Fuji Kosan (5009.T, JPX) closes JPY 1,354.00 on 23 Feb 2026: model sees 27.28% upside
Fuji Kosan (5009.T stock) closed at JPY 1,354.00 on 23 Feb 2026 after a JPY 9.00 rise, marking it among today’s top gainers on the JPX in Japan. Trading volume was 16,500.00 shares, above the 50-day average. Investors focused on strong cash generation, a PE of 12.44, and a high dividend yield that supported the move. We examine the drivers, technicals, Meyka AI valuation grade, and price forecasts to explain why 5009.T stock led gains and what to watch next.
5009.T stock market close summary
Fuji Kosan (5009.T) finished the session at JPY 1,354.00, up 0.67% (change JPY 9.00) on 23 Feb 2026. Day range was JPY 1,345.00 to JPY 1,360.00. Volume was 16,500.00, above the average volume of 13,334.00, signaling stronger intraday interest.
Year-to-date performance shows modest weakness versus the prior year high of JPY 1,503.00 and a 52-week low of JPY 1,134.00. The stock trades on the JPX in Japan and carries a market cap of JPY 8,925,586,956.00.
Fundamentals driving the move: earnings and valuation
Company fundamentals support today’s gain: trailing EPS is JPY 108.86 and the trailing PE ratio is 12.44, below the Energy sector average PE of 16.86, implying relative valuation appeal. Book value per share stands at JPY 1,421.27 and price-to-book is 0.95, suggesting the market values Fuji Kosan at a modest discount to net assets.
Cash and dividend metrics matter here. Cash per share is JPY 861.95 and dividend per share is JPY 89.00, giving a dividend yield near 6.57%, which remains attractive for income-focused investors in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry.
Technical picture and liquidity: why traders pushed the stock up
Short-term technicals show momentum: RSI is 75.95, flagged as overbought, while MACD histogram at 1.39 supports upward momentum. ADX at 41.67 indicates a strong trend. The 50-day average price is JPY 1,281.84 and 200-day average is JPY 1,326.18, placing the current price above both moving averages and supporting the bullish intraday bias.
Liquidity remains reasonable for the company size: shares outstanding are 6,592,014.00 with average volume 13,334.00. Relative volume (1.24) shows more active trading than usual today.
Meyka AI rating and valuation assessment for 5009.T stock
Meyka AI rates 5009.T with a score out of 100: 77.87 (Grade B+, Suggestion: BUY). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.
Key valuation metrics behind the grade: price-to-sales 0.13, EV/EBITDA 2.39, free cash flow yield 10.50%, and a conservative debt-to-equity 0.22. These figures underpin a value-oriented view while noting the company’s sensitivity to fuel margins and commodity cycles.
Meyka AI’s forecast and price target range for 5009.T stock
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month target of JPY 1,723.31, a three-year target of JPY 1,937.12, and a five-year target of JPY 2,147.87. The one-year projection implies an upside of 27.28% from the current JPY 1,354.00. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
For practical trading, we present a conservative target range of JPY 1,500.00 to JPY 1,800.00 reflecting near-term sector volatility and a longer-term model path. Risk-adjusted targets should account for fuel price swings and road-paving demand in Japan.
Sector context and risks affecting 5009.T stock outlook
Fuji Kosan operates in the Energy sector, specifically Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing, where average sector PE is 16.86 and net margins average 6.16%. The sector’s YTD performance is strong, up 17.62%, which supports stocks like Fuji Kosan but also increases sensitivity to macro shifts.
Key risks include crude price volatility, domestic fuel demand, regulatory changes on vehicle emissions, and competition in asphalt and lubricants. Positive offsets include stable cash flow, a high dividend yield, and growth in non-fuel businesses such as solar generation systems.
Final Thoughts
Today’s top-gainer move for Fuji Kosan (5009.T stock) to JPY 1,354.00 reflects a mix of value-driven fundamentals and short-term momentum. The company posts solid cash metrics—EPS JPY 108.86, PE 12.44—and a 6.57% dividend yield that supports investor interest. Meyka AI rates the stock 77.87/100 (B+, BUY) and its baseline model projects JPY 1,723.31, an implied upside of 27.28% versus the current price. We highlight a conservative price target band of JPY 1,500.00–1,800.00 to balance model upside and sector volatility. Traders should watch RSI overbought levels and fuel-margin indicators, while longer-term investors should monitor refining margins and domestic infrastructure demand. This move may signal a sustained re-rating if earnings trends and cash flow remain steady; monitor upcoming earnings and sector cues closely. Meyka AI provides this as an AI-powered market analysis platform insight, not investment advice.
FAQs
What drove the price rise in 5009.T stock today?
The rise was driven by above-average volume (16,500.00), attractive valuation (PE 12.44), strong cash metrics, and a 6.57% dividend yield that appealed to income and value buyers.
What is Meyka AI’s price forecast for 5009.T stock?
Meyka AI’s model projects JPY 1,723.31 for 5009.T stock over 12 months, implying 27.28% upside from JPY 1,354.00. Forecasts are model-based and not guarantees.
How does Fuji Kosan compare to its Energy peers for 5009.T stock?
5009.T stock trades below the Energy sector PE (12.44 vs 16.86). Price-to-book near 0.95 and EV/EBITDA 2.39 suggest relative value versus peers.
What risks should investors watch for 5009.T stock?
Key risks for 5009.T stock include crude price swings, domestic fuel demand shifts, regulation on emissions, and asphalt market softness. Monitor earnings and refining margins.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.