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Macy’s (M) NYSE pre-market Q4 earnings 18 Mar 2026, stock at $16.92: watch guidance

March 18, 2026
5 min read
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M stock hits the pre-market with $16.92 as Macy’s, Inc. (M) prepares to report Q4 results on 18 Mar 2026 at 08:30 ET. Investors will watch earnings per share, same-store sales, and guidance for signs the retailer can lift margins. Macy’s trades on the NYSE in the United States and shows a trailing PE near 9.96 and a dividend yield around 4.33%. Our earnings spotlight links the quarter’s data to valuation, technicals, and analyst targets to frame actionable insights for traders and longer-term holders.

M stock: Pre-market snapshot

Macy’s, Inc. (M) opened pre-market at $17.11 and sits at $16.92, down -0.99% on the day with 11,662,063 shares traded so far versus an average of 6,902,620. The company has a market cap near $4.50 billion and trades in USD on the NYSE in the United States. Daily range is $16.80–$17.59, year range $9.76–$24.41, and the 50/200-day averages are $20.74 and $17.54 respectively.

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M stock: What to expect from Q4 earnings

Macy’s reports Q4 on 18 Mar 2026 at 08:30 ET and investors should watch reported EPS, same-store sales, inventory trends, and forward guidance. Trailing EPS is $1.70 and current TTM PE is 9.96, which makes upside or downside sensitive to guidance changes. Analysts expect mixed results; review the latest commentary at MarketBeat for consensus notes and target revisions.

M stock: Financials and valuation

Macy’s shows attractive valuation metrics versus peers with P/S 0.20, P/B 1.05, and EV/EBITDA 5.77. The company reports free cash flow yield 23.97% and a dividend yield near 4.33%, with a payout ratio around 41.21%. Debt metrics show debt/equity 1.21 and interest coverage roughly 8.06, so liquidity appears adequate but leverage remains a material factor for valuation.

M stock: Technical setup and risk signals

Technicals show short-term weakness: RSI 28.59 signals oversold conditions while MACD -1.07 and a negative histogram point to downward momentum. Price sits below the 50-day average ($20.74) but near the 200-day mean ($17.54), creating a mixed trend. Investors should note elevated volatility: ATR 0.94 and Bollinger lower band at $16.46, which sets a nearby support reference.

M stock: Meyka AI grade and forecast

Meyka AI rates M with a score of 66.14 out of 100 (Grade: B, Suggestion: HOLD). This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, analyst consensus, and forecast models. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly $15.41, quarterly $21.96, and yearly $20.39. Compared with the current $16.92, the monthly view implies -8.92% and the yearly view implies +20.51%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For context on market commentary, see the MarketWatch roundup on M stock news at MarketWatch.

M stock: Strategy and price targets

Analyst targets range around $20.00 consensus with select firms at $21.00–$22.00; Goldman Sachs listed $22.00 and Evercore $21.00 in recent notes. A practical tactical framework: conservative traders may use a near-term support risk at $16.46 and a stop near the 52-week low $9.76, while longer-term investors can weigh a base case $20.00 price target and bull case $24.00 if margins and sales accelerate. Remember to size positions given department store sector cyclicality and inventory risk.

Final Thoughts

M stock arrives to the market with tradeable volatility ahead of Macy’s Q4 report on 18 Mar 2026 at 08:30 ET. Short-term technicals look weak but valuation metrics—PE ~9.96, P/S 0.20, and dividend yield ~4.33%—leave room for upside if guidance stabilizes. Meyka AI’s forecast model gives a mixed near-term signal (monthly $15.41, implied -8.92%) and a more constructive yearly outlook ($20.39, implied +20.51%) versus the current $16.92. Our grade (Meyka AI: 66.14/100, Grade B, Suggestion HOLD) reflects the balance of cheap valuation, leverage, and sector headwinds. Watch EPS, same-store sales, inventory days, and management guidance; positive surprises should lift sentiment toward the consensus $20.00 price target, while weak guidance would likely widen downside toward the low-teens. Use tight position sizing and clear stops given the stock’s recent volatility and retail sector sensitivity. Meyka AI is an AI-powered market analysis platform providing these model-based views; forecasts are projections and not guarantees.

FAQs

When will Macy’s report earnings and what matters most for M stock?

Macy’s reports Q4 on 18 Mar 2026 at 08:30 ET. Key drivers for M stock are EPS, same-store sales, inventory levels, and forward guidance on margins and capital allocation.

What are the main valuation metrics for M stock today?

M stock trades at PE 9.96, P/S 0.20, and P/B 1.05, with an EV/EBITDA of 5.77 and dividend yield near 4.33%, indicating value relative to some peers.

How does Meyka AI view Macy’s near term and one-year outlook?

Meyka AI projects monthly $15.41 (implied -8.92%) and yearly $20.39 (implied +20.51%) versus the current $16.92; forecasts are model-based and not guarantees.

Is M stock a buy after earnings?

Post-earnings action depends on guidance and inventory trends; our Meyka AI grade is B (HOLD). Positive guidance could justify buying toward a $20.00 target, while weak guidance increases downside risk.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
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