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Global Market Insights

February 28: Gold Near 1‑Month High as US‑Iran Tensions Lift Haven Bid

March 1, 2026
5 min read
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Gold price today is hovering near a one-month high as investors seek safety on rising US-Iran tensions. Softer U.S. Treasury yields are lowering the opportunity cost of holding bullion, while stronger January imports in China add demand support. For German investors, euro moves and Bund yields matter as much as geopolitics. We explain what is driving the move, what to watch into June for potential Fed cuts, and how to position portfolios in Germany with clear, practical steps.

Why Gold Is Back in Focus

Gold price today benefits from stronger safe haven demand as US-Iran tensions show few signs of easing. Headlines around stalled nuclear talks and regional flashpoints keep weekend risk top of mind, steering flows into bullion. The market also eyes a remarkable run toward a seventh straight monthly gain, reinforcing trend support. See reporting on the latest drivers here: CNBC and Forbes.

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When U.S. 10-year Treasury yields slip, non-yielding assets look more attractive. That dynamic is helping gold price today hold near recent highs. The same logic applies in Europe: if Bund yields soften, it supports demand from euro-based buyers. Markets are also pricing the path of policy into mid-year, keeping dips shallow. Background on yields and momentum: CNBC.

What Matters for German Investors

Spot is quoted in USD, so EUR/USD is critical for German buyers. A stronger euro can cushion a dollar-based spike in the gold price today, while a weaker euro amplifies moves. Watch relative rate expectations between the Fed and ECB, plus energy prices that influence Europe’s inflation path. These factors filter into Treasury yields, Bund yields, and the currency, shaping local outcomes.

German investors can consider physically backed ETCs like Xetra-Gold or buy coins and bars from reputable local dealers. Compare total costs: custody, spreads, and product fees. Storage and insurance matter for physical holdings, while ETCs trade like shares during Xetra hours. Tax treatment differs between physical and securities products in Germany, so confirm details with a qualified advisor before allocating.

What Could Move Prices Next

Markets are weighing the odds of a first Fed cut by June. Softer inflation or jobs data could pull Treasury yields lower, which would likely support the gold price today. Conversely, upside surprises could lift yields and the dollar, pressuring bullion. Keep an eye on Fed speeches, U.S. CPI and payrolls, and the ECB’s tone for cross-currents.

China’s stronger January imports have added a cushion for prices, while seasonal buying in India can lend support in early spring. If import controls loosen or premiums rise, it can tighten global supply. For German portfolios, these physical signals complement macro drivers, helping validate breakouts or warn of pullbacks in the gold price today.

Final Thoughts

Gold sits near a one-month high as US-Iran tensions boost safe haven demand and softer Treasury yields support a seventh monthly rise. For German investors, the euro’s direction, Bund yields, and policy signals from the Fed and ECB are key swing factors behind the gold price today. A practical approach is to size positions modestly, consider staggered entries, and review whether a euro-hedged or unhedged exposure fits your view on EUR/USD. Compare total costs across ETCs and physical options, including storage and spreads. Track a simple dashboard: Middle East headlines, U.S. CPI and payrolls, ECB communications, EUR/USD, and 10-year yields. With that checklist, you can respond quickly to dips or breakouts while keeping portfolio risk in check.

FAQs

Why is the gold price today near a one-month high?

Two forces are in play. US-Iran tensions are lifting safe haven demand, pushing investors toward bullion. At the same time, softer U.S. Treasury yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Supportive physical demand, including stronger January imports in China, adds another tailwind. Together, these drivers have kept dips shallow and momentum firm.

How do U.S. Treasury yields affect the gold price today?

Gold does not pay interest, so when Treasury yields fall, the relative appeal of holding gold rises. Lower yields also tend to weigh on the U.S. dollar, which can further support bullion. If yields climb on stronger data or a hawkish Fed shift, gold can face pressure as income alternatives become more attractive.

What is a practical way to gain gold exposure in Germany?

Two common paths are physically backed ETCs traded on Xetra and buying coins or bars from reputable dealers. Compare total cost of ownership, including product fees, spreads, and storage or insurance. Decide whether you want a euro-hedged exposure. For taxes and suitability, confirm details with a licensed advisor before allocating capital.

What risks could push gold lower in the short term?

De-escalation in the Middle East could reduce safe haven demand. A hawkish repricing of the Fed path, stronger U.S. data, or a broad dollar rally could lift Treasury yields and weigh on prices. Sharp profit-taking after a strong run or tighter financial conditions in China could also pressure the market.

Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes.  Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
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