Keyence (6861.T) JPY 63,740 26 Feb 2026 Market Closed: Top gainer, watch JPY 68,610
We saw 6861.T stock close at JPY 63,740.00 on 26 Feb 2026 as a top gainer on the JPX, supported by 1,569,600.00 shares traded. The session closed with a day range of JPY 62,220.00–JPY 64,690.00 and a year high at JPY 68,610.00. Keyence’s PE stands at 39.89 and EPS at 1,683.18, highlighting premium valuation versus peers. As an AI-powered market analysis platform, Meyka AI tracks this momentum and the sector backdrop to explain drivers and near-term targets
Price action and volume drivers
Keyence (6861.T) rose to JPY 63,740.00 on strong turnover of 1,569,600.00 shares, a relative volume of 2.54 versus the average of 761,184.00. Elevated volume and a YTD gain of 17.44% point to fresh buying interest in the Technology sector. The intraday high of JPY 64,690.00 and proximity to the year high of JPY 68,610.00 suggest momentum traders are active
6861.T stock technicals and momentum
Technicals show overbought signals: RSI 75.49 and Stochastic %K 91.81. MACD histogram is positive with MACD 1501.37 and signal 428.90, indicating strong trend breadth. Short-term indicators support momentum but raise risk of a pullback to the 50-day average at JPY 57,417.00 if flows reverse
Valuation, fundamentals and sector context
Keyence’s trailing PE is 39.89 and price-to-sales is 14.56, reflecting a premium to the Technology sector average PE of 26.07. The company reports EPS 1,683.18, free cash flow yield 3.56%, and a net profit margin of 37.37%, which underpin the premium multiple. Technology sector trends in Japan show modest YTD gains, and Keyence’s stronger YTD performance suggests company-specific demand for factory automation tools
Meyka AI grade and analyst view
Meyka AI rates 6861.T with a score of 78.36 out of 100 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, analyst consensus and forecasts. The company’s high margins, zero net debt and strong cash per share support the grade, while valuation and inventory cycles temper the view
Price targets, forecast and scenarios
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly level of JPY 62,314.18, implying a -2.25% change versus the current JPY 63,740.00. The five-year forecast is JPY 63,700.15, roughly flat at -0.06%. Near-term technical target: JPY 68,610.00 (year high). Conservative downside: JPY 55,000.00 on multiple compression or weaker demand. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees
Risks and opportunities
Opportunities include continued factory automation demand in automotive and semiconductor sectors and upside from product mix improvements. Risks are high valuation (PE 39.89), lengthening cash conversion cycles (DSO 111.03 days), and potential cyclicality in capex for Keyence’s end markets. Watch earnings on 2026-04-24 and inventory trends for guidance
Final Thoughts
Keyence (6861.T) closed as a top gainer on 26 Feb 2026 at JPY 63,740.00, driven by heavy volume and strong technical momentum. Our analysis balances premium fundamentals—EPS 1,683.18, net margin 37.37%, cash per share 5,500.51—against a rich valuation with PE 39.89. Meyka AI rates 6861.T with a score of 78.36 out of 100 (B+, Suggestion: BUY), noting strong cash flow but limited near-term upside in the yearly forecast to JPY 62,314.18 (-2.25%). For active traders, a break above JPY 68,610.00 would signal extension; for investors, watch earnings on 2026-04-24 and sector capex signals. Read real-time updates and the stock page on Meyka for trade-ready alerts and model updates Keyence 6861.T on Meyka. For market context see Japan market data and ETF flows on Investing.com source and source. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees
FAQs
What drove the 6861.T stock gain on 26 Feb 2026?
Heavy volume of 1,569,600.00 shares and strong technical momentum drove the move. Buyers pushed price to JPY 63,740.00, near the year high, as demand for factory automation products picked up
How does Meyka AI rate 6861.T stock?
Meyka AI rates 6861.T with a score of 78.36 out of 100 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This score combines benchmark, sector, growth, key metrics, and forecast data
What are realistic price targets for 6861.T stock?
Near-term technical target is JPY 68,610.00 (year high). Meyka AI yearly forecast is JPY 62,314.18, implying -2.25% versus current price. Bull case exceeds JPY 68,000.00, bear case near JPY 55,000.00
What key risks should investors monitor for 6861.T stock?
Monitor valuation pressure from a PE of 39.89, inventory cycles, and demand shifts in automotive and semiconductor capex. Upcoming earnings on 2026-04-24 are a key catalyst
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.