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DIS (The Walt Disney Company NYSE) Q1 beats, shares dip to $105.39 02 Feb 2026: Park strength vs streaming

February 2, 2026
5 min read
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DIS stock fell -5.55% intraday to $105.39 on 02 Feb 2026 after fiscal Q1 results that beat expectations but raised short-term questions on margins. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.63 versus $1.57 expected and revenue was $25.98 billion versus $25.74 billion expected. The headline shows growth driven by Experiences, while streaming and sports timing created investor caution. We examine the numbers, valuation, technicals and what analysts and Meyka AI see next.

Earnings snapshot: DIS stock Q1 results

Disney reported adjusted EPS of $1.63 and revenue of $25.98 billion for the quarter ended Dec. 27. Net income was $2.48 billion, or $1.34 per share on a GAAP basis, down from prior-year GAAP figures. The results beat consensus by $0.06 in EPS and $0.24 billion in revenue, according to LSEG and the company call. CNBC provides the full release and management commentary.

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Drivers and risks: parks outperformed while streaming and sports lag

The Experiences segment produced record quarterly revenue above $10.00 billion, with domestic parks at $6.91 billion and international parks at $1.75 billion, both up 7.00% year over year. Experiences drove $3.31 billion of operating profit, roughly three times entertainment’s profit during the quarter.

Streaming revenue reached $5.35 billion, up 11.00%, yet the sports segment saw operating income fall to $191.00 million amid higher rights costs and distribution hiccups. Management flagged international visitation headwinds and preopening costs for Disneyland Paris and a new cruise line as near-term drag.

Valuation and fundamentals for DIS stock

At $105.39, Disney trades at a trailing PE of 16.47 with EPS (TTM) $6.85 and market cap about $201.40 billion. Key ratios show price/book 1.85, price/sales 2.13, and free cash flow yield near 5.01%. Debt to equity sits around 0.41, and the company reported a dividend per share of $1.25. These metrics point to a balanced valuation versus large-cap entertainment peers.

Technical and intraday trading picture for DIS stock

Intraday price traded between $103.76 (low) and $111.49 (high) on volume 24,178,867, about 2.20x the average daily volume of 10,981,652. RSI near 61.96 and an ADX of 26.53 signal a firm trend, while Bollinger Bands center at $112.94. Short-term traders should watch the $109.93–$115.95 band and the 50-day average at $110.04 for support and resistance.

Meyka grade and DIS stock forecast

Meyka AI rates DIS with a score out of 100: 73.38 | Grade: B+ | Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly price of $117.11, a quarterly price of $115.65, and a 12-month price of $125.43. Versus the current $105.39, that implies an upside of +11.13% (monthly) and +19.03% (12-month). Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. These grades are not guaranteed and we are not financial advisors.

Analyst consensus and corporate outlook

Street coverage shows 16 Buys and 3 Holds, with no sells in the current mix. Disney said it remains on track for a $7.00 billion repurchase plan and expects double-digit adjusted EPS growth and $19.00 billion in cash from operations for fiscal 2026. Succession discussions and network rights timing add governance and margin uncertainty near term. MarketWatch tracks ongoing market reaction.

Final Thoughts

DIS stock showed a mixed day on 02 Feb 2026 after fiscal Q1 results beat estimates but left investors weighing high-margin streaming and sports pressures against strong parks profits. The company reported adjusted EPS $1.63 and revenue $25.98 billion, while Experiences produced a rare profit advantage. Valuation metrics remain reasonable with a trailing PE near 16.47 and free cash flow yield around 5.01%. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12-month price of $125.43, implying about +19.03% upside versus the current $105.39. That projection mixes growth from parks and theatrical momentum against near-term rights and international visitation risks. For traders, watch intraday support near $109.93 and the 50-day average $110.04. For longer-term investors, the buyback plan, cash flow strength, and analyst buy tilt argue for visibility, while CEO succession and sports rights timing remain clear watchpoints. Meyka AI offers this data as an AI-powered market analysis platform; forecasts and grades are model-based and not guarantees.

FAQs

Why did DIS stock drop after the earnings beat?

Shares fell after the beat because investors focused on streamed margins, sports rights costs, and preopening costs for parks. The mix of strong parks profits and margin headwinds created short-term uncertainty.

What is Meyka AI’s 12-month DIS stock forecast?

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects $125.43 for DIS stock in 12 months, an implied upside of about 19.03% versus the current $105.39. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Is DIS stock cheap based on valuation?

Disney trades at a trailing PE of 16.47 with price/book around 1.85 and free cash flow yield near 5.01%, which looks reasonable versus large-cap media peers but depends on streaming margin progress.

What near-term catalysts could move DIS stock?

Key catalysts include streaming margin updates, ESPN streaming launch traction, international parks visitation, updates on CEO succession, and the company’s progress on the $7.00 billion buyback.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
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