KGX.DE Kion Group (XETRA) -10.68% after earnings, 26 Feb 2026: guidance tested
KGX.DE stock slid 10.68% on 26 Feb 2026 after Kion Group AG reported a mixed quarter and issued a cautious 2026 outlook. The share price closed at €56.45 on XETRA with volume at 1,133,034 shares, well above the 50-day average of €64.89. Investors pushed the stock lower as management tempered guidance despite continued order intake growth in both operating segments. We review the earnings drivers, valuation, technical signals, and our model forecast to show where risk and opportunity sit for Kion Group AG
KGX.DE stock: Q4 results and market reaction
Kion Group released results tied to 26 Feb 2026 earnings and the market sold the stock hard. The company reported mixed quarter metrics and gave cautious guidance, and the shares fell €6.75 or 10.68%, with intraday range €55.75–€61.40. Management highlighted stronger order intake, but investors focused on the cautious 2026 outlook and near-term margin pressure. See the earnings coverage from Investing.com for company commentary Investing.com: KION earnings.
KGX.DE stock: Financials and valuation metrics
Kion trades at €56.45 with reported EPS of €2.08 and a P/E around 27.14 on the last quote. Market capitalisation stands at €7,401,993,323.00 and book value per share is €46.02, giving a price-to-book near 1.38. Key cash-flow metrics show free cash flow yield of 11.72% and EV/EBITDA about 7.71, which supports a valuation case despite stretched leverage. Interest coverage is weak at 1.16, and net debt to EBITDA is about 3.32, a material risk for cyclical conditions.
Meyka AI grade and KGX.DE stock forecast
Meyka AI rates KGX.DE with a score out of 100: 73.43, Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, analyst signals, and forecast consistency. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of €66.71, implying an upside of 18.17% versus the current €56.45. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For more company data, see the Meyka stock page Meyka KGX.DE.
KGX.DE stock: Technical picture and trading activity
The technical setup shows oversold momentum. RSI sits at 29.02, and MACD histogram is negative, signalling short-term selling pressure. Volume spiked to 1,133,034 shares, giving a relative volume of 5.09, which confirms distribution on the earnings drop. The 50-day average price is €64.89 and the 200-day average is €57.11, so the stock sits below the 50-day but around the 200-day, a key technical support area.
KGX.DE stock: Risks and opportunities
Risks include leverage and margin sensitivity. Debt-to-equity is 1.10, current ratio is 0.97, and interest coverage near 1.16 increases vulnerability to higher rates or weaker cash flow. Opportunities stem from automation demand and Dematic integration driving order intake. Kion’s free cash flow per share is €7.41, and dividend per share is €0.82, which can support income-focused investors if cash generation holds.
KGX.DE stock: analyst signals and realistic price targets
There is no consolidated price-target consensus published with this release, and internal ratings are mixed. A pragmatic target range is conservative €50.00, base €67.00, and bull €85.00. Versus the close at €56.45, those imply downside -11.43%, base upside 18.69%, and bull upside 50.57%. The company rating snapshot shows mixed metric scores, so monitor guidance updates and order intake trends before changing positioning. For market context, Germany equities closed higher today, which contrasts Kion’s sector-specific weakness Investing.com: Germany close.
Final Thoughts
KGX.DE stock moved sharply lower on 26 Feb 2026 after a mixed quarter and a cautious outlook, closing at €56.45 on XETRA. The pullback reflects real near-term risks: lower margins, elevated leverage, and weak interest coverage. At the same time, Kion shows strong free cash flow (€7.41 per share) and improving order intake in both segments, which supports recovery if guidance stabilises. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of €66.71, implying an 18.17% upside from today’s level, while our base price target is €67.00 with a bull case near €85.00. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Investors should weigh the balance of cyclical risk and cash-flow resilience, watch upcoming guidance updates, and track margins and net debt trends before increasing exposure to Kion Group AG
FAQs
What drove the KGX.DE stock decline on 26 Feb 2026?
KGX.DE stock fell 10.68% after Kion reported a mixed quarter and issued a cautious 2026 outlook. Investors reacted to guidance and margin risk despite stronger order intake. Elevated volume confirmed distribution on the drop
What is Meyka AI’s forecast for KGX.DE stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of €66.71 for KGX.DE stock, implying about 18.17% upside from €56.45. Forecasts are projections, not guarantees
Are Kion’s valuation metrics attractive for KGX.DE stock?
Valuation shows EV/EBITDA near 7.71 and price-to-book about 1.38, with free cash flow yield 11.72%. Those metrics look supportive, but leverage and low interest coverage raise caution
What should investors watch next for KGX.DE stock?
Monitor management guidance clarification, order intake trends, quarterly margin progression, and net debt to EBITDA. Any upward revision to guidance would likely restore investor confidence in the stock
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.