NVDA stock $192.85 intraday ahead of Q4 earnings: data center growth to watch
NVDA stock trades at $192.85 intraday on NASDAQ in the United States as investors position ahead of NVIDIA Corporation’s Q4 earnings call scheduled for 25 Feb 2026 at 16:00 EST. Volume is elevated at 175,123,602.00 shares versus an average of 171,328,373.00. Street consensus shows heavy buy skew with 70 analysts in the Buy/Strong Buy camp. We focus on data center revenue, guidance, and margin detail that will move price and sentiment today.
Earnings snapshot and market setup: NVDA stock intraday context
NVIDIA (NVDA) opened at $191.49 and is trading between a day low of $187.40 and day high of $193.77. The company reports after market today, 25 Feb 2026 at 16:00 EST, which explains the intraday drift and tighter bid offer. Current market cap sits at $4,695,440,680,757.00 USD and year range is $86.62–$212.19. Traders are flagging data center guidance and gross margin detail as the main near-term drivers.
Pre-earnings commentary has lifted short-term volumes and volatility. Expect wider intraday swings when management discusses hyperscaler orders and supply dynamics.
What to watch in the Q4 report: NVDA stock and NVDA earnings detail
Consensus models expect strong top-line growth led by data center revenue. The official earnings announcement time is 25 Feb 2026 16:00 EST and EPS trailing twelve months is $4.04 with a PE of 47.74. Key items: data center revenue growth rate, guidance for Q1, and inventory or channel commentary.
Investors should parse gross margin and AI accelerator ASPs. A positive beat and raised guidance would likely push NVDA stock above intraday highs. Conservative guidance may prompt a rotation into peers across the semiconductors sector.
Valuation and financials: NVDA stock fundamentals
NVIDIA shows strong margins with gross margin around 70.05% and net margin near 53.01%. Price to sales is 25.06 and price to book is 39.60, reflecting premium growth expectations. Cash per share is $2.49 and free cash flow per share is $3.18.
The balance sheet is robust with debt to equity of 0.09 and current ratio 4.47, giving flexibility for R&D and capital returns. These metrics explain why NVDA stock trades at elevated multiples versus the broader Technology sector.
Technical and trading signals for NVDA stock
Intraday indicators point to positive momentum. RSI is 58.36, MACD histogram is 0.76, and BollingerBands middle band sits at $186.73. Average 50-day price is $184.80 and 200-day is $173.19, both below current price, supporting near-term technical work.
Volume today is roughly 175,123,602.00 versus average 171,328,373.00, a modest uptick that suggests measured positioning ahead of the print. Traders should watch the post-earnings gap and 50-day support for trade entries.
Meyka AI grade and forecast: NVDA stock rating and model outlook
Meyka AI rates NVDA with a score out of 100: the platform assigns a score of 82.60 / Grade A — Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12‑month price of $246.27, implying an upside of 27.72% versus the current price $192.85. Shorter and longer scenarios from the model include a monthly stress case at $161.16 and a three‑year target of $366.28. Forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees. See our NVDA page for live updates: Meyka NVDA page.
Risks, catalysts and sector context for NVDA stock
Primary catalysts: data center demand, hyperscaler capex updates, and enterprise AI adoption. Near-term risk: guidance shortfall or evidence of slowing hyperscaler spending. Geopolitical or supply constraints could also pressure shares.
Semiconductor sector breadth matters. If peers report weak results, group rotation can amplify NVDA stock moves. Conversely, broad strength in Technology and AI spending supports higher multiples.
Final Thoughts
NVDA stock is trading at $192.85 intraday on NASDAQ as the market positions ahead of a Q4 earnings release today at 16:00 EST. Key metrics to watch are data center revenue growth, gross margin, EPS versus the trailing EPS of $4.04, and guidance for the next quarter. Meyka AI’s model projects a 12‑month target of $246.27, implying 27.72% upside versus the current price. The company’s strong margins and cash flow justify premium multiples, but elevated valuation and guidance risk can trigger sharp re-pricing. For traders, watch the post‑earnings gap and 50‑day support near $184.80. For investors, weigh long‑term AI demand against near‑term guidance risk. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
FAQs
When does NVIDIA report Q4 results and how will it affect NVDA stock?
NVIDIA reports Q4 on 25 Feb 2026 at 16:00 EST. Expect volatility in NVDA stock around the call, with reaction driven by data center revenue, margins, and forward guidance.
What valuation metrics should investors watch for NVDA stock?
Watch PE of 47.74, price to sales 25.06, and free cash flow per share $3.18. These reflect premium expectations tied to AI and data center growth.
What is Meyka AI’s short-term and 12-month NVDA stock forecast?
Meyka AI’s model lists a monthly stress case at $161.16 and a 12‑month forecast of $246.27, implying around 27.72% upside from $192.85. These are projections, not guarantees.
What are the top risks that could hurt NVDA stock after earnings?
Top risks: weaker-than-expected guidance, slowing hyperscaler capex, margin compression, or supply chain disruptions. Any of these can prompt a rapid reassessment of NVDA stock multiples.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.