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IOC.NS Indian Oil (NSE) INR 167.58 04 Feb 2026: earnings preview INR 195 target

February 4, 2026
5 min read
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IOC.NS stock closed at INR 167.58 on 04 Feb 2026, up 1.80% as traders position ahead of earnings due 05 Feb 2026. The market is focused on refining margins, crude sourcing and a potential joint venture with Vitol that has hit terms issues. Expect the report to drive near-term volatility and set the tone for analyst price targets and dividend outlook.

IOC.NS stock: earnings catalyst and timing

Indian Oil Corporation reports results on 05 Feb 2026. Investors watch margins and inventory accounting. The stock opened at INR 168.50 and traded between INR 164.40 and INR 168.69 on 04 Feb 2026.

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Recent headlines show joint venture talks with Vitol hit a snag. That negotiation could change IOC’s import mix and near-term crude costs source. Expect guidance on imports and spot purchase strategy to matter more than one-off items.

Valuation and financials for IOC.NS stock

IOC.NS trades at PE 9.28 with EPS 18.05 and market cap INR 2,366,430,696,000.00. The company pays dividend per share INR 8.00, giving a dividend yield 4.77%.

Balance-sheet metrics show debt/equity 0.74 and current ratio 0.70. Price to book is 1.17 and price-to-sales 0.31. Recent FY growth was negative for net income, so base effects matter when comparing valuations to peers.

Technical and trading picture for IOC.NS stock

Momentum is neutral. RSI is 49.80 and MACD histogram is small positive. Price sits above the 50-day avg INR 162.08 and above the 200-day avg INR 151.97, supporting the near-term trend.

Volume on 04 Feb 2026 was 14,585,846 versus avg 12,030,452, a 1.21x relative volume. Key technical resistance is INR 174.50 (year high) and support is near INR 164.40 and the 50-day average.

Sector context and recent IOC.NS stock news drivers

IOC operates in India’s Energy sector where the average PE is 20.36. IOC’s valuation is below the sector average, reflecting steady cash flow but cyclical margin risk.

Geopolitics and crude sourcing matter. Russia-India flows and OPEC share shifts have changed import economics source. Watch refinery margins and policy on fuel pricing after earnings.

Meyka AI grade and forecast for IOC.NS stock

Meyka AI rates IOC.NS with a score out of 100. Meyka AI gives a score 77.35, Grade B+ and suggestion BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects INR 183.67 for one year, implying +9.60% from the current INR 167.58. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For more live data visit our Meyka stock page IOC.NS.

Risks and opportunities for IOC.NS stock

Key risks: crude price swings, the Vitol JV terms uncertainty, and working capital strain. Net debt to EBITDA is 2.65, and FY net income showed declines.

Opportunities: a 4.77% yield, strong retail fuel network, pipeline scale, and potential margin recovery. Management commentary at earnings will define whether the stock leans toward the upside targets or consolidates near current levels.

Final Thoughts

Key takeaway: IOC.NS stock trades at INR 167.58 on 04 Feb 2026 with earnings due 05 Feb 2026. The shares are attractively valued versus the sector on PE 9.28 and offer a dividend yield of 4.77%. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects INR 183.67 over the next year, implying +9.60% upside from today. We see a practical price range: a conservative near-term target INR 175.00 (+4.43%) and a bullish 12-month target INR 195.00 (+16.36%). Those targets reflect margin recovery, possible JV clarity, and steady retail fuel demand. Remember, these are model-based views. These grades and projections are not guaranteed and we are not financial advisors. Use the earnings release and management commentary to update assumptions before making a decision.

FAQs

When will IOC.NS report earnings and why does it matter

IOC.NS earnings are scheduled for 05 Feb 2026. The report will update refining margins, inventory charges and crude import strategy. These items directly affect near-term profits and the stock’s guidance for the year.

What valuation metrics should investors watch for IOC.NS stock

Watch PE 9.28, EPS 18.05, price-to-book 1.17, and dividend yield 4.77%. These show cheaper valuation versus the Energy sector and highlight income potential against cyclicality risks.

How does recent news affect IOC.NS stock outlook

Talks with Vitol and shifts in India’s crude mix can change IOC’s cost base and margins. Traders should monitor JV progress and Russia-India import changes for margin direction.

What is Meyka AI’s forecast and grade for IOC.NS stock

Meyka AI’s forecast projects INR 183.67 (implied +9.60%) and assigns a B+ (77.35) BUY grade. Forecasts and grades are model outputs and not guarantees.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
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