 75% year on year, highlighting sustained AI accelerator and networking demand. The company pointed to supply-chain expansion beyond Asia, which helps diversify risk and support near-term shipments. Investors read that as positive for fulfillment and lead times. NVDA stock today reflects that confidence as markets price stronger quarterly run-rates and backlog conversion. The setup favors continued AI capex from top cloud customers and fast-growing model developers.
Profitability, cash, and balance sheet
Nvidia’s TTM gross margin sits near 70.05% and operating margin near 58.84%, exceptional for a hardware-driven model. Return on equity is above 100%, reflecting high asset efficiency, while the current ratio of 4.47 shows ample liquidity for inventory and prepayments. Combined with the Q1 outlook, these metrics indicate strong pricing power and tight cost control, key supports for NVDA stock today as new product cycles ship into a deep order pipeline.
Free cash flow per share is about 3.18, and the payout ratio is roughly 0.98%, leaving room to reinvest in capacity, software, and networking. Leverage remains low, with debt to equity near 0.09. That balance sheet flexibility matters if supply spending steps up or if lead times normalize. NVDA stock today benefits from this funding strength, which can smooth node transitions and mitigate any temporary order timing shifts.
Valuation and technical setup
On trailing figures, the price to earnings ratio is about 48.3 and price to sales near 25.6. Market capitalization is roughly US$4.76 trillion, or about HK$37.1 trillion at 7.80 HKD per USD. At a reference price of US$195.56, that is near HK$1,525 per share. These levels price in strong growth, so delivery against the $78 billion Q1 guide remains central to upside.
Momentum is constructive: RSI 61.29, MACD positive at 1.96 versus a 0.99 signal, and Stochastics near 92.32. CCI at 141.69 flags short-term overbought. Bollinger bands sit around 175.33 to 198.83 with a 187.08 middle. Average true range is 5.84, indicating lively daily swings. For traders, pullbacks toward the middle band can offer better entries if the fundamental trend holds.
Implications for Hong Kong investors
The stock trades in USD on Nasdaq, so Hong Kong investors typically route via U.S. brokers. The HKD is pegged to USD, which reduces currency volatility for positions. U.S. earnings releases land overnight Hong Kong time, so price gaps can occur before the Asia session. Plan orders, position size, and stops with that timing in mind for NVDA stock today and the coming quarter.
A staged approach may fit current conditions. Watch reactions around the Bollinger middle near 187 and upper band near 199 as reference zones. Consider ATR-based stops around 5 to 6 dollars. Key risks include export controls, component supply, and competition. Nvidia’s release confirms China is excluded from guidance, which supports visibility source.
Final Thoughts
Nvidia’s beat, $78 billion Q1 revenue guidance, and 75% growth in data center revenue reinforce a strong AI cycle. Profitability and liquidity are standouts, while valuation metrics remain rich. For Hong Kong investors, the USD peg simplifies currency risk, but overnight U.S. moves demand clear plans for entries and exits. Tactically, consider buying on dips toward the middle band with ATR-informed risk controls. Strategically, watch delivery against guidance, supply expansion beyond Asia, and large customer capex trends. NVDA stock today looks supported by fundamentals, provided execution stays on track and policy risks remain manageable.
FAQs
What did Nvidia report and why did shares firm?
Nvidia beat Q4 estimates and guided Q1 revenue to $78 billion. Management said China is excluded from the outlook and highlighted strong AI demand, lifting confidence in near-term growth. Data center revenue climbed 75% year over year, signaling resilient spending by hyperscalers and enterprises.
Is NVDA stock today overbought on technicals?
Short-term momentum is strong, with RSI at 61.29, Stochastics near 92, and CCI at 141, which is elevated. That mix often precedes brief pullbacks. Traders can watch the Bollinger middle band around 187 for potential support and use ATR near 5.84 to size stops.
How can Hong Kong investors think about currency for NVDA?
NVDA trades in USD, but the HKD is pegged to USD, which limits currency swings. For reference, using 7.80 HKD per USD helps translate values when planning orders and risk. Still, factor in fees, spreads, and overnight moves when executing during Asia hours.
What are the key risks after the strong guidance?
Main risks include export restrictions to China, supply-chain bottlenecks, and rising competition in AI accelerators and networking. Nvidia excluded China from guidance, which supports visibility, but changes in policy, component availability, or customer capex could still affect quarterly delivery and margins.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.