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Jump to ¥159.00 for 3814.T Alphax Food System (JPX) on 25 Feb 2026: catalyst note

JP Stocks
5 mins read

3814.T stock jumped to ¥159.00 on 25 Feb 2026 on heavy volume of 1,281,800.00 shares, marking a single-session gain of 37.07%. We track the move on JPX and flag what shifted liquidity, how fundamentals stack up, and where short-term traders and longer-term investors may find risk or opportunity.

Trading snapshot for 3814.T stock

Today Alphax Food System Co., Ltd (3814.T) closed at ¥159.00, up ¥43.00 or 37.07%, with a session range ¥99.00–¥163.00 and volume 1,281,800.00 versus average 543,810.00. The surge pushed relative volume to 2.36 and lifted market cap to ¥624,669,501.00 on JPX in Japan. We note the 50-day average price is ¥256.72 and 200-day average is ¥316.33, which keeps the stock below recent trend bands.

Why volume spiked and key catalysts

We see the move driven by concentrated buying and a low float: shares outstanding total 3,928,739.00, which magnifies volume impact on price. There was no public earnings release today; the last earnings announcement was scheduled for 2025-08-08. Market participants cited renewed interest in Alphax’s robotics and automation products for food service and visible order wins in regional accounts.

Fundamentals and valuation of Alphax Food System (3814.T stock analysis)

Alphax shows trailing EPS 16.11 and a trailing PE of 9.87, below the Industrials sector average PE 18.67. Price-to-sales is 0.78 and price-to-book is 8.22, reflecting low sales valuation but thin equity on the balance sheet. Current ratio is 0.86 and debt-to-equity is 14.57, indicating tight liquidity and high leverage relative to peers. Net margin is 5.83%, and return on equity reads 62.25%, a sign of high profitability on small equity, not scale.

Meyka AI rates 3814.T with a score out of 100 and outlook

Meyka AI rates 3814.T with a score out of 100: 69.19 / 100 (Grade B, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Our model sees mixed signals: attractive EPS and low PE, but weak liquidity and high inventory days (184.03). We view this as a stock where catalysts can drive volatile moves but fundamentals require improvement for a BUY stance.

Technical, liquidity and trading implications for 3814.T stock

Technically the stock showed a high intraday range and an ATR of 32.00, reflecting elevated intraday volatility. On JPX the average volume is 543,810.00 versus today’s 1,281,800.00, so momentum traders should expect large bid-ask swings. With a year high of ¥415.00 and year low of ¥93.00, stop placement and position sizing are essential; we recommend smaller initial exposure for discretionary traders.

Sector context and short-term strategy for 3814.T trading

Alphax sits in Industrials / Conglomerates where the sector PE averages 18.67 and average volume 514,262.00. We view 3814.T as a high-volatility Industrials micro-cap: short-term trades can exploit momentum on JPX, while longer-term investors should wait for improved current ratio and reduced inventory days. For active traders we suggest watching daily volume confirmation and limiting trade size given shares outstanding 3,928,739.00.

Final Thoughts

Key takeaways: 3814.T stock rallied to ¥159.00 on 25 Feb 2026 on a volume surge of 1,281,800.00, driven by concentrated buying in a low-float name. Fundamentals are mixed: EPS 16.11 and PE 9.87 look attractive, but liquidity (current ratio 0.86) and inventory days (184.03) are concerns. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a one-year target of ¥118.77, implying a downside of -25.34% versus the current close ¥159.00; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For traders we emphasise strict risk control; for investors we recommend monitoring earnings, cash conversion improvement, and order-book confirmations before increasing exposure. Meyka AI provided this analysis as part of our AI-powered market analysis platform and we continue to watch 3814.T for follow-up moves.

FAQs

Why did 3814.T stock spike today?

The spike was driven by heavy buying into a low-float stock. Volume reached 1,281,800.00 versus average 543,810.00, amplifying price moves to ¥159.00. No new public earnings release was recorded today.

How does Alphax’s valuation compare to peers?

Alphax trades at PE 9.87, below Industrials average PE 18.67. Price-to-sales is 0.78, but price-to-book is high at 8.22, reflecting low equity and small scale relative to peers.

What is Meyka AI’s forecast for 3814.T stock?

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects ¥118.77 over the next year. That implies a downside of -25.34% from the current close ¥159.00. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Should I trade 3814.T after this move?

Trading is feasible but risky. Use strict position sizing and confirm volume on follow-through days. High ATR 32.00 and thin free float mean large swings; prefer smaller positions and defined stops.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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