CO.PA Casino (EURONEXT) earnings preview 25 Feb 2026: debt and cash will set the tone

The CO.PA stock is heading into an earnings window with a sharp capital-structure focus after years of balance-sheet pressure. Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. (CO.PA) trades at EUR 0.236 on EURONEXT as of market close, and investors will watch margins, cash flow and debt metrics in tomorrow’s release. With shares outstanding 400,316,762 and market cap EUR 94.47m, the report can trigger volatile moves given thin retail confidence and a high net-debt profile.

Earnings setup and calendar for CO.PA stock

Casino reports after-market on 26 Feb 2026 and the market has priced a cautious outlook into CO.PA stock. Consensus is thin and company EPS sits at -5.93, with a trailing PE of -0.04, so headlines on net income or restructuring will drive reactions. Check the company release for guidance on store disposals and working capital changes, two items that historically move valuation more than same-store sales.

Price action and liquidity metrics

CO.PA stock closed at EUR 0.236, down 1.01% on the session with volume 1,703,402, above its 50-day average volume 1,258,316. The 50-day price average is EUR 0.24 and the 200-day average is EUR 0.40, highlighting long-term pressure. Intraday range was EUR 0.23–0.24, and the stock sits near the 52-week low EUR 0.22, leaving asymmetric risk if positive operational surprises arrive.

Balance sheet and cash flow priorities

Casino’s leverage remains elevated: debt-to-equity is 3.58 and net debt to EBITDA about 10.85x, signaling refinancing risk and interest sensitivity. Cash per share is EUR 1.27, but enterprise value is EUR 3,056.44m, showing the capital structure is the dominant valuation driver. Watch operating cash flow per share -0.07 and free cash flow per share -0.34, which will determine short-term solvency and any near-term asset-sales cadence.

Meyka AI grade and analyst context for CO.PA stock

Meyka AI rates CO.PA with a score of 58.74 out of 100, grade C+ and a suggestion to HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. External research lists mixed signals; the company rating snapshot dated 24 Feb 2026 shows a broad market ‘Sell’ tilt but some value signals on PB ratio 0.10. These grades are informational only and not investment advice.

Technical setup and short-term trading signals

Momentum is muted: RSI 53.51 and ADX 11.49 indicate no clear trend, while Bollinger Bands sit 0.22–0.25 around the price. Volume spike above average implies traders are positioning into the report. Key levels: near-term support at EUR 0.22 and resistance at EUR 0.25; a break above the 50-day EUR 0.24 would ease immediate pressure, while a failure below EUR 0.22 risks a washout.

Valuation, scenarios and price targets for CO.PA stock

Valuation is complex given negative earnings and heavy leverage; price-to-book is 0.10 and EV/EBITDA stands at 11.20x despite negative free cash flow. Scenario targets: Bear EUR 0.10, Base EUR 0.30, Bull EUR 1.60 to reflect possible asset sales or successful recapitalisation. These scenario targets are market-analysis based and assume different levels of debt reduction and margin recovery.

Final Thoughts

Key takeaways for CO.PA stock: the earnings release on 26 Feb 2026 will be read as a balance-sheet event as much as an operational update. At EUR 0.236, the market has already priced weak profitability and high leverage, so management commentary on asset disposals, cash conversion and refinancing is the decisive variable. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a short-term monthly scenario of EUR 0.12 (implied downside -49.15% from EUR 0.236) and a three-year projection of EUR 1.66 (implied upside 605.13%). We stress that forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For traders, watch the volume and support at EUR 0.22; for longer-term investors, debt reduction milestones and proof of free-cash-flow recovery will be required before upgrading a HOLD view. For a quick company update and dividend history see Investing.com dividend page and competitor comparisons at Investing.com competitor compare. Meyka AI, an AI-powered market analysis platform, will update forecasts if the company signals new refinancing or asset-sale progress.

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Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.