BTCUSD Today: February 25 — Slide Below $63K Caps Worst Month Since 2022
The bitcoin price usd dipped under $63,000 in early trade before recovering part of the loss. The move followed risk-off selling tied to tariff headlines and geopolitics, not a crypto-only shock. Spot BTCUSD last traded near $63,970 after a day low of $62,534.61. With February tracking the worst month since 2022, Singapore investors are focusing on liquidity, slippage, and key technical lines. We break down levels, momentum, and what the next 24 to 48 hours could mean for entries and risk control.
What pushed price action today
Global equities and digital assets sold off as tariff chatter and geopolitics lifted volatility. Analysts framed the slide as broad de-risking, not crypto-specific. Reports highlighted how Trump tariff uncertainty weighed on sentiment while AI and chip stocks also wobbled. See coverage on CNBC and Bloomberg for context.
Large round numbers often attract orders and stops. Today’s day low at $62,534.61 shows selling accelerated below $63,000 before dip buyers stepped in. The bitcoin price usd then stabilized closer to $64,000. Traders we track say spreads widened into the break, which increased slippage for aggressive market orders during fast moves.
Most local platforms quote USD pairs, so FX conversion and fees can add basis costs. Asia morning liquidity can be patchy, which makes intraday swings sharper. With macro risk high, SG traders may prefer limit orders and smaller position sizes around key levels to reduce slippage and keep risk per trade consistent.
Key technical picture and levels
RSI sits at 30.39, near oversold. MACD is negative with a small positive histogram, hinting at slowing downside. ADX prints 51.17, a strong-trend reading. Together, this says sellers still control the tape, but a short-term bounce is possible if momentum improves above intraday resistance.
Price near $63,970 is below the 50-day average at $80,762.94 and 200-day at $98,662.89, keeping the medium-term bias down. Bollinger middle band is $71,305.21 with lower band at $56,942.53. Keltner lower band is $64,128.45. Reclaiming $64,128 could ease pressure; losing $62,534 risks a slide toward $61,000 and then $56,943.
ATR at 3,707.11 points to wide daily ranges. Volume of 772,305,010 exceeded the 497,558,049 average, confirming high participation. OBV remains negative, signaling distribution. MFI at 63.85 suggests some buy-the-dip pockets even as trend pressure persists. For the bitcoin price usd, rising volume on green candles would strengthen any rebound case.
Strategy notes for SG market participants
Define risk in USD terms, then convert to SGD for portfolio sizing. Use limit orders near levels like $64,128 and $62,534 to manage slippage during Asia hours. If volatility spikes, cut size and widen stops modestly. The bitcoin price usd remains sensitive to headline risk, so avoid overexposure.
Base case: choppy range between $62,534 and $64,988 while markets digest tariff news. Bull case: reclaim $64,128 and hold above $65,000, opening $71,305. Bear case: close below $62,534, then test $61,000 and the Bollinger lower band at $56,942.53. Predefine invalidation for each plan.
Our composite score is 58.51, a C+ with a HOLD stance. Short-term traders can fade extremes within the range if volume confirms. Swing traders may wait for a daily close back above $64,128 to reduce downside risk. Longer-term allocators can scale only on set drawdown rules.
Model outlook and what could change it
Model paths show monthly $54,426.81, quarterly $122,324.02, and yearly $98,201.37. These are directional and can shift with new data. Catalysts that could swing the bitcoin price usd include tariff headlines, geopolitics, and liquidity changes. A break above $65,000 on rising volume would challenge the short-term bearish bias.
Final Thoughts
The bitcoin price usd slipped under $63,000 on broad risk-off flows tied to tariff and geopolitical headlines, then bounced toward $64,000. Momentum is weak, trend strength is high, and price sits below the 50-day and 200-day averages. For Singapore traders, execution quality matters. We would size smaller, use limit orders near $64,128 and $62,534, and avoid chasing moves. A hold above $64,128 could relieve pressure, while a close below $62,534 risks another leg down toward $61,000 and $56,943. Keep an eye on volume: rising green-volume would support any rebound. Stay flexible, predefine invalidation, and protect capital first. This is information only, not advice.
FAQs
Why did Bitcoin fall below $63,000 today?
Selling was part of a broader risk-off move. Tariff headlines and geopolitical tensions pushed investors to cut exposure across assets, not just crypto. Liquidity thinned around the $63,000 round number, which can trigger faster drops. After hitting a day low of $62,534.61, dip buyers helped price stabilize.
What key levels should Singapore traders watch now?
Watch $64,128 as near-term resistance, then $65,000 and $64,988. On the downside, $62,534 is the immediate line. A close below it could open $61,000 and the Bollinger lower band near $56,942.53. These levels can guide limit orders, stop placement, and position sizing in USD terms.
How does Trump tariff uncertainty affect crypto risk sentiment?
Tariff uncertainty can slow growth and lift inflation risk, which tightens financial conditions. That combination often reduces appetite for volatile assets, including crypto. When equities and credit weaken together, crypto tends to correlate higher with risk assets. Headlines can also widen spreads and reduce liquidity in short bursts.
Is this move crypto-specific or part of broader de-risking?
This looks like broader de-risking. Analysts noted cross-asset weakness and elevated volatility. Coverage from major outlets framed the slide as macro-driven rather than a crypto shock. In such tapes, correlation rises, so even strong coins can drop with equities. Focus on levels, liquidity, and defined risk rather than narratives.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.