RaiPlay airs “Punti di vista” on February 28 at 07:45 CET, focusing on how conflicts, tariffs, and US‑Iran tensions could reshape Europe. For Swiss investors, this matters now. Europe trade tensions can sway export earnings, the franc, and energy costs. Ukraine war impact still drives policy and prices. US‑Iran tensions can trigger oil moves and risk-off flows. We break down what to monitor from the RaiPlay coverage and how to position watchlists in CHF terms without chasing headlines.

What the RaiPlay program means for markets today

The show frames policy shocks that can move European risk assets in real time. For Switzerland, the implications cut across the franc, export margins, and rate expectations. Headlines on tariffs or conflict can lift volatility before cash markets open. Use the RaiPlay segment to align your watchlist and alerts with potential moves in energy, defense, and trade‑sensitive names, plus EUR/CHF and rate proxies.

Focus on tariffs, Ukraine war impact, and US‑Iran tensions. Each theme links to pricing power, input costs, and capital flows. Tariffs can hit supply chains and sentiment. War risks keep energy prices and defense budgets in play. US‑Iran tensions can shock oil and shipping. The RAI schedule confirms today’s focus and timing source.

Tariffs and Europe trade tensions: Swiss exposure

Switzerland’s exporters rely on Europe for demand and parts. New tariffs can raise costs or slow orders, testing pricing power. A strong franc can add another drag. Watch watchmakers, machinery, specialty chemicals, and pharma for guidance on orders, inventories, and pass‑through. Track supplier updates and any talk of near‑shoring or dual sourcing to reduce reliance on single corridors.

Scan tariff headlines from Brussels and Washington, and read company statements on routing, inventory buffers, and customer pricing. Follow Swiss government briefings on bilateral talks with the EU. Note SNB communication on currency strength if trade tensions tighten financial conditions. Set alerts for customs changes, retaliatory lists, and sector exemptions that can soften or amplify effects on margins and cash flow.

War risks: Ukraine war impact and US-Iran tensions

Conflict risk can push oil and gas higher, even without supply loss. Europe would face cost pressure first. Swiss CPI tends to stay lower than peers, but energy spikes still filter into transport, logistics, and heating. Watch refinery maintenance windows, LNG arrivals, and shipping lanes. If prices jump, reassess earnings sensitivity for transport, chemicals, and consumer staples exposed to packaging and freight.

European defense budgets have been rising, supporting order books at suppliers. Swiss firms tied into European platforms, sensors, or materials could benefit. Cybersecurity demand also increases with hybrid threats. For insurers and reinsurers, monitor war exclusions, pricing, and exposure to marine or aviation lines. Review risk disclosures in annual reports and look for backlog growth versus execution risk and delivery bottlenecks.

Trading and risk management for CHF-based portfolios

The franc often strengthens in risk-off phases. That can cushion CHF portfolios but pressure exporters’ earnings. Watch EUR/CHF, cross‑currency basis, and SNB signals. For rates, reassess duration if growth shocks hit. Keep scenario trees that pair FX paths with margin outcomes. Align position sizes with liquidity and avoid concentration in a single policy outcome.

Before the program, map two to three scenarios: tariff escalation, stable status quo, and de‑escalation. For each, define sector winners and laggards, target weights, and exit rules. Use ETFs for broad tilts, keep some cash for volatility spikes, and stagger entries. Set alerts on energy benchmarks. Use the RaiPlay window to refine triggers, not to chase price gaps.

Final Thoughts

RaiPlay’s February 28 spotlight on conflicts, tariffs, and US‑Iran tensions arrives at a sensitive time for Europe and for CHF‑based portfolios. We suggest a practical checklist. First, set alerts for tariff headlines, customs updates, and any retaliation hints. Second, monitor oil, gas, and freight for signs that Ukraine war impact or Middle East risks are raising costs. Third, track EUR/CHF and SNB commentary for signs of tightening financial conditions. Finally, review sector exposures: export‑reliant industries for pricing power, energy users for cost sensitivity, defense and cyber for backlog quality, and insurers for war‑related exclusions. Use the broadcast to refine scenarios and orders, then execute with clear risk limits and a disciplined plan. For RaiPlay access details and on‑demand examples, see this platform reference source.

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Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes.  Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.