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Down 17.29% to €4.88: TCM1.F The Siam Cement (XETRA) 05 Mar 2026: check outlook

March 5, 2026
4 min read
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TCM1.F stock plunged 17.29% intraday to €4.88 on XETRA on 05 Mar 2026 after a gap from €5.90 yesterday. The move left volume light at 190 shares versus a 30-day average of 307, suggesting thin intraday liquidity. We outline why the drop matters, how valuation and technicals stack up, and what traders should watch next.

TCM1.F stock: Intraday price action

The main fact today is the sharp intraday decline to a day low of €4.88 with a day high of €4.98 and an open at €4.98. This equals a one-day change of -€1.02 or -17.29% versus the prior close of €5.90. Trading volume is low at 190 shares, giving a relative volume of 0.28, which raises execution risk for large orders.

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Fundamentals and valuation for TCM1.F stock

The Siam Cement (TCM1.F) shows EPS €0.39 and a market multiple at PE 12.95 on XETRA. Market capitalisation stands near €6,060,000,000 with 1,200,000,000 shares outstanding. Price to book sits near 0.66, and dividend yield is about 2.60%. These figures point to value metrics, but margins and growth weakened in FY2024.

Technical analysis and key levels

Momentum indicators are tilted bearish with RSI 35.55 and MACD histogram at -0.08. ADX reads 41.02, signalling a strong trend. The 50-day average is €5.56 and the 200-day average is €5.22. Immediate support sits near the year low €3.32; near-term resistance aligns with the 50-day at €5.56 and Bollinger middle band at €5.85.

Meyka AI grade and forecast for TCM1.F stock

Meyka AI rates TCM1.F with a score out of 100: 64.59 (Grade B, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of €5.89, implying a model-based upside of 20.69% from the current €4.88. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Risks and sector context for TCM1.F stock

TCM1.F trades in Basic Materials and Chemicals – Specialty, where the sector 1-day move is +0.60%, so this stock underperformed today. Key risks include high leverage metrics—debt to equity around 1.02 and negative interest coverage. FY2024 showed falling net income and EPS contraction, increasing earnings risk ahead of the next results on 29 Apr 2026. Geopolitical or commodity swings would amplify volatility.

Trading outlook, price targets and strategy

Short-term traders should respect low liquidity and aim for tight risk control. We mark a conservative short-term support target at €4.50. Medium-term price target matches the Meyka yearly forecast at €5.89. A three-year projection sits near €7.08. For traders, consider stop-loss near €4.40 and use size limits to manage market impact. See company profile on SCG and data reference on FinancialModelingPrep. For live market tools, visit our Meyka stock page: https://meyka.ai/stocks/TCM1.F

Final Thoughts

TCM1.F stock’s intraday fall to €4.88 on XETRA highlights a fast technical unwind amid weak liquidity. Fundamentals show a modest PE of 12.95, EPS €0.39, and a market cap near €6.06 billion, which support a value case but also reflect FY2024 profit contraction. Technicals warn of continued downside risk while the ADX at 41.02 confirms a strong trend. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of €5.89, implying ~20.69% upside versus today. Traders should weigh the B (HOLD) grade, the company’s leverage, and the upcoming earnings on 29 Apr 2026 before adding exposure. Short-term support is €4.50 and a breach could open testing toward the year low €3.32. This intraday drop creates a defined risk-reward window for measured buyers, but we stress forecasts are model outputs and not guarantees.

FAQs

Why did TCM1.F stock drop sharply today?

The intraday drop to €4.88 reflects fast selling on low volume, weak FY2024 earnings growth, and negative technical momentum. Low liquidity amplified the move and the stock underperformed the Basic Materials sector’s small positive daily return.

What are realistic price targets for TCM1.F stock?

Short-term support is near €4.50. Meyka AI’s yearly forecast places a medium-term target at €5.89 and a three-year projection at €7.08. These are model projections and not guaranteed outcomes.

Is TCM1.F stock a buy after the drop?

Meyka AI issues a Grade B (HOLD). Valuation appears reasonable, but negative earnings growth and leverage raise risk. Consider size limits, a stop-loss near €4.40, and wait for earnings clarity on 29 Apr 2026.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
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