Forvia SE (FRVIA.PA, EURONEXT) warns 2026 sales decline 24 Feb 2026: watch earnings for guidance
FRVIA.PA stock trades at €13.43 intraday, down 2.89%, after Forvia signalled a sales decline for 2026 ahead of its earnings release. Investors are watching the company’s Q4 numbers and management guidance at the 16:30 CET announcement to see if margins and cash flow can offset weaker top-line momentum. Volume is elevated at 470484.00 shares versus an average of 611921.00, suggesting active repositioning ahead of the call.
FRVIA.PA stock: earnings preview
Forvia SE (FRVIA.PA) reports results on 24 Feb 2026 at 16:30 CET, with analysts focused on revenue mix and margin recovery. The company flagged a 2026 sales decline in a Reuters note this morning, citing market pressures and model mix shifts source. We expect questions on clean mobility and electronics segment margins, which will determine whether free cash flow of €6.90 per share remains resilient.
Q4 results snapshot and market reaction
Market pricing already reflects caution: FRVIA.PA opened intraday at €12.61 and hit a session high of €13.66. The stock’s year high is €15.03 and year low is €5.23, signalling wide cyclical volatility. Negative EPS of -2.33 and a trailing PE of -5.46 underline recent earnings pressure and the market’s sensitivity to guidance shifts.
Financials, valuation and sector context
Forvia’s balance shows strong cash per share at €22.29 and book value per share of €27.50, while debt metrics remain heavy with debt to equity at 2.95. Price-to-sales is low at 0.12, and price-to-book sits at 0.68, which compresses valuation versus consumer cyclical peers. The auto-parts sector in Europe is trading at higher average PS ratios, so the market will weigh Forvia’s margin outlook against sector trends and trade tensions source.
Meyka AI rates FRVIA.PA with a score out of 100
Meyka AI rates FRVIA.PA with a score out of 100: 61.21 | Grade: B | Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The grade highlights solid cash generation but elevated leverage. These grades are not guarantees and we are not financial advisors.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects near-term price paths
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a quarterly target of €16.65 and a yearly figure of €10.13. Versus the current price of €13.43, the quarterly projection implies an upside of 24.00%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Investors should weigh these projections with management guidance and macro risks.
Technicals, trading flow and catalysts
Technically, momentum is weak: RSI 33.20 and MACD histogram -0.18 point to near-term downside pressure, while ADX 27.88 shows a strong trend. On-balance volume sits at 6869847.00, with relative volume at 2.13, indicating heavier selling or rebalancing. Key catalysts post-earnings include margin commentary, 2026 guidance clarity, and OEM order trends.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways for FRVIA.PA stock: Forvia enters its 24 Feb 2026 earnings with a market price of €13.43 and elevated volume at 470484.00 shares as investors price in a sales decline for 2026. Financials show robust cash per share €22.29 and low price-to-sales 0.12, but high leverage with debt-to-equity 2.95 raises execution risk. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a quarterly target of €16.65, implying a 24.00% upside versus the current price. That projection depends on clearer margin recovery and stable OEM demand. Use the earnings release as a decision point: if management outlines a credible path to margin expansion and debt reduction, the stock can re-rate toward the quarterly target; if not, downside to the yearly modelled level €10.13 becomes more likely. This analysis is data-driven and informational only. For further live updates, see the Meyka AI stock page for FRVIA.PA internal link and the Reuters coverage of today’s guidance source.
FAQs
When does Forvia report earnings and why does it matter for FRVIA.PA stock?
Forvia reports on 24 Feb 2026 at 16:30 CET. The earnings call matters because management will update 2026 sales and margin guidance, which are the main drivers for FRVIA.PA stock direction in the near term.
What is Meyka AI’s near-term forecast for FRVIA.PA stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a quarterly target of €16.65 and a yearly level of €10.13. The quarterly target implies about 24.00% upside from the current €13.43. Forecasts are model-based and not guarantees.
What financial metrics should investors watch in the report for FRVIA.PA stock?
Watch revenue by segment, adjusted EBITDA margin, free cash flow per share (currently €6.90), and net debt trends. Given debt-to-equity of 2.95, progress on leverage matters for FRVIA.PA stock valuation.
How does sector context affect FRVIA.PA stock outlook?
The auto-parts sector faces demand cyclicality and trade uncertainty. Forvia’s low PS ratio and strong cash buffer can help, but sector pressures and OEM order patterns will heavily influence FRVIA.PA stock performance.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.