BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI stock) trades at $3.895 intraday on the NYSE as investors weigh AI contract momentum against slim margins. The stock has a day range of $3.89–$4.03 and volume near 12,912,283 shares, reflecting active trading in AI-focused names. BBAI’s next earnings announcement is scheduled for 05 Mar 2026, a catalyst for near-term moves. We review valuation, technicals, analyst price targets and Meyka AI forecasts to frame risk and reward for AI stock investors.

BBAI stock intraday snapshot and recent moves

BigBear.ai (BBAI) is trading at $3.895 on the NYSE with a 1‑day intraday change of -0.89% and average volume below the 50‑day norm. The share price sits well under the 50‑day average ($5.37) and 200‑day average ($5.82), highlighting recent weakness. MarketBeat noted a midweek pop and active analyst coverage, keeping the stock in play source.

News drivers and upcoming catalysts for BBAI stock

Key drivers are government and commercial AI contracts, analyst commentary, and an earnings report on 05 Mar 2026. Recent notes show mixed analyst targets: Cantor lowered to $6.00, HC Wainwright keeps $8.00, consensus near $6.00. Positive contract awards could re-rate the stock, while missed guidance would pressure the shares.

Financials and valuation: what metrics say about BBAI stock

BigBear.ai reports EPS -1.45 and a trailing PE of -2.86, with revenue per share $0.36 and book value per share $1.54. Valuation ratios show P/S 10.58 and P/B ~2.68, while the balance sheet shows cash per share $1.48 and a current ratio of 3.13. These figures point to capital strength but negative profitability and rich revenue multiples for a small AI services provider.

Technicals, momentum and Meyka AI grade for BBAI

Technical indicators show RSI 41.50, ADX 29.90, and Bollinger middle band near $4.37, signaling a corrective trend but not deeply oversold. Meyka AI rates BBAI with a score out of 100: 65.60 (Grade B, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparison, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts and analyst consensus.

Analyst targets, forecasts and Meyka AI stock outlook

Wall Street targets range from $6.00 (consensus) to $8.00 (bull case). Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 1‑year value of $8.24, implying ~111.48% upside from the current USD 3.895. Forecasts are model‑based projections and not guarantees; they assume improving contract wins and margin progress.

Risks and opportunities for AI investors in BBAI stock

Opportunities include growing AI demand from defense and enterprise clients and higher‑margin software mix. Risks include negative EPS, volatile trading, high P/S, and concentrated government revenue exposure. Institutional ownership is modest and insider activity has been mixed, keeping liquidity and sentiment important near‑term drivers.

Final Thoughts

BBAI stock is a high‑volatility AI name trading at $3.895 on the NYSE with clear upside scenarios and clear risks. Analysts place price targets in the $6.00–$8.00 range; Meyka AI’s forecast model projects $8.24 in one year, implying ~111.48% upside versus the current price. Key positives include solid cash per share ($1.48) and a current ratio of 3.13, which provide a liquidity cushion while the company pursues AI contracts. Key negatives remain negative earnings (EPS -1.45), thin free cash flow, and elevated revenue multiples (P/S 10.58). Traders should watch the 05 Mar 2026 earnings release and contract announcements as primary catalysts. Meyka AI, our AI‑powered market analysis platform, flags BBAI as a speculative HOLD given mixed fundamentals and a bifurcated analyst view. Forecasts are model projections and not guarantees; investors should balance conviction with position sizing and risk controls.

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Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.