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Global Market Insights

BTCUSD Today, February 02: Sub-$80K Slide Knocks Bitcoin Out of Top-10

February 2, 2026
5 min read
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Bitcoin price today fell under $80,000, briefly pushing the market value toward $1.67 trillion and dropping the coin out of the global top-10 assets. For investors in Japan, the move came with thin buying and macro uncertainty. As of the latest read, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) trades near $78,648, down 6.94% on the day, after a $75,644 intraday low and $84,138 high. Liquidity on JPY pairs remained patchy, so spreads widened around key levels during Tokyo hours.

Sub-$80K and Top-10 Exit: What Changed Today

Bitcoin price today sits near $78,648 after a 6.94% daily drop, with a market cap around $1.673 trillion. The session ranged between $75,644 and $84,138. The slide came despite earlier attempts to stabilize above $80,000. The 50‑day average is $89,813.60 and the 200‑day is $104,526.08, so price trades well below both, signaling pressure on medium‑term momentum.

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Bitcoin price today also reflects softer breadth across majors. The coin slipped out of the global top‑10 assets by market value, while peers like Ethereum also eased, according to local coverage. That loss of rank matters for large allocators who screen by size. See the report from Japan’s newswires for context: Yahoo!ニュース.

Key Levels and Indicators Japanese Traders Track

Bitcoin price today is testing the psychological $80k support. Below, traders flag the $74,420 year low and, in a severe scenario, the widely cited $50k area. On the topside, watch $84k then $90k near the 50‑day average. Notably, Bollinger Bands show price under the lower band at $84,208, a condition that often precedes mean reversion if selling pressure fades.

RSI sits at 48.91, neutral but soft. ADX at 25.89 signals a firm trend. MACD is negative versus the signal line, consistent with downside pressure, while the histogram has improved. ATR of 3,252 points highlights wider swings. Money Flow Index reads 47.98, a balanced flow. Together, these suggest choppy trading with risk of sharp squeezes as liquidity thins around round numbers.

Macro Drivers: Dollar, Fed Chatter, and Risk Appetite

Bitcoin price today moved alongside headlines on the next Fed leadership, with traders discussing a Kevin Warsh Fed pick and the potential dollar impact. Stronger dollar periods tend to weigh on crypto risk, though this relationship can break at times. Broader macro tone, funding costs, and equity volatility set the backdrop for flows from Japan and abroad.

The crypto market cap softened as majors retreated, while gold and equities sent mixed signals. For Japan-based investors, cross-asset cues can influence funding and hedging choices, especially when USD/JPY shifts are large. Analysts also warn of a possible 40% drawdown scenario if supports fail, a risk highlighted in local coverage: Forbes JAPAN.

Portfolio Implications for Japan-Based Investors

Bitcoin price today argues for discipline. Consider scaling entries in smaller clips and using yen-denominated cost averaging on BTC/JPY to reduce timing risk. Track reclaim attempts of $80k and reactions near $74.4k. If price closes back inside the Bollinger Bands, it may hint at mean reversion. Keep any single idea a small slice of total risk budget to avoid forced selling.

Define exits before entries. Place stops beyond obvious levels to reduce whipsaw risk. If you fund in JPY but hold USD exposure, consider BTC/JPY pairs to simplify currency risk. Watch exchange fees, funding rates, and weekend liquidity. Keep a calendar for major US data and BoJ updates, as macro surprises can widen spreads and move crypto outside regular Japan trading hours.

Final Thoughts

Bitcoin price today slipped under $80,000, briefly knocking Bitcoin out of the global top‑10. Price now sits below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, while RSI is neutral and ADX shows a firm trend. The next compass points are a sustained reclaim of $80k, the $74.4k year low, and the widely discussed $50k scenario if selling accelerates. Macro headlines around the Fed and the dollar can add noise, so plan trades around levels, not narratives. For investors in Japan, scale entries, predefine exits, and consider BTC/JPY to simplify currency risk. Keep alerts set near $80k, $90k, and $74.4k, and reassess position size if volatility spikes.

FAQs

Why did Bitcoin price today fall below $80,000?

Selling accelerated as liquidity thinned around a key round number, with traders cautious on macro uncertainty. Bitcoin price today trades well below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, which pressures trend followers. Headlines on the next Fed leadership and dollar moves also weighed on sentiment. The mix produced a quick slide to $75,644 before a bounce, leaving market cap near $1.67 trillion.

Which support and resistance levels matter most now?

First, watch the $80k pivot. Below, the $74,420 year low is key, and some analysts warn a deeper break could point toward the $50k area. On the topside, monitor $84k, then $90k near the 50‑day average at $89,813.60. A close back inside Bollinger Bands, whose lower band is $84,208, would signal reduced downside pressure.

How could a Kevin Warsh Fed pick affect Bitcoin price today?

Markets may view Kevin Warsh as favoring tighter policy, which could support the dollar and weigh on risk assets if funding costs rise. Bitcoin price today can react to shifts in dollar strength and real yields. Still, correlations change, and crypto often trades on its own liquidity cycles. Focus on levels and risk controls while tracking policy headlines and the dollar trend.

What should Japan-based investors consider before buying this dip?

Plan entries and exits in advance and size positions modestly. Consider BTC/JPY to simplify currency risk, and track spreads around key times. Use alerts for $80k, $84k, $90k, and $74.4k. If volatility jumps, scale in with smaller clips. Review exchange fees and funding rates, and keep an eye on macro events that can move prices outside typical Japan trading hours.

Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes.  Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
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