Advertisement

Meyka AI - Contribute to AI-powered stock and crypto research platform
Meyka Stock Market API - Real-time financial data and AI insights for developers
Advertise on Meyka - Reach investors and traders across 10 global markets
US Stocks

NVDA stock model shows 33.00% upside: NVIDIA NASDAQ closed 27 Feb 2026

February 28, 2026
6 min read
Share with:

NVDA stock closed at USD 184.89 on 27 Feb 2026 after heavy trading and a session labeled most active for the name. The share price opened at USD 194.27 and traded between USD 184.32 and USD 194.29 before the market closed in the United States (NASDAQ). Volume finished at 360,807,907.00 shares versus an average of 171,731,114.00, signaling above-normal interest. Investors are parsing the company’s strong data center results and guidance; we use Meyka AI’s real-time tools to connect the Q4 results to price action and near-term trading opportunities for NVDA stock.

NVDA stock: price action and volume

NVDA stock finished the session at USD 184.89 on NASDAQ in the United States with a one-day change of 0.00% on the official close. The stock’s intraday range was USD 184.32 to USD 194.29, and volume came in at 360,807,907.00 shares, or 1.44 times average volume, marking it one of the market’s most active names.

Sponsored

High volume on a down-open tells traders liquidity remained available despite profit-taking. The stock’s 50-day average is USD 185.60 and the 200-day average is USD 174.69, showing price sits near shorter-term support and above longer-term trend.

NVDA stock: earnings, guidance and market reaction

NVIDIA reported a better-than-expected fiscal Q4 with revenue of USD 68.13 billion and adjusted EPS of USD 1.62, driven by 75.00% revenue growth in Data Center, per the company call and CNBC. Guidance for fiscal Q1 revenue at USD 78.00 billion ±2.00% outpaced Street estimates and tightened concerns about near-term demand.

Despite the beat, shares traded lower on investor questions about sustainability of hyperscaler capex and a flagged OpenAI partnership. The headline numbers supported revenue momentum, while commentary on supply constraints and long-term contracts shaped the intraday trade for NVDA stock.

NVDA stock: financials, valuation and key metrics

NVIDIA’s fundamentals show strong margins and cash generation: EPS is 4.05, trailing PE stands at 43.73, and net income per share TTM is 4.94. The company carries minimal net debt and a current ratio of 3.91, with free cash flow per share TTM at 3.98.

Valuation remains rich: price-to-sales TTM is 20.08 and price-to-book TTM is 27.51. These metrics reflect market bets on AI-driven growth but also underline valuation risk if data center capex moderates. NVDA stock’s ROIC and operating margins remain industry-leading, supporting premium multiples versus semiconductor peers.

NVDA stock: technicals and trading signals

Technical indicators show momentum cooling into the close. RSI is 40.31, MACD histogram is -0.52, and ADX is 11.75, which indicates no strong trend. Bollinger Bands are 197.98 upper and 173.98 lower, placing current price inside the band and nearer to the middle.

Short-term signals favor caution: CCI at -225.17 and Williams %R at -96.69 point to oversold intraday conditions while OBV remains elevated. Active traders should watch USD 173.98 (BB lower) as a tactical support and USD 197.98 as a first resistance for NVDA stock.

NVDA stock: Meyka AI grade and forecast

Meyka AI rates NVDA with a score out of 100: 83.29 | Grade: A | Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The stock-grade model blends growth, valuation, and momentum signals to produce the score.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 1-year price of USD 245.83 versus the current USD 184.89, implying an upside of 32.97%. Monthly and quarterly projections are USD 174.89 and USD 191.63 respectively. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. See live NVDA data on Investing.com and the NVDA page on Meyka for updates.

NVDA stock: risks, opportunities and sector context

Key opportunities stem from continued hyperscaler spending, adoption of Vera Rubin rack-scale systems, and networking growth where sales rose sharply. NVIDIA’s Data Center unit now contributes over 91.00% of revenue, supporting long-term structural demand for AI chips.

Risks include memory shortages affecting gaming, potential moderation in hyperscaler capex, regulatory or deal uncertainty with partners such as OpenAI, and stretched valuation that raises downside sensitivity if growth slows. The Technology sector and Semiconductors industry remain volatile, so position sizing and diversification matter for NVDA stock exposure.

Final Thoughts

NVDA stock closed at USD 184.89 on 27 Feb 2026 after one of the market’s most active sessions, driven by strong fiscal Q4 results and above-normal volume of 360,807,907.00 shares. The fundamentals remain robust—high margins, strong free cash flow, and minimal net debt—while valuation metrics such as price-to-sales 20.08 and price-to-book 27.51 reflect premium expectations for AI-driven growth. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month price of USD 245.83, implying an upside of 32.97% versus the current price; this projection is model-based and not a guarantee. Near term, traders should monitor hyperscaler capex commentary, Vera Rubin supply ramp, and technical supports around USD 173.98. For investors, NVDA stock offers a high-conviction growth story in the semiconductors sector but comes with elevated valuation and execution risk. Use position sizing, track guidance beats and misses, and consult live data on Meyka AI, our AI-powered market analysis platform, for real-time alerts and scenario updates.

FAQs

What drove NVDA stock’s volume spike on 27 Feb 2026?

NVDA stock traded 360,807,907.00 shares due to a fiscal Q4 beat and strong guidance for fiscal Q1 at USD 78.00 billion ±2.00%, which increased activity from institutional and retail traders.

What is Meyka AI’s forecast for NVDA stock?

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects NVDA stock at USD 245.83 in 12 months, implying a 32.97% upside from USD 184.89 today. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

How expensive is NVDA stock on valuation metrics?

NVDA stock shows rich multiples: price-to-sales TTM 20.08, price-to-book TTM 27.51, and trailing PE 43.73, reflecting premium pricing for AI-driven growth but higher downside risk if growth slows.

Which news sources covered NVDA’s latest earnings?

Major coverage of NVDA’s results and guidance appeared on CNBC and market pages such as Investing.com.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
Meyka Newsletter
Get analyst ratings, AI forecasts, and market updates in your inbox every morning.
12% average open rate and growing
Trusted by 4,200+ active investors
Free forever. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

What brings you to Meyka?

Pick what interests you most and we will get you started.

I'm here to read news

Find more articles like this one

I'm here to research stocks

Ask our AI about any stock

I'm here to track my Portfolio

Get daily updates and alerts (coming March 2026)